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Introducing the Polling Project: Getting to the Bottom of the Polling Industry
Arianna Huffington has a simple question: "Are polls measuring the 2008 election or are they driving it?"
With that in mind, she's launched the Polling Project, a attempt to shine a bright light on the polling industry and its effects on the American political discourse. "We want to get to the bottom of how pollsters conduct their surveys, how they gather and build their stats, how they target who they contact, and, ultimately, how they reach their conclusions," says Arianna.
It's a worthy endeavor in part because it gets beyond what you would find in a well-researched book on the subject, through the magic of citizen participation. If you've been contacted by a pollster, the Polling Project wants to hear about your experiences. All of the project's cosponsors, which includes, in addition to Mother Jones, Talking Points Memo, Instapundit, Politico, and the Nation, are putting a button on their websites that direct you to this form.
If enough people participate, the project will be able to determine if midwesterners are being asked different questions than their coastal counterparts, if blacks and Hispanics hear questions no one else does, and if push polls are popping up around the country. Perhaps most importantly, we'll find out if polls are creating buzz instead of just reporting it.
So if you get a call from a pollster, click the link on our left sidebar the next time you visit motherjones.com. Your name and contact info won't be revealed. So help out if you can!
Comments
A college senior could use principal component analysis to see if asking different questions can produce the 'statistics' that are press worthy. and 'prove' your case.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principal_component_analysis
The downside to this project is that there are so many people who wouldn't recognize a 'push poll' if they were told the the next phone call was going to be one.
If, in a statewide poll, a midwesterner was getting different questions than their coastal counterpart, it would not matter. If a Hispanic got different questions than an Africa-American, it would not matter if they were 2 different polls and the respondent criteria was disclosed.
I agree a lot of education is needed for the general population on the short-comings, limitations, definitions, and how to read results, but I doubt this effort will be of much use.
Posted by: PlacitasRoy on 11/23/07 at 10:15 AM Respond
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Posted by: slanted tom on 11/21/07 at 2:34 PM Respond