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Peacekeepers in Lebanon
The Los Angeles Times has a good piece on the wholly ineffective 2,000-strong UN peacekeeping force that has been in southern Lebanon for a long while. Most notable, the peacekeepers currently have to worry about Hezbollah fighters who sidle up beside UN bases and fire off rockets towards Haifa and Nahariya in the hopes that Israel will retaliate and blow up some peacekeepers, as happened on Tuesday. But this part, explaining why the existing UN force never reined in Hezbollah in the first place, seems important:
The U.N. observers sat by while an unchecked Hezbollah consolidated political control over the south, built up its arsenal and girded itself to do battle once again with the nemesis across the border.That seems believable. These days, everyone seems to be calling for a more effective international force to come in and stabilize southern Lebanon. But a "more effective" force that tried to tame Hezbollah could well mean war against the group's militia—and if the United States can't defeat an insurgency in Iraq, what makes anyone think that, say, European troops can pacify Hezbollah in southern Lebanon? Some sort of negotiated peace will likely be the only way forward, but that possibility seems quite distant at the moment.They had no choice, they say: Hezbollah could be tamed only with the use of force, which is not part of their mandate.
"You have to be able to impose international will," Pellegrini said. "You need heavy weapons and strong rules of engagement."
But this is the bind that will face any military that tries to tangle with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon: The organization will fight fiercely to keep its guns, and its widespread grass-roots popularity makes the militia capable of mounting a fierce insurgency.
The peacekeepers couldn't be here, U.N. officials acknowledge, if Hezbollah didn't tolerate them. And if they were cracking heads, they would no longer be tolerated.
Posted by Bradford Plumer on 07/28/06 at 3:28 PM | E-mail | Print | Digg | de.licio.us | Reddit | Newsvine | Yahoo! MyWeb | StumbleUpon | Netscape | Google |
Comments
Personally I think the major interest in not sending a peacekeeping force to Lebanon is a form of communicating with both the US and Israel—who don’t listen to anyone because they know best. The signal is a kind of economical sanction, in the realist sense. The United States has done nothing but piss on the UN for six years, and on Europeans as well. The UN is a gigantic organization that wields enormous resources of global reach and knowledge, hence it ought to be a resource, but due to inept leadership the US fails in comprehending how to use this tool, and it appears that who and what the UN is, is not even remotely understood—for Bush the UN is a scapegoat—someone to blame for his incompetence. His inability to work with and listen to the UN or Europe is part of the reason the US is failing so miserably in the Middle East. In Lebanon, like in Iraq, might makes wrong.
The point is that both the UN and Europe can perhaps have their interests best served by refusing to go into Lebanon because they can use the American image of themselves as being “macho-cowboy” while the UN and the Europeans can play the role and image of “it’s too dangerous” but more importantly are the reasons for doing this show. The grounds for the war started by Israel in Lebanon are on par with the American’s WMD scam in Iraq. —A crude defiance of the world community and a sickly display of power—for a couple of hostages we can destroy a nation but as we see they can’t roll through Lebanon like they have done previously and Israel is going to be forced to admit that these “guerilla, terrorists” are now an organized unit, capable of thwarting a direct assault and inflicting military damage.
In Iraq, when the UN pulled out its teams and refuse to lift a finger to help the US, you could basically say that this is when and where and why the US lost or probably will lose the war in Iraq. Without the UN’s logistical supply of food and medicine—what the ridiculed Food for Oil program factually did was supply Iraqis with (in spite of the corruption) for 10 years, accounts for what the entire world witnessed on their TV sets when Iraqis broke the cold and eerie silence that filled Iraq when combat operations ceased and they pored out into Baghdad on a looting spree. Had these supply lines of food been in place, all those who were starving, in need of medical care and in desperate need of water might have been kept at bay and appeased so that a sense of normalcy could have been maintained and the crunch of the war minimized. On the other hand had Bush obeyed the demands of the UN and extended the search period for WMD, then we all know that searches for WMD would have still come up empty and the grounds for invasion made even more flimsy—that was the reason for the immediacy by the liars in Washington.
With Lebanon a refusal to put peacekeeping forces on the ground will result in Israel and the US having to do something about the situation, while Hezbollah will be allowed to dig in even deeper and in fact gaining greater support for their cause throughout Lebanon and beyond, while Syria will once again regain control of Lebanon (if not openly then through the back door and both Syria and Iran will have their Hezbollah pit-bulls more than willing to do their bidding for them.) The point here is that by remaining aloof and offering no help or only superficial help Europe and UN security forces will incur no costs while the whole burden will once again fall on the Bush preemptionist mentality. That burden will mean more immediate costs to the US while at the same time Israel will find itself weakened. The US is already stretched thin in money terms and in manpower but so is Israel. Just how much money and aid the Americans will be able to muster given the predicament of Iraq is hard to say. So ultimately if being called “a pussy” is tantamount to increasing your power at the expense of the others folly then the choice will be to hell with the US and to hell with Israel because they deserve to pay for the burden—so let’s play pussies. Again there are more than real costs. If Hezbollah emboldens the terror-guerilla groups elsewhere in the Middle East the consequences could be that places like Saudi Arabia and Egypt find themselves swimming in swarms of Jihadists. It only takes one well-planned attack in Saudi Arabia and the price of oil is at 100 dollars a barrel immediately. That idea might make some European states think that it is in their interest to cool down the situation and to move a serious peacekeeping force into the area, though the mind of the world is basically screw the US and screw Israel because they have become infected by stupidity and diseased by power fever and as long as the American public remain “pussies” the crimes of Bush will continue.
