Election Prediction Thread

So who's going to win today?  Leave  your guesses in comments.  The warm glow of being right is your reward if, in fact, you turn out to be right.

I haven't blogged much about any of this because none of it has seemed very interesting up until the last minute soap opera in the NY-23 race.  Even by the standards of off-year elections this is a pretty small one, and though the British press routinely projects the future course of the empire from the results of a single by-election in West Bromwich, we have a hard time pulling off quite the same level of breathless credulity here.  There's just too much obviously local spin to all these races.  Still, I admit that I'll be impressed if Jon Corzine manages to pull out a come-from-behind victory by insinuating that his opponent is fat.