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Explaining Inaction on Global Warming
Here's a thought as to why Congress does—and will continue to do—nothing about trying to avert catastrophic global warming:
Cass Sunstein, a law professor and political scientist at the University of Chicago, raises the provocative question of why America has responded in such diametrically different fashion to terrorism (panic) and global warming (postponement).Except… except… politicians in other countries, particularly in Europe, face the same dilemma and they all take global warming fairly seriously. Why is that? Perhaps it's true that the structure of our political system is a reason why Congress does absolutely nothing about climate change, but the more immediate problem is the particular politicians in charge right now—namely, conservative ideologues bought and paid for by business groups that are allergic to any and all environmental regulations. Not that Democrats are much better, mind you. It's just silly to overlook the foremost obstacle to any sort of sensible climate change policy.In a paper released this month by the AEI-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies, Sunstein notes that presidents and legislators are willing to squander money to avoid being blamed for something.
"Every politician has a strong incentive to take steps to prevent terrorist attacks," Sunstein writes. "If such an attack occurs 'on his watch,' the likelihood of political reprisal is high ... By contrast, it is far less likely that there will be a climate change 'incident' on the watch of, or easily attributable to, any current politician."
At any rate, Paul Krugman had an interesting column today noting that the amount of sacrifice involved in averting global warming wouldn't be huge, according to the "broad consensus" among economists. At worst, reducing carbon emissions to sustainable levels would reduce GDP growth by two-tenths of a percentage point over the next twenty years. That's a lot of money, but hardly crippling, and there would still be a lot of economic growth to spare. And my hunch is that the actual "pain" involved would be much less severe. Anti-regulatory types have always predicted that this or that environmental law would destroy industries and lead to mass unemployment and make everyone poorer and unhappier. They've usually, if not always, been wrong.
Posted by Bradford Plumer on 05/26/06 at 3:25 PM | E-mail | Print | Digg this | de.licio.us
Comments
Sunstein is pretty much completely wrong. It's a nice theory, but doesn't hold up under even the most cursory examination. The largest terrorist attack ever resulted in a net gain of seats in Congress for the Republicans and re-election of the President who was known, at the time of his re-election, to have willfully ignored warnings about a potential terrorist attack on the Trade Center.
So Plumer points out that other politicians do take global warming seriously; I point out that ignoring terrorism has no political reprisals associated with it. Did Sunstein even consider for a second that perhaps the political predilections of the particular President and party currently running the United States might have something to do with America's response toward terrorism and global warming? Maybe?
Posted by: Anon on 05/28/06 at 6:35 AM
I think that congress, like many, are quite convinced in the myth of global warming. All we hear is that the world is getting warmer and ice caps are melting ect. yet we dont look close enough at the facts. the world has actually been on a cool for a period of about 20 years.
The other problem with Global warming and its many many different theories and assumptions is that it is far more complex than people make it out to be. And please do not compare with the Europeans. i am british by nationality, and the amount of rubbish that goes on in europe when it comes to environment friendly issues. the kioto act for example is a bit of a laugh. good thing Bush did not sign it. The only countries that have even come close to the figures that had to be achieved are England and the States.
Posted by: Rolf ROthermel on 05/29/06 at 1:16 PM
What...??????? Ah--too bad we all can't live in your fantasy world; scared you say: 53 days after he took office, Bush reneged on his campaign promise to regulate CO2 emission from power plants.
Why..., that is the most ludicrous idea I've heard in a long time: politicos scared of the public... Shoot, just consider how Congress deftly dodged the closing door on the way out--without even voting on extending the assault rifle ban--and on one batted an eye...
Get real..., the reason for the blind eye on global warming is that INDUSTRY wants a handout, and, in the end, when we can see the sword hanging over our heads with better clarity, certainly they'll laugh all the way to the bank...
One only needs to look as far as Hillary's proposed $50 BILLION subsidy for ethanol..., though electric cars are truly fantastic (the automakers claimed that CA's ZEV (zero emission vehicle) mandate was unattainable because consumers simply weren't interested)(gosh, it's just the ACLU that isn't interested here...).
And taxes: we'll simply have to accept higher taxes to pay for INDUSTRY to comply with stricter emission standards..., and, believe it, taxes will stay higher.
Oh yeah, that's the way, uh huh--put the entire planet on the table, bet with everything we've got--hope no one calls your bluff...
What...??????, these politicians belong in an asylum for the criminally insane...
Posted by: Michael L. Wagner on 05/29/06 at 7:08 PM
The only thing said that has any truth to it about global warming in the third post, is that it is very much a complex issue. To deny that we as a civilization should take heed in stoking our economies using petrochemicals is sheer arrogance.
I would put my trust in what the bulk of the scientific community that spans the globe has to say about this issue rather then the handful of special interest refuters and their greedy political allies. Regardless of the outcome, a warming trend or a radical shift in continental cooling, if and when climate is greatly disrupted, negative catastrophic change may be the outcome.
Posted by: Ben Merc on 05/29/06 at 8:10 PM
Well if you look at the maps on the effects of Global Warming you do see that a large part of the US, expecially what is called the "bread basket" is one of those area that of the world that doesn't get affected as baddly. So I guess our politicians see it as we can have the world at our feet if we are the food supplier. Yes we would loose some of our most southern cities that are on the coast, but we have already shown how much we care for that area all ready .. can we say "Katrina"? And somewhat more northern areas of the coast would have warmer temps and more mosquitos (can we say, sell them screens for thier windows and a bigger market for bug sprays?), but look at it this way .. the coast won't be as long a drive.
Posted by: deddancer on 05/29/06 at 10:38 PM
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Thats an easy one...there is no "money" in it (yet)
Posted by: Ben Merc on 05/27/06 at 6:30 AM