Political MoJo

Depressing Lede of The Day, Marijuana Arrest Edition

| Tue Jun. 4, 2013 7:24 AM PDT
marijuana and the law

A reminder, via Tuesday's New York Times:

Black Americans were nearly four times as likely as whites to be arrested on charges of marijuana possession in 2010, even though the two groups used the drug at similar rates, according to new federal data.

The racial disparity in pot-related arrests in America is no secret. Previous studies and analysis in various states have yielded similar numbers.

The Times story also features a graphic that highlights a few places in the country—including Iowa, Minnesota, and Washington, DC—where black Americans were even more disproportionately likely to be arrested for pot possession. During President Obama's first three years in office, the arrest rate for pot possession was roughly 5 percent higher than the average rate under his predecessor. It's a boost in the arrest rate for a crime that the president himself once frequently committed.

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Elizabeth Warren Calls for Grassroots Movement on Student Loan Debt

| Tue Jun. 4, 2013 7:03 AM PDT
liz warren

On Monday night, Sen. Elizabeth Warren held a briefing on student debt with the progressive policy group MoveOn.org, taking calls from students, parents, and graduates struggling with student loan debt. Warren discussed the the current fight in Congress over student loan interest rates, and what kinds of fixes would work best for the 37 million Americans with student loan debt. And she called on Americans to take matters into their own hands.

Over the past decade, student loan debt has nearly quadrupled, and now stands close to $1 trillion. On July 1, rates for federal need-based student loans are set to double from 3.4 percent to 6.8 percent. The deadline has lawmakers scrambling for a fix. There are a bunch of proposals out there, including Warren's call for students to be allowed to pay the low, low rate that big banks pay the Federal Reserve for their short-term borrowing; a plan President Barack Obama laid out in his budget in April; and the GOP plan that recently passed the House, which Warren and Obama hate.

The GOP bill would allow interest rates on student loans to rise or fall from year to year with the government's cost of borrowing, ending the current system under which rates are fixed by law. Because market rates are low right now, the initial rate for the loans envisioned by the Republican bill  would be about 4.4 percent, but the legislation would allow them to rise to as much as 8.5 percent. Warren says the plan would turn students into "a profit center": "Already the government is scheduled to make $51 billion in profits in loans it makes next year. That's 36 cents in profit for every dollar they lend out. And the House bill would make even more money off students," Warren said at the briefing.

She touted her own plan, the Bank on Students Loan Fairness Act, which would act as a one-year patch, cutting student loan rates to the same rock-bottom interest rate that banks pay to the Federal Reserve for short-term loans. "If a big bank wants to take out a loan from the Fed, it can get .75 interest rate. These are the same banks that cost millions of Americans their jobs and nearly broke the economy. But next year, a student would have to pay nine times as much on her debt," Warren said, referring to the scheduled jump in interest rates to 6.8 percent. "It isn't right. It isn't fair. And it isn't good economic policy."

The ultimate solution, Warren said, is not her one-year fix. It's Americans demanding a fair student loan system. "You can't do this by having a few people stand up in the US Senate and the House and say 'this is important,'" she said. "This is test of whether we can organize something at the grass roots and move it forward. It will take us... and a whole lot more people to show [Congress]... that it does matter and they have got to respond."

Elizabeth Warren to Hold Emergency Briefing on Student Debt

| Mon Jun. 3, 2013 4:34 PM PDT

On Monday night, Sen. Elizabeth Warren will hold an "emergency briefing" on student debt with the progressive policy group MoveOn.org. The senator will take calls from students, parents, and graduates struggling with student loan debt to discuss "the student loan fight, [and] understand some potential solutions," MoveOn said in an email blast Monday.

Since 2004, student loan debt has tripled, and now stands close to $1 trillion. On July 1, rates for Stafford loans are set to double from 3.4 percent to 6.8 percent. The deadline has lawmakers scrambling for a fix. There are a bunch of proposals out there, including Warren's call for students to be allowed to pay the low, low rate that big banks pay the Federal Reserve for their short-term borrowing; a plan President Barack Obama laid out in his budget in April; and the GOP plan that just passed the House, which Warren and Obama hate.

The GOP bill would allow interest rates on student loans to rise or fall from year to year with the government's cost of borrowing, ending the current system under which rates are fixed by law. Because market rates are low right now, the initial rate for the loans envisioned by the Republican bill  would be about 4.4 percent, but the legislation would allow them to rise to as much as 8.5 percent. Warren says the plan would turn students into "a profit center."

