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China's More-Child Policy?

566394520_9e9b6d4f93_m.jpg China is considering scrapping its one-child policy because of worries about an ageing population and how much of a social net the country can afford without the traditional reliance on large families to care for the aged. "We want incrementally to have this [one-child policy] change," said Vice Minister of the National Population and Family Planning Commission Zhao Baige. Planet Ark reports that teams studying the issue would have to consider the strain of China's huge population on its scarce resources.

Okay, it doesn't take a lot of number crunching to recognize that no amount of young workers "supporting" the elderly will make up for droughts, floods, deforestation, dustbowls-for-croplands, climate change, sea-level rise, extinctions, and economic meltdown that will follow in the wake of more people on our little world. This goes for all nations toying with or employing pronatalist policies: US, France, Russia, Australia, Canada, Japan, and growing…

Julia Whitty is Mother Jones' environmental correspondent, lecturer, and 2008 winner of the John Burroughs Medal Award. You can read from her new book, The Fragile Edge, and other writings, here.






Comments

This is good news. Christianity is spreading fast in China. The old Europe is dying. Onto China.

Posted by: Donahue on 03/03/08 at 1:24 PM  Respond

Great post Julia. Of course more people require more resources. And, the planet has only so much stuff on it. With any increase in population, eventually, the mass of humans will be greater than the mass of the planet. Clearly this is physically impossible. Thus, population increase is, by definition, not sustainable.

As an aside, I've been trying to assess whether raising a child from birth (or better yet, conception though that is not yet a child) to adulthood requires more or fewer resources than supporting an adult from retirement to the grave.

If raising the child is more expensive in real costs, regardless of whether they are externalized, since neither the child nor the retiree are contributing to society, it should be a net economic benefit to have a slowly declining population.

If anyone has ideas on how to research which costs more, raising kids or supporting retirees, please let me know.

I'm betting kids cost more, but need real data before I can make any such statement.

Scott, why don't you go to Zimbabwe and adopt an orphan? (but watch out for that Mugabe Man) You would not have so much costs, since his mother already raised him through the diaper period. You and your partner would enjoy raising the little child.

Posted by: Jill on 03/04/08 at 12:55 PM  Respond

Sorry Jill. I have no desire at all to raise a child. In fact, I have taken action to ensure that I will not inadvertently have to do so. I think I would make a very very bad parent. Further, I have no desire to have any child I raise left to deal with the huge problems in our near future. I am seriously worried about the possibility that even I, let alone any hypothetical children of mine either adopted or otherwise, would have to live through The Great Human Die-Off that I believe is in the not too distant future.

Scott, you are a coward.

Posted by: Jill on 03/04/08 at 8:21 PM  Respond

Jill,

What a ridiculous comment!!

Cowardice is the inability to overcome one's fears to do what one desires or needs to do.

I have no desire to raise any child, mine or someone else's. I could, but do not, claim you are the coward afraid to face old age alone and so are thrusting a poor child into a terrible world to make your own life better.

So, making a decision about what is right for me does not make me a coward any more than making a decision that is right for you makes you a coward.

You and I are different people. What is right for one is not necessarily right for everyone. That you think it is makes you extremely intolerant of other viewpoints.

Further, your assumption that I must enjoy having a screaming brat around eating up all of my disposable income rather than being able to enjoy my own life demonstrates a complete inability to empathize with others of differing mind set.

You really need to reflect a bit on why you think everyone needs human larvae in their homes. If everyone has them, even if they are someone else's, we will never make the necessary reduction in human population that we need in order to survive as a species.

Children are a blessing from God.

Posted by: Chantico on 03/05/08 at 8:43 AM  Respond

Chantico,

So was 9/11.

I don't need any blessings from any god. If such a fairy tale were to exist, I would want it to just leave me the hell alone.

You appear to hate Mexicans Scott. Your post is very offensive. It just shows your ignorance.

Posted by: Chantico on 03/05/08 at 3:57 PM  Respond

China hase highest population in world just ahead of india.After china said one child in family now there family hierarchy structure is damaged.They dont know what is sister or brother love.

Posted by: Cegna on 03/07/08 at 5:52 AM  Respond

Cegna, you are so right. Children are a blessing from God.

Posted by: Chantico on 03/07/08 at 7:31 AM  Respond

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