With McCaskill getting the call, it's down to two.

But we may have to wait a while to know how things go in Montana. According to the Hotline, Montana's Secretary of State reported that 106,000 voters cast their ballots early or by absentee, that's well over a quarter of the expected votes in the large, sparsely populated Big Sky state. Absentees always make for slower counting (read: by hand), which means we likely won't know if Tester/the Dems get this key seat until midday tomorrow, at the earliest.

And if a recount is on the horizon in Virginia it'll be a lot longer than that.

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• Will the Democrats Win the Senate? The Bookies Have Spoken!
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Elizabeth Gettelman

Public Affairs Director

Elizabeth Gettelman is a former managing editor at Mother Jones. To follow her on Twitter, click here.