Under Obama's plan, the interest rate at which student loans are issued would vary depending on the economy, but once the student has borrowed the money, the interest rate would be fixed for the life of the loan, allowing students to plan for consistent payments. Obama's plan would also aid low-income borrowers by letting them cap their monthly loan payments to 10 percent of their income after graduation.

Warren's proposal, the Bank on Students Loan Fairness Act, would act as a one-year patch, cutting student loan rates to the same low .75 percent interest rate that banks pay to the Fed for short-term loans. After a year, a longer-term student loan solution would be drawn up. (Here is a round-up of all the plans, plus some nice charts.) Warren's bill has drawn praise from students and advocates around the country. MoveOn said in an email blast that more than 434,000 of their members have voiced support for the legislation.

But MoveOn wants more students, graduates, and parents to get involved in influencing the outcome of legislation that will determine how much money they spend on education debt over a lifetime. The Monday briefing is part of that effort. "We can win this fight and show that Congress needs to respond to an agenda that works for us," MoveOn said in a statement, "But only if we organize together in our communities, on college campuses, and everywhere our representatives can see us."

Supreme Court Okays Warrantless DNA Sampling

| Mon Jun. 3, 2013 10:01 AM PDT
dna

Police can force suspects arrested for serious crimes to give DNA samples, a divided Supreme Court ruled, 5 votes to 4, on Monday (PDF). Law enforcement officials in 28 states already routinely collect DNA from alleged criminals, but privacy advocates had argued that taking suspects' DNA without a search warrant is a violation of the Fourth Amendment's protection against unreasonable searches and seizures. The high court's decision could lead to a massive national DNA database, conservative Justice Antonin Scalia warned in a dissent joined by three of the more liberal justices.

The case, Maryland v. King, originated from the arrest of Alonzo King, whose DNA was taken against his will after he was picked up for a gun-related assault charge. King was convicted of the gun charge, but officials also matched his DNA to evidence from an unsolved rape case. That, King argued, violated his Fourth Amendment rights. Maryland's Supreme Court agreed. (For more background on the case, read our report from February.)

The Supreme Court's five-justice majority struck down the Maryland court's ruling, noting that DNA sampling is routine police procedure. "Taking and analyzing a cheek swab of the arrestee DNA is, like fingerprinting and photographing, a legitimate police booking procedure that is reasonable under the Fourth Amendment," Justice Anthony Kennedy wrote for the majority.

The other four justices didn't take the decision so lightly. "Make no mistake about it: because of today’s decision, your DNA can be taken and entered into a national database if you are ever arrested, rightly or wrongly, and for whatever reason," wrote Scalia, who sometimes splits with his right-wing colleagues on civil liberties issues. Justices Ruth Bader Ginsberg, Elena Kagan, and Sonia Sotomayor joined Scalia's dissent.

Rep. Darrell Issa: Tea Party-Targeting IRS Staffers Took Their Orders From Washington

| Mon Jun. 3, 2013 9:14 AM PDT
Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.).Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.).

Despite the claims of Obama administration officials, the IRS scandal is not the fault of "rogue" staffers in Cincinnati, according to Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.). No, the chairman of the House oversight committee charges—despite the paucity of evidence backing him up—that it leads all the way back to the agency's headquarters in Washington.

On CNN's State of the Union on Sunday, Issa made some of his strongest claims yet that top IRS brass knew of, if not directed, the targeting of right-leaning groups applying for tax-exempt status for special scrutiny. Issa also ripped Obama administration officials for denying that the IRS scandal reaches back to Washington.

"The administration is still trying to say there's a few rogue agents in Cincinnati, when in fact the indication is they were directly being ordered from Washington," Issa said.

He called White House Press Secretary Jay Carney the administration's "paid liar" while accusing him of dissembling about the extent of the IRS scandal. Carney, Issa said, is "still making up things about what happens and calling this a local rogue. The reason that [IRS director] Lois Lerner tried to take the Fifth [Amendment when asked to testify before Congress] is not because there's a rogue in Cincinnati. It's because this is a problem that was coordinated in all likelihood right out of Washington headquarters. And we're getting to proving it."

