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Even a Stopped Clock...: George Will on the Subprime Mortgage Scandal
When George Will starts sounding good to you, is it time to pack it in?
Reading him today on the subprime mortgage collapse, I found myself experiencing some serious cognitive dissonance; rather than turning my stomach, he messed with my mind. He's got me seeing the problem from a different angle. What were people thinking signing up for mortgages the rates of which increased astronomically, far beyond their ability to pay, capped off by balloon payments of tens and hundreds of thousands? Brokers shouldn't have dangled the loans in front of our eyes but once dangled, who's really at fault for borrowers having bitten? I rent and I got all those "magic bean" mortgage emails. I deleted them.
The Democratic candidates are talking about 90 day moratoriums on foreclosures and 5-7 year interest rate caps on these ridiculous mortgages. Which leaves out in the cold homeowners who scrimped and saved for a down payment and religiously make their monthly mortgage (93% according to Will). It also leaves out those who invested in mortgage-backed securities who will now have no say in the future of their investment.
Senator Clinton is arguing that this 5-7 year freeze remain in place until the borrowers can have been transitioned to "affordable" loans. Which means what, when you live paycheck to paycheck, have crappy credit and never had a prayer of affording the house you then sucked all the equity from and which is now worth nowhere near what you agreed to pay? Far from worries that the subprime mess will make homeowners renters again, is it even arguable that "renters" is all they ever effectively were? Yup, neighborhoods will crumble as foreclosures mount, local business will fail. But what about our whole system of contract law, not to mention how much more difficult, and costly, it will be for even the credit-worthy to get a mortgage after this.
Will is on much less firm ground in scoffing at the notion that "predatory" and "aggressive" brokers and mortgage companies are in anyway culpable:
So, lenders knew their loans would not be fully repaid?
Jesse Jackson speaks of "victims of aggressive mortgage brokers." But given that foreclosure is usually a net loss for all parties to the transaction, what explains the "aggression"? Who thought it was in their interest to do the luring and leading that Clinton alleges?
So, all those MBAs thought Mrs. Jackson, with her bedpan-emptying wages and 15 credit cards was actually going to hit the lotto and make that $30,000 balloon payment.
C'mon, George. Lenders were looking at the front end, not the back. Fiddle dee dee, how the marginally solvent were going to maintain their unmaintainable mortgages was a problem for an other department—they had quotas to meet.
Still, it took two to manage this tango—greedy and/or naive borrowers and greedy and/or greedy lenders. Unless it can be shown that borrowers were actually duped, I'm starting to wonder if we should save people from themselves this time. There are just some offers a grown up might have to say no to.
Comments
The fact is that money can only be saved by investing it. The problem is that everyone wants infinite wealth, but there are serious limits on how much can be profitably invested. Think for a moment where all the money the government borrows would be invested if the government wasn't borrowing it?Credit cards, sub-primes morgages, government debt, etc. It's all the same big paper bubble and it's going to continue to be blown up, with any holes papered over with more paper, until it can go on anymore. Then the oil drains out of the motor and it blows up.
http://www.exterminatingangel.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=203&Itemid=118
The same people (ie Jesse Jackson) who once decried banks for redlining when they didn't lend money to poor people now scream predatory lending when banks lend money to the poor. People should cultivate more wisdom but the poor who are inexperienced with money matters clearly need more independent guidance, advice, and direction. This would be a good task for organizations such as the Urban League.
Also, in North Carolina, where I live, the poor who bought homes have also brought ghetto behavior with them. Crime, blight and drug dealing are now present in starter home neighborhoods as well as in the PJ's. This goes to show that poverty is a culture and lifestyle as well as a lack of money.
Posted by: Daniel Aldridge on 12/18/07 at 7:12 AM Respond
I don't have statistics on how many buyers were duped, but I've heard enough anecdotes to believe many were defrauded. There are people who claim they read their documents, and then found the copies they were handed to sign were different form what they read. People were lied to about what small print legalese meant. People who were told they could refinance. Even if buyers should have been more careful, that doesn't excuse those who deceived them. I just have no sympathy for the subprime brokers. Besides, it seems like the homeowners get the blame while the investors who bought these investments that promised high interest for no risk just get sympathy and the banks get talk of bailouts.
Posted by: Eric Ferguson on 12/18/07 at 9:32 AM Respond
Eric:
If the buyers were duped, then they HAVE an remedy available to them via a class-action case against the lenders for fraud. You can bet that any plaintiff's lawyer admitted to the bar would love to get a piece of THAT case.
By and large, though, George Will is correct here. A lot of people signed away a LOT of money because they didn't think things through, and now the cost of that is going to be transferred to those of us who know how to manage our money.
Posted by: jkp on 12/18/07 at 1:46 PM Respond
I get it that people feel that personal responsibility should have guided people away from the "bad" loans they were offered and signed for. But guess what? Way too many of the agents that were selling these instruments were being less than straight with the applicants about the consequences of signing the forms. And guess what else? Most of the people who signed for these loans were ALREADY homeowners who were re-financing current homes and the bulk of them haven't been hit by the tidal wave -- yet.
During the Great Depression, 75% of the workforce was gainfully employed, but the fate of the other 25% affected everyone. Next year all the talk of "personal responsibility" will fade away once people realize that hundreds of thousands of homeowners who did "know better" but trusted the "financial professionals" to guide them thru the process got caught in this cesspool.
Posted by: Egalitare on 12/20/07 at 7:45 AM Respond
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Posted by: John Merryman on 12/17/07 at 6:55 PM Respond