Say Mitt Romney pulls off a victory on Tuesday: What might he move to do on the national security front as president? Here are some of the possibilities:
1. Ratchet up military hostilities with Iran. Or Russia. Or China. Or Syria...
Romney has been short on specifics with respect to Iran's nuclear ambitions, other than to say he'd press for greater sanctions than the Draconian ones already secured by President Obama. But one difference is Romney's willingness to back threats with what he calls "a credible military option." That means attacks on Iranian targets, whether by US or Israeli forces, are on the table. Romney would need congressional approval for a full-on war, but as commander-in-chief, he could take provocative steps that would make such a conflict difficult to avoid: He has vowed to increase naval exercises with Arab states, and to maintain a more robust US naval presence in the Persian Gulf. Recent history in the Cold War and in the Gulf itself suggests that putting US military assets in close proximity to adversarial forces increases the risk of a violent conflict.
Likewise, Romney has rattled the saber against Russia ("
our No. 1 geopolitical foe"), China ("
On day one, I will label China a currency manipulator"), and Syria (which he incorrectly called Iran's "
route to the sea"). Such tough rhetoric complicates US diplomatic relations with the first two and raises rebels' expectations for US intervention in the latter.
2. Throwing money at defense like it's 1985.
Romney plans for the US to spend a minimum of 4 percent of annual GDP on defense, which one expert calls "skyrocketing North of Cold War levels." That would add $2 trillion in new defense spending above what the Pentagon has requested for the next decade. That would require congressional approval (unlikely if the Democrats retain a majority in the Senate) and it doesn't even take into account the defense cuts of $492 billion over the next decade that are set to trigger automatically as a result of last year's congressional debt compromise. But Romney would have other means for deploying defense spending, including:
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