Issa also suggested—again, without evidence—that tea partiers' complaints about the agency's heavy-handed treatment were overlooked because it was an election year. "My gut tells me that too many people knew that this wrongdoing was going on before the election, and at least by some sort of convenient benign neglect allowed it to go on through the election, allowed these groups, these conservative groups, these, if you will, not friends of the president to be disenfranchised through an election," he said. "Now, I'm not making any allegations as to motive, that they set out to do it. But certainly, people knew it was happening."

There's been quite a bit of fallout since the IRS scandal erupted two weeks ago, when Lerner, who runs the IRS division that oversees politically active nonprofits, apologized for the singling out of conservative groups. Lerner is now on paid leave. Steven Miller, the acting commissioner of the IRS when the scandal broke, resigned his position; he was replaced by Danny Werfel, an Obama administration official. Members of the House and Senate have held numerous hearings on the issue, blasting Lerner, Miller, and the Treasury inspector general whose report found numerous examples of wrongdoing but no evidence of political bias. The release of an internal video showing IRS staffers learning a dance called the "Cupid Shuffle" at a 2010 conference has only added to the agency's woes.

Werfel, the current acting commissioner, will address the video and the IRS' targeting scandal at Congressional hearings this week.

Cigarette Maker Funded Dark-Money Conservative Groups

| Fri May. 31, 2013 11:49 AM PDT

When we use the term "dark money," we're usually referring to politically active nonprofit groups—like the kind at the center of the recent IRS scandal—that spend millions on political campaigns yet don't disclose their funders. Think Karl Rove's Crossroads GPS, Koch-backed Americans for Prosperity, and pro-Democrat Patriot Majority. Rarely, if ever, does the public learn who bankrolls these organizations.

This week, though, we got one such glimpse. As the Center for Public Integrity reported, Reynolds American Inc., the corporation behind Camel and Winston cigarettes, funded several high-profile dark money groups in 2012. Reynolds doled out $175,000 to Americans for Tax Reform, conservative activist Grover Norquist's anti-tax group. The company also gave $50,000 to Americans for Prosperity, $45,000 to the US Chamber of Commerce, and $100,000 to the Partnership for Ohio's Future, an Ohio Chamber-backed group that supported restricting the worker bargaining rights.

Here's more from CPI's Dave Levinthal:

The tobacco company’s donations are just a fraction of the nearly $50 million that those two groups reported spending on political advocacy ads during the 2012 election cycle, almost exclusively on negative advertising. Federal records show that Americans for Prosperity alone sponsored more than $33 million in attack ads that directly targeted President Barack Obama.

But the money, which Reynolds American says it disclosed in a corporate governance document at the behest of an unnamed shareholder, provides rare insight into how some of the most powerful politically active 501(c)(4) “social welfare” nonprofits are bankrolled.

Reynolds American is the parent company of R.J. Reynolds Tobacco, which makes Camel and Winston brand cigarettes.

“The shareholder specifically requested that we disclose information about 501(c)(4)s, and in the interests of greater transparency, we agreed,” Reynolds American spokeswoman Jane Seccombe said.

Large corporations—tobacco companies or otherwise—almost never release information about their giving to such groups, and it’s most unusual for the groups themselves to voluntarily disclose who donates to them.

After the Supreme Court's 2010 Citizens United decision, which freed corporations to pump vastly more money into American campaigns, businesses faced two options. They could donate to super-PACs, which can raise and spend unlimited sums of money but must disclose their donors. Or they could fund politically active nonprofits, which can dabble in politics but don't name their donors. In the wake of Citizens United, we heard countless warnings about a "flood" of corporate cash into politics through big-spending super-PACs. But that flood never quite materialized: For-profit corporations accounted for just over $1 of every $10 raised by super-PACs in the 2012 election cycle. Instead, it was a small band of millionaires and billionaires that gave super-PACs most of their dough.

What the relatively small Reynolds American Inc. donations suggest is that corporations chose the nonprofit route and so avoided scrutiny of their political giving in today's big-money era. In this case, Reynolds' donations were disclosed only because a pesky shareholder asked for them to be. That's not the case for most corporations, whose giving remains a secret.

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Sorry, There's Been No Economic Recovery for Poor and Minority Households

| Fri May. 31, 2013 8:17 AM PDT

There has been lots of cheery news about the economic recovery lately. A new report out Thursday from the Federal Reserve puts that in check. American households have rebuilt less than half of the wealth they lost during the recession, according to the study. And most of the wealth that has been recovered went to rich white people.

