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The Impact of Urban Sprawl

A while back, Witold Rybczynski wrote an article in Slate about how urban sprawl was inevitable, had happened throughout history, and was impossible to stop. Naturally, it was pointed out that while that might be true, not all sprawl was created equal. Some forms are worse than others. A random bit of clicking around the World Bank's site dredged up this old study which can make some of the differences here a bit more palpable.

To see what we're dealing with here, take Boston (for some reason there's incomplete data on San Francisco). Boston's already a fairly spread-out city, but if its "population centrality" was as spread-out as Atlanta's, Bostonians would be driving about 9 percent more. Public transit also matters: If Boston had Atlanta's rail system, total driving would increase by about 5 percent. (If it had a transit system as shoddy as, say, Dallas', there would be even more driving.) The distribution of jobs to housing matters too. Boston has a very even mix in this regard, but if it was to become more unbalanced like, say, Washington D.C., driving would increase by roughly 9 percent. (I'm eyeballing the calculations here.)

That doesn't seem like such a big deal, but taken together, these changes start to have a real impact—the authors point out that if you could wave a magic wand and make Atlanta similar to Boston, then total driving per household would decrease by 25 percent. Obviously no one has a magic wand, and maybe people prefer living in Atlanta-type cities to Boston-type cities, although who can fathom why, but it's certainly something to consider.

Posted by Bradford Plumer on 12/06/05 at 6:27 PM | E-mail | Print



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Not having ever been to Atlanta, I can't say that I'd prefer it to commuting in Boston, but if Boston's MBTA is an improvement over other rail systems, there's a huge amount of work to be done.

Posted by: Matan on 12/07/05 at 7:22 AM

Haha, amen to that! (And I say that having lived in Boston...)

Posted by: Brad Plumer on 12/07/05 at 8:27 AM

I have lived in Boston also and now live in Portland, ME which has a very limited public transportation system (all buses which I hate) but I think that condering the age and the size of the MBTA it is a good system, and always much preferable to driving in Boston which is set up much more like a European city with roads that were not originally designed for cars like many mid-western and west coast cities were.

Posted by: Shane Long on 12/07/05 at 8:58 AM

Rybczynski's article asserts that sprawl isn't purely American, nor is it necessarily bad. But not all sprawl is created equal. Planned suburban expansions, designed with around effective transportation and limiting undesirable growth, is a good thing. Handing out dirt-cheap swaths of desert to profiteering developers and putting exurban proto-towns in the hands of Benedict Arnold mayors and councils - that the the phenomenon that occurs all too often in America and must be fought against. Mostly it boils down to a culture of urban planning. It it there, not in absence or presence of suburbs, that America has fallen woefully short, particularly since the 1950's.

Posted by: tollingbell [TypeKey Profile Page] on 12/08/05 at 12:56 PM

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