- ‹ previous
- 3179 of 8922
- next ›
Popular Vote Musings on a Friday Afternoon
A friend just alerted me to the fact that the popular vote section at Real Clear Politics has myriad different totals for the Democratic primary race. Enough to make the notion of a "popular vote" useless, in fact.
Here are the different ways you could calculate the popular vote. If there's something I'm not thinking of, tell me in the comments.
1. Just the primaries.
2. The primaries with Florida.
3. The primaries with Florida and Michigan with Michigan's "uncommitted" going to Obama.
4. The primaries with Florida and Michigan with Michigan's "uncommitted" going to no one.
5. The primaries, plus caucuses.
6. The primaries with Florida, plus caucuses.
7. The primaries with Florida and Michigan with Michigan's "uncommitted" going to Obama, plus caucuses.
8. The primaries with Florida and Michigan with Michigan's "uncommitted" going to no one, plus caucuses.
You can see why people are so confused. Further complicating the picture: Iowa, Nevada, Maine, and Washington state are caucus states that have not released public figures on caucus attendance. Estimates are needed in those instances.
I think in scenario 4, Clinton might be winning the popular vote. Maybe. Or something.
I think you left out the caucus votes that Obama won (he won most of the caucuses anyway, but most caucuses don't keep tallies of votes.)
I think this popular vote thing is a non-sense anyway. No matter how we count it Clinton's will spin it. I am just waiting to hear Clinton campaign to say Obama's wins don't count at all. I wish HRC just go away or become a president of the country of WEST VIRGINIA she dearly loves.
Yep, further permutations needed:
9. For the primary numbers in any of the above, use:
a) states that allowed only Democrats to vote
b) states that allowed Democrats and offered party switches at the polls
c) states that allowed anyone at all without party switch.
It's important, because a state with "c" could have the same number of Democrats-and the same number of delegates-as a state using "a", but have half again as many "popular" votes, since non-Democrats joined in. When the state totals are combined, voters in "c" states count more than voters in "a" states. MN, I believe, has several times as many popular votes as does MO. States where Republicans dropped in (for whatever purpose) would have more clout than states in which Democrats themselves had the chance to pick their candidate. Rush would like that.
One person, one vote? Hardly!
Jonathan, let's face it, as long as enough voters continue to be persuaded by political rhetoric that insults our intelligence we shall continue have the dysfunctional democracy we have today.
The latest issue of CALIFORNIA alumni magazine has a Free Speech article: "Wrong Trajectory - America is losing its higher education advantage, with enormous repercussions" by John Aubrey Douglass that should interest your readers:
http://alumni.berkeley.edu/california/200805/freespeech.asp
thank you !
replica watches
replica watches Discount Watches, Fashion Watches, Wristwatch, Fake Watch, Wholesale Watches, Jewelry Watches, Replica Jewelry Watches. Replica Ulysse Replica Jacob & Co. Watch Nardin Watches is Omega Watches the top famous Michele Replica Watches watch Roger Dubuis Replica Watches Longines Watches Replica brand in Replica IWC Watch the Fake Gucci Watches world. The style of this watch is elegant in craft and fashion. It is graceful and Louis Vuitton Replica Watches Concord Ladies Watches noble. Christian Dior Watch The perfect union of Oris Replica Watch technology and craft, Seiko Watch Replica the guarantee replica watches Replica Rado of Porsche Design Ladies Watches Ulysse Nardin Patek Philippe Watch s brand that is similar to the classical graceful design Piaget Ladies Watches surmounts the space and time. It unfolds the true macroscopic Fake Breitling Watches field of vision Glashutte Ladies Watches and the aesthetic standard of Vacheron Constantin Watches Replica the top watch. Ulysse Blancpain Fake Watches Nardin Swiss Replica Watches Replica Watches Audemars Piguet Mens Watches Richard Mille Watches Ebel Replica Watches Raymond Weil Replica reflect the Replica Chopard exclusive Hublot Watch Replica art Ulysse Nardin Watch Replica of watch-making TAG Heuer Fake Watch Replica Franck Muller Watch and the Corum Wristwatch reliable timekeeping replica watches process Cartier Ladies Watches maintained by Breguet Replica Watches the Replica Girard Perregaux Watches original Bedat & CO Watches Replica Ulysse Nardin company. Replica A Lange & Sohne Watch View the very popular Ulysse Tissot Replica Watches Nardin Fake Watch Rolex Replica item below: Replica Invicta Watches Watch These watches are Swiss Army Wristwatch Chanel Mens Watches Bulgari Watches Replica Parmigiani among the hottest Movado Watch styles Baume & Mercier Watch Replica Mont Blanc Replica Watches in the world.