"A conclusion that the financial damage of the crisis and recession largely has been repaired is not justified," says the report. "Most families have recovered much less than the average amount."

The financial crisis destroyed some $16 trillion in household wealth. Americans have only recovered 45 percent of that amount, according to the Fed report. But when you break down that wealth recovery by income level, it gets worse. The Fed estimates that 62 percent of that wealth people have regained since the depths of the recession has come in the form of higher stock prices. And 80 percent of stock wealth is held by people in the top 10 percent of the income distribution. "Recent gains in the stock market mean that the recovery of wealth is nearly complete for white and Asian households and older Americans," Ylan Mui reported at the Washington Post Thursday.

But many families have not experienced any recovery at all, and some are still losing wealth, William Emmons, chief economist at the St. Louis Fed’s Center for Household Financial Stability, told the Post. "The families that lost homes are not the families making money off stocks," Mui notes. Though the number of foreclosures has dropped off a lot, it is still more than double what it was pre-crisis.

The report found that the most vulnerable households tended to be either relatively young and/or black or Hispanic, and not well-educated. Those families had low savings and high debt and had gained most of their wealth through their homes.

It gets worse. Because the housing market is improving overall, there is less of an incentive for the government to push any new measures to help underwater homeowners. Prominent economists say that allowing initiatives that would reduce borrowers' loan principle balances is the single most important thing the administration could do to help the Americans who lost all that home wealth. But for more than a year, the head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), which oversees the government-backed home-loan giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, blocked initiatives that would have done just that. President Barack Obama has nominated a new FHFA director, but as a report released Friday by the Progressive Policy Institute notes, it might be too late: "US housing markets have come roaring back to life, and while that's great news, it has probably closed the window for principal reduction."

Banks Are Doing Better Than Ever. The Middle Class, Not So Much.

| Thu May. 30, 2013 7:44 AM PDT

The nation's banks are reporting record profits, according to new numbers out Wednesday from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Most of the rest of us aren't faring quite so well.

Bank profits topped $40.3 billion in the first three months of the year, according to the FDIC, attesting to a strong recovery... in the banking sector. "The banks are back," Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi told the Washington Post Wednesday. "Only four years after the banking system was literally looking into the abyss, it is highly profitable again." The biggest banks, including Wells Fargo, Bank of America and Citigroup, accounted for most of the industry's profits. Here's what that looks like, via the Post:

The wider economy hasn't shared the banking sector's return to prosperity. Yes, the unemployment rate has dropped a little. Consumer confidence is up. The housing market is healthier. But the current share of the population that is employed is still well below what it was before the recession. Here is a chart from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities:

The housing market hasn't bounced back at the same pace as bank profits, either. As Derek Thompson pointed out at The Atlantic earlier this year, overall business investment is growing, but companies are still reluctant to invest in housing. Here is what that looks like—the red curve is residential housing investment; the blue curve is non-housing investment:

The new FDIC numbers also show that loan balances at banks shrunk in the first three months of the year. As Isaac Boltansky, a banking analyst with Compass Point Research and Trading, told the Post, that's "a sign that the broader economy still has room for improvement." Indeed.

Trump Starts His 2016 Dance

Thu May. 30, 2013 7:27 AM PDT
Donald Trump Hollywood Walk of Fame star

Uh-oh, here we go. Donald Trump—his hair and his ego—is reprising his carnival barker role:

Donald Trump declined to say on Wednesday whether he was running for president in 2016 but said that "people in this country are desperate for leadership."

The billionaire businessman told Neil Cavuto on Fox News: "Whether it’s me — or, frankly, let it be somebody — but somebody has to come along and straighten out this country. We’re in trouble."

The New York Post reported on Monday that Trump has spent $1 million to research his political standing in certain states. He told the Oakland County Republican Party’s Lincoln Day Dinner in Michigan last week that it was "highly unlikely" that he would seek the White House in 2016.

Perhaps it's time to feel nostalgic for the 2012 Republican presidential campaign. Ah, remember when Trump headlined a telephonic town hall meeting for Michele Bachmann, showing that he really has an eye for political talent? So what's next? Herman Cain returns with his 9-9-9 plan?

 

Bachmann's Right: The Founders Would "Hardly Even Recognize" America Today

| Wed May. 29, 2013 3:45 PM PDT

Michele Bachmann has said some crazy things over the years. When her goodbye speech today warned that America is "becoming a nation our founders would hardly even recognize today," we had to agree.