Gavin Aronsen

Gavin Aronsen

Reporter

Gavin is a Mother Jones reporter in the DC bureau.

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Gavin is an Iowa native, and covered the 2008 first-in-the-nation presidential caucuses for the Ames Tribune. His work has also appeared in the Agence France-Presse, Iowa Independent, Manhattan Media, and VillageVoice.com.

This Week in Dark Money

| Fri Nov. 2, 2012 3:08 AM PDT

A quick look at the week that was in the world of political dark money...

the money shot

 

 

quote of the week

"My opinion, for what it's worth, is that WTP was running a lot of these campaigns."
—Julie Staeb, an investigator for the Montana Commissioner of Political Practices, referring to the possibility that nonprofit group Western Tradition Partnership illegally coordinated with Montana political candidates in 2008 and 2010. The investigation includes documents from the group that convicted felon Mark Siebel found in a meth house outside Denver in later 2010. Siebel claimed they were found by his friend in a stolen car; they were recently examined in a joint report by ProPublica and Frontline. WTP has since changed its name to American Tradition Partnership and is best known for its lawsuit that overturned Montana's ban on corporate spending and definitively expanded Citizens United to apply to states' campaign finance rules.

 

chart of the week

Citizens United helped Mitt Romney close President Obama's fundraising edge, according to a new report from the Center for Public Integrity and Center for Responsive Politics, but the Obama campaign was still able to take advantage of reduced ad rates for campaigns and air more commercials since late April than the Romney campaign, Republican National Committee, and seven outside spending groups supporting the GOP combined. Among all outside spending (below), Romney was the beneficiary of more than $350 million of it; Obama was supported by about $100 million in outside funds.

 

stat of the week

$6 billion: The estimated total cost of the 2012 elections, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a record amount that would top the current record by $700 million. The presidential race was actually trailing 2008's $2.8 billion by $200 million as of the end of October, but more than $500 million reported to the FEC by outside spending groups and nearly $3 billion spent on House and Senate races more than makes up for the difference.

 

attack ad of the week

Nate Silver projects the likelihood of President Obama winning Pennsylvania and Michigan at 95.5 percent and 98.4 percent, respectively, but the Koch-funded nonprofit Americans for Prosperity apparently still thinks Romney's got a shot at winning them Tuesday. The group has doled out $3 million on a November ad buy in the two states. "I still believe in hope and change," a voter says in one of the ads. "I just don't think Obama's the way to go for that." Slate's David Weigel, who points out that this ad has already been running in Pennsylvania since August, calls the new ad buy "a great headline" but "one of many that overstates what third party groups can do in the last stretch of this campaign."

 

more must-reads

Mitt Romney Would Be Toast Without This Man: Charlie Spies helps run the king of all super-PACs—and he's used it to keep Romney's campaign alive.
Video: The First Silent Political Ad: Listen up! This election spot has something to say…very, very quietly.
• Among American Tradition Partnership's donors was an anti-union group with Colorado ties that gave the group $300,000. Center for Public Integrity
• The US Chamber of Commerce was the largest dark-money spender in 15 Congressional races this year. National Journal

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Texas, Iowa Threaten to Arrest Election Observers

| Wed Oct. 31, 2012 3:42 PM PDT

When news broke last week that the United Nations-affiliated Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe was dispatching election observers from 23 nations to the United States, conservative groups went up in arms, claiming that liberal activists had sought international assistance to fight Republican-led voting reform efforts. Soon afterward, Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott sent a letter to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton threatening the observers with arrest if they got within 100 feet of a polling place and complaining that OSCE officials had met with a group formerly affiliated with ACORN. Yesterday, Iowa Secretary of State Matt Schultz, who has made voter fraud a central theme of his time in office, followed suit, saying that there would be "no exception" made for OSCE members to enter polling stations.

As a member of the OSCE, the United States has invited outside observers into the country since 2002 without incident. The State Department dismissed Abbott's complaint, saying that the election observers are simply observers (and would be eligible for immunity if they are arrested). "[T]he mandate of the OSCE is designed to be absolutely and completely impartial, and that's what we plan on when we participate and that's what we'd expect here," State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland told the Washington Examiner. The OSCE expressed willingness to meet with both liberal and conservative voter groups and has acknowledged the controversy over GOP-led voter ID efforts in a report released earlier this month.

In any case, any role the OSCE plays on November 6 will probably be minimal. A list of election observers uploaded by conservative attorney J. Christian Adams suggests that only two observers will be in Texas, both in Austin; two others are scheduled to be in Des Moines, Iowa. But the OSCE, which sent a letter to Secretary of State Hillary Clinton calling Abbott's threat of arrest "unacceptable," also responded to Abbott, saying that it plans to follow state laws and wouldn't need to enter polling places in order to observe the election. In addition to monitoring potential voter suppression, the OSCE also plans to research campaign finance, new voting technology, and the media. Meanwhile, many more American election monitors will be at polling stations, ranging from impartial observers to labor union members and recruits from a tea party group.

Video: The First Silent Political Ad

| Fri Oct. 26, 2012 4:28 PM PDT

Since June 1, more than 900,000 election ads have run on cable and broadcast television. So it's no wonder that residents of battleground states are probably marking off the days until their TVs will all switch back to showing the usual car, soda, and fast food commercials. One group, however, isn't interested in waiting that long: unPAC, which has previously brought us such treats as super-PAC-themed Pac-Man, is raising money to air a one-minute silent ad in the attack ad-saturated swing state of Ohio. (For just $75 it will even throw in a free unF*CK AMERICA tote bag!) 

Have a look:

The ad, a protest against the $2 billion presidential campaign, is meant to be a "message to politicians, special interest groups and the media: we won't stand by idly while our democracy is bought." unPAC is a collaborative effort between the consumer advocacy group Purpose, the campaign finance reform group United Republic, and Rootstrikers, which was founded by Harvard Law professor Lawrence Lessig.

Occupy Oakland Returns to the Streets For One Night

| Fri Oct. 26, 2012 3:08 PM PDT

Iraq war veteran Scott Olsen showed up in a wheelchair at yesterday's march marking the one-year anniversary of the Occupy Oakland camp raid. But this time his injury hadn't been inflicted by police: Last week he was hit by a car while riding his bike, but it was nothing serious, he told me. Olsen became an international face of the Occupy movement last October after he was struck in the head and critically injured by a bean bag round fired by an Oakland police officer during the protest that followed the raid. In contrast to that long night in 2012, "This night has been great," an upbeat Olsen said. "I'm glad it has remained peaceful and no one has had to go to the hospital."

The night remained peaceful, but Oakland residents hadn't been confident that it would be. Banks boarded up their windows. The city sent out a press release noting the $4.9 million spent policing Occupy Oakland, and the $93,000 spent restoring the lawn outside City Hall that had been destroyed by the encampment last year. An anonymous Twitter account sprang up with a profile that declared, "Occupy Oakland: Confusing Oakland for Wall Street since 2011." It railed against black bloc vandals and tweeted that "protesting in a fiscally troubled city benefits nobody and only hurts the citizens. For what gain?"

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