Posted by: jeff on 07/29/06 at 2:00 AM
German-EU grows restless over the Middle East
The EU is itchin' for a fight, frustrated, getting too big for its britches, and feels the growing need for some piece of the global action and fast.
Michael Shtender-Auerbach offers a convincing argument in the EUOBSERVER that NATO is dead, the UN is ineffective, and categorically states Europe must rise to the occasion and exert world leadership in the Middle East and fill the power vacuum that is becoming clearer with each crisis that merely evokes a slow and tedious response after much haggling:
The European Union should consider the immediate dispatch of its EU Rapid Reaction Force (RRF) - invoking the EU Rapid Reaction Mechanism (RRM) - to southern Lebanon. The RRF is a European military force that can be "triggered in situations of crisis and armed conflict," and falls under the auspices of the EU Common Foreign and Security Policy.
Its development was predicated on the idea that the EU needs a force that can act independently of US-led NATO missions. The RRF's mandate limits its deployment to six months, which would afford enough time for Europe to build a semi-permanent EU force like the one deployed in the Balkans, or ideally, the development and deployment of the Lebanese army to secure its own peace.
Herr Shtender-Auerbach is right on, according to the prophecies within your Bible - biblical prophecies that Herbert W. Armstrong faithfully warned about for years. Mr. Armstrong was truly a lone voice in the wilderness (while others, misguided, focused on Russia).
Such a blitzkrieg force, EU Rapid Reaction Force (RRF), was destined to emerge and transform from peacekeepers to war mongerers in a nuclear flash! Such peacekeepers are wolves in sheep's clothing. They also serve to distract from continental woes and unite Europe in a common cause, rallying the Europeans with the hope of keeping the Muslim hordes at bay and warning those within to stay still or be silenced (by a growing backlash against Muslim subversion of "Christian Western civilization" coupled with brazen demands for conformity to their Koranic code).
Germany assumes power over the European Union in 2007. Will Iran unleash terror on Vienna? Berlin? Rome? Won't the Bavarian pope stress how providential for Germany to exercise authority at such a crucial time? Will Germany remove its mask, reveal the beast and bare its fangs as it seizes control of the situation and commands Europe to follow their lead? Hasn't Germany been showing increasing signs of such restlessness and become hungry like a wolf for purpose?
Europe's rapid response to jihad will be a NEW CRUSADE, a clash of civilizations that butt heads in the Middle East and crowns Europe the victor and Islam the vanquished, forcibly brought into submission, yet EU mission accomplished with an evil eye on Jerusalem, specifically the Temple Mount.
The United States is bankrupt, our army overextended, and troubles are brewing at home that will demand the attention of our troops, as our own borders are compromised and our national security undermined by treacherous inaction by our president and politicians. We're simply going to have to withdraw American troops from around the world, starting with American forces in Germany.
Posted by: David Ben-Ariel on 07/29/06 at 7:52 PM
No one should be deluded into thinking the current crisis in Lebanon is over a terrorist group kidnapping a few soldiers. The event leading up to the Israeli retaliation conveniently coincided with the Hamas attack, which was was building up from when Israel pulled out from Gaza. In an attempt to move at least slightly forward towards some type of peace, Gaza Palestinians were given an opportunity to begin to build the state they have talked about for so long. This began with the Israeli pullout of Gaza and dismantling of their settlements. The Gaza Palestinians began by continuing to lob missles into Israel, destroying infrastructure Israelis left behind, and then voting in a political party who's stated goal is the destruction of Israel. The tension has been escalating, and Hezbollah just took advantage of the situation to put themselves back in the limelight, and create a new front for Israel. Israel, and rightly so, holds the Lebanonese government responsible for what transpires on their soil. The over-reaction of Israel is easy to criticize when you don't live in a country that has continually had to fight to survive...a country that was created by UN mandate, and immediately set upon by Arab neighbors. I personally see the loss of civilian life as tragic, on both sides of the border, but at least I understand where Israel is coming from. They know they will not totally defeat Hezbollah by blasting from the air, but with luck the rest of the world will help keep the peace...a real peace...on the Lebanon border. And also realize that the real Arab power brokers of this action, Syria and Iran, are happy with high tensions and loss of life to further their power goals.
Every party is to blame in this conflict, including the US. The pity is the UN isn't given the real power to do the bidding of the world majority, and is undercut at all level by so many nations.
Posted by: balboa on 07/29/06 at 9:43 PM
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Are you insinuating it was morally acceptable to kill 4 UN peacekeepers? They called it upon Israel ten times to stop the fire. Regarding the rest of your comment, you are roughly missing the point, peacekeepers are representatives of all the nations sitting at the UN. They are not only from Europe, in this drama one soldier was chinese, American soldiers in Iraq are the representatives of one country and they serve one policy. Which nation should impose the ceasefire, Israel ? Like in Iraq, the victory cannot stop with a military juggernaut.
Posted by: citrucel on 07/28/06 at 4:35 PM