Roger Atwood has previously reported for Mother Jones from Iraq and Peru. This guest blog entry is a post-election follow up to his recent dispatch from El Salvador.
El Salvador's long civil war finally ended on Sunday night. As election results trickled in showing victory for Mauricio Funes, presidential candidate of the guerrilla group-turned-political party Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front, the streets around FMLN headquarters in San Salvador filled with people wearing red shirts, waving red flags, and chanting a line popularized by the president of the FMLN’s former archfoe, the United States: "Yes, we could!"
Pickup trucks jammed with flatbed-riders and buses crammed with celebrating passengers crisscrossed the city into the night, red flags flapping behind them. The fact that many, if not most, of these celebrants were too young to remember the actual war did not change the fact that the promise of the 1992 peace agreement that ended the fighting and created a pluralist political system has finally been fulfilled. Through fair elections, Salvadorans chose the first genuinely left-wing government of their history. The ruling Nationalist Republic Alliance, or ARENA, which formed in the early 1980s with the express goal of stopping el comunismo, has collapsed under its own weight after 20 years in power. "This result says to the world that El Salvador is prepared for democratic alternation in power," Funes told cheering supporters. "Tonight, Salvadorans have signed a new peace agreement." The ARENA candidate Rodrigo Avila was sullen but gracious, saying in his concession speech, "When we said we would accept whatever result there was, we meant it."
One learns not to get one's hopes up in a country that has seen as much betrayal and war as El Salvador, but this time it does look like the democratic transition is complete.
Funes takes office on June 1. He is going to face high expectations and tough odds. The economy relies on remittances from Salvadorans living abroad, and remittances are in sharp decline. At 55 homicides per 100,000 people, the crime rate is one of the highest in the world and intimately tied to the family disintegration caused by mass emigration. Even foreign trade has fallen far short of expectations, despite ARENA's ambitions for a globalized role: El Salvador's trade deficit rose to $5.2 billion last year, a sad performance for a small, export-driven economy.