2008 - %3, March

Dem Candidates on Iraq: We're Pretty Much Committed to a Withdrawal

| Fri Mar. 7, 2008 12:25 PM EST

Informal Clinton adviser and retired four-star general Jack Keane on Hillary Clinton's Iraq plans:

"I have no doubts whatsoever that if she were president in January '09 she would not act irresponsibly and issue orders to conduct an immediate withdrawal from Iraq, regardless of the consequences, and squander the gains that have been made."

Recently deposed Obama adviser and respected academic Samantha Power on Barack Obama's Iraq plans:

"You can't make a commitment in March 2008 about what circumstances will be like in January of 2009. He will, of course, not rely on some plan that he's crafted as a presidential candidate or a U.S. Senator. He will rely upon a plan — an operational plan — that he pulls together in consultation with people who are on the ground to whom he doesn't have daily access now, as a result of not being the president... [His stated plan is] a best-case scenario."

I actually don't have a problem with what these advisers are saying: Clinton and Obama will take the information they have available to them as president and reevaluate their plans for withdrawal. That makes sense to me. But for many Democrats, getting out of Iraq is the number one issue and the fact that the candidates have told them what they want to hear, while possibly holding more nuanced positions in secret, will raise some justifiable anger.

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In "Monster"-Gate, Clintonites Get Away with a Slur, While Respected Obama Aide Falls

| Fri Mar. 7, 2008 12:01 PM EST

The big news today--if you listen to the Hillary Clinton camp--is that Samantha Power, a foreign policy adviser to Barack Obama (and author of the Pulitzer Prize-winning A Problem from Hell: America and the Age of Genocide), referred to Clinton as a "monster" in what she believed was an off-the-record remark with a reporter. She did apologize. But the Clintonites, ever on the lookout for an issue (or non-issue) to hype, quickly called on Obama to fire Power.

Non-News Flash: Aides to presidential candidates routinely refer to the competition in harsh terms, particularly when they talk to reporters off the record. More than once, a top Clinton person has told me that s/he believes Obama is a self-righteous fraud--or worse. It was, of course, always off the record. But if I had reported any of these remarks, I could have gotten the pop The Scotsman has received for disclosing Power's comment.

The Clinton people do deserve chutzpah points for trying to turn this nothing-burger into a full-course feast. During a conference call with reporters yesterday, Clinton's top spinner, Howard Wolfson, compared Obama and his aides to Kenneth Starr because they dared to question Clinton's refusal to release her income taxes. (In The Washington Post, Dana Milbank credited me with asking the question that prompted the Ken Starr remark --a quip obviously locked and loaded before the call.) The comparison was ridiculous. But in Democratic circles, there's not much of a bigger slur than, Hey, you're Ken Starr! For Democrats, Starr is the functional equivalent of a monster.

Congress Calls For Top Afghanistan Diplomat and General to Testify

| Fri Mar. 7, 2008 11:56 AM EST

IMG_0354.jpg

Remember last September's false promise that with the testimony before Congress of David Petraeus and Ryan Crocker, the highest-ranking U.S. general and diplomat in Iraq, some major change in the Iraq War was imminent? Nothing happened, of course, other than some very deft rhetorical deflection (evidence of Petraeus' political talents?) and calls for more time for the "surge" to work. (Some, including John McCain, now argue that it has, others that it hasn't.) If Joe Biden and Carl Levin, the respective chairmen of the Senate foreign relations and armed services committees, get their way, we'll be treated to yet another media spectacle in coming weeks, this time focusing on U.S. strategy in Afghanistan.

More after the jump...

Final Texas Delegate Count

| Fri Mar. 7, 2008 10:43 AM EST

The final results won't be known until June, but it looks like Barack Obama will come out of Texas with more delegates: 98-95. Hillary Clinton won the popular vote in the primary and took 65 delegates out of that contest to Obama's 61. Obama made up the difference in the caucus. (As most everyone knows by now, Texas had both a primary and a caucus.)

Point is, I was right.

Trouble in Paradise? Freedom's Watch Prez is Out

| Thu Mar. 6, 2008 8:36 PM EST

Brad Blakeman, the president of the hawkish, pro-surge advocacy group Freedom's Watch, has resigned amid infighting among the group's leadership. "Sources close to the conservative nonprofit say that [Blakeman] drew fire for focusing too much on administrative tasks and neglecting major projects since the group sponsored a $15 million television ad campaign in 2007 to promote the Iraq war surge," reports National Journal's Peter Stone, who wrote a profile of Freedom's Watch backer, casino mogul, Sheldon Adelson, for Mother Jones' January/February issue. "Freedom's Watch reportedly plans to spend as much as $200 million on pro-Republican TV ads on national security and domestic issues this year."

Adelson has also provided $2 million to back a TV/ radio campaign by a lobby group, Defense of Democracies, to go after House Democrats who don't support the White House's preferred domestic surveillance legislation, Stone reports. The Republican bill would provide retroactive immunity to telecommunications companies being sued for billions of dollars by consumers who charge the companies illegally provided the government access to their private communications data. Defense of Democracies was recently set up as a 501(c)4 group by the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies, which has received State Department funding. The ads targeting Democrats prompted Democratic members of the advisory board of the previously ostensibly bipartisan Foundation for the Defense of Democracies to resign en masse earlier this month, charging FDD had basically set up an openly partisan front group.

Corporations Need Green Police

| Thu Mar. 6, 2008 7:09 PM EST

623962630_a88b833cf6_m.jpg Voluntary environmental programs among businesses don't work. This according to a new study from George Mason University of more than 30,000 firms. Some of those firms were participants in the Environmental Protection Agency's VEPs (Voluntary Environmental Programs), some weren't. Participants received $69 million from the EPA last year (1.6 percent of the agency's budget). Yet nonparticipating companies performed 7.7 percent better than participants in meeting environmental goals.

Why? Well, self-monitored companies performed worst of all (nonparticipators outperformed them by 24 percent). The absence of third-party oversight invites 'free ridership,' says Nicole Darnall, lead author. "Companies are taking part in these programs and receive credit for doing so, but some aren't really adhering to the goals. Nonparticipating companies may have stronger goals… [and] a higher performance." The study is published in Policy Studies Journal.

In other words, slacker companies with no genuinely good intentions get the money under Bush's castrated EPA… Sigh. Practice compassionate impeachment.

Julia Whitty is Mother Jones' environmental correspondent, lecturer, and 2008 winner of the John Burroughs Medal Award. You can read from her new book, The Fragile Edge, and other writings, here.


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Radio Now Below "Pamphlets" on the Media Ladder

| Thu Mar. 6, 2008 5:49 PM EST

mojo-photo-oldieradio.jpgFull disclosure: your ridiculously-named blogger spent 13 years working at a corporate alt-rock broadcaster, many of them happy. But my own ever-so-slightly bitter anti-radio bias is no match for the actual facts: things in the audio-only broadcast media are looking pretty terrible. The Radio Advertising Bureau just announced revenue figures for the industry in 2007, and they're down like a frown. Ad revenue was off 3% for the year over 2006, and in the 4th quarter, national revenue was down 11%. The only place radio showed some growth was "off-air" revenue, ironically enough, since isn't what's on-air the whole point? RAB President/CEO Jeff Haley tried to cover up the bad news by releasing a hilarious statement about "the nimbleness of the expanded radio space" and how it provides "a true 360-degree integration opportunity," before he collapsed into giggles and took another bong hit.

House Races Across the Country: Time for the GOP to Scare Up Some Dollars

| Thu Mar. 6, 2008 4:12 PM EST

A list of the 24 Democratic-held House seats that the Republican Party is targeting in '08 was released today, and it provided the Campaign Finance Institute with everything it needed to go to town.

The folks there compared the fundraising and cash-on-hand for the supposedly weak Democratic incumbents and their Republican challengers. Take a look at these numbers.

Arizona 8
Rep. Gabrielle Giffords (D) - $1,317,357 on hand
Timothy Bee (R) - $161,246 on hand

California 11
Rep. Jerry McNerney (D) - $924,605 on hand
Dean Andal (R) - $471,190 on hand

Kentucky 3
Rep. John Yarmuth (D) - $659,231 on hand
Erwin Roberts (R) - $95,076 on hand

Texas 23
Rep. Ciro Rodriquez (D) - $661,224 on hand
Francisco "Quico" Canseco (R) - $45,430 on hand

These numbers, lopsided as they are, were more or less chosen at random. In no race does the Republican challenger have more money than the Dem incumbent; in only one, New Hampshire's 1st, is it even close. Usually, the Democrat has anywhere from two to six times the cash on hand. The exception is Oregon's 5th, where there is no incumbent.

Check out the full list here. And check out how much each of the major party organs have here. There is a serious problem for the GOP. It's what I meant when I said John McCain has to rebuild the Death Star.

New (Leaked) Music: Gnarls Barkley - The Odd Couple

| Thu Mar. 6, 2008 3:58 PM EST

mojo-photo-gnarlsoc.jpgHey, look what leaked all over the internets, the new album from Gnarls Barkley. You remember them, they're the super-producer/mega-singer duo who got the highest score ever on that Hit Formula thing in the New Yorker? Well, they're back, and while their new album is, you know, enjoyable enough, with songs and notes and everything, I'm not sure they'd want to run it through the hit detector again: the score might be pretty disappointing.

Let's Do Some Delegate Math

| Thu Mar. 6, 2008 12:28 PM EST

Newsweek's Jonathan Alter points out that the delegate math that was already difficult for Hillary Clinton got more difficult after Ohio and Texas, because she made up a very small portion of the delegate deficit and now has fewer states in which to make her comeback. Alter runs down a very Clinton-friendly hypothetical:

Let's assume that on Saturday in Wyoming, Clinton's March 4 momentum gives her an Ohio-style 10-point win, confounding every expectation. Next Tuesday in Mississippi, where African-Americans play a big role in the Democratic primary, she shocks the political world by again winning 55-45.
Then on April 22, the big one—Pennsylvania—and it's a Clinton blowout: 60-40, with Clinton picking up a whopping 32 delegates. She wins both of Guam's two delegates on May 3 and Indiana's proximity to Illinois does Obama no good on May 6. The Hoosiers go for Clinton 55-45 and the same day brings another huge upset in a heavily African-American state. Enough blacks desert Obama to give North Carolina to Hillary in another big win, 55-45, netting her seven more delegates.