MOTHER JONES BY E-MAIL

«--Previous Post | Blog Index | Next Post--»

GAO: U.S. Lacks Post-"Surge" Plan For Iraq

iraqisoldier.jpg

Violence in Iraq has fallen precipitously since January 2007, when the Bush Administration upped U.S. troop presence there. Combined with other fortuitous developments like the Mahdi Army's ceasefire and fragile alliances of convenience with Sunni tribesmen, the U.S. "surge" strategy has reduced the average number of enemy attacks by 70 percent, from 180 per day in June 2007 to 50 per day last February. But, says the GAO in a report released today (.pdf), improved security has not yielded significant progress toward other reconstruction goals. And now that U.S. forces are beginning to draw down, the Bush Administration has yet to formulate a comprehensive post-surge plan.

The old strategy—dubbed "The New Way Forward" by the White House—outlined a series of political and economic reconstruction goals for Iraq, all scheduled to be achieved by the end of 2007. But, so the thinking was, security first had to be improved, starting with turning the Iraqi Army into a self-sustaining force that could eventually take over for U.S. troops. The results have been mixed: the number of Iraqi units "in the lead" during combat operations has risen to 70 percent, says the Pentagon. But it likewise admits that just 10 percent are capable of mounting operations without U.S. assistance, primarily for lack of logistical capability and proper training and leadership. As of last month, just 9 of 18 Iraqi provinces had taken "lead responsibility" for their own security, according to the GAO report.

So, what of the other goals outlined in The New Way Forward? According to the GAO, progress has been halting. Here are the highlights:


  • De-Baathification: Reforms have not been implemented because legislators in Baghdad cannot agree on how to readmit former Baathists into the government.
  • Oil: Legislation for managing oil resources and distributing revenues among the provinces has not been enacted; Daily oil production is up, but not anywhere near the target set by the Bush Administration.
  • Electricity: Supply is currently about half of what is required.
  • Disarmament: Sectarian militias have not been disarmed.
  • Provincial Elections: Plans are moving forward to hold elections later this year, but key security and logistical challenges threaten to upset the process.
  • The GAO recommends that the Pentagon and the State Department, in conjunction with other relevant agencies, devise "an updated strategy given important changes that have occurred in Iraq since January 2007." But in their written responses to the GAO's findings, both agencies disagreed, stating that no new strategy is required. Rather, says the State Department, "we shall review and refine the strategy as necessary."

    Photo used under a Creative Commons license from James Gordon.






    Comments

    Hey Bruce, what is the GAO saying about the deficit and the national debt.., whether they're going up or down? And at what rate?

    Wonder what they predict should either McCain's OR Obama's tax cutting schemes get enacted?

    Wonder what they might project on the future ability of our economy to fund Social Security and Medicare at their projected future costs?

    Wonder why these issues are nowhere in today's public debate?

    The CANDIDATES sure don't want to address it, and the media is certainly not going to annoy the annointed by bringing it up, are they?

    Posted by: Wrong Questions on 06/24/08 at 10:41 AM  Respond

    We simply can't afford to continue funding the costs of a de-facto International Empire (military presence in 130 foreign countries, including two MAJOR occupations) and feed ourselves.

    GAO Social Security / Medicare Projections
    http://www.gao.gov/cghome/d08501cg.pdf

    GAO Chief Warns Economic Disaster Looms
    www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/10/28/AR2006102800420_pf.html

    OK.
    So which candidate has a Real and Detailed Plan?
    WHO's going to pull in our military horns from ALL OVER the world and Not JUST from Iraq-istan, and concentrate on defending OUR borders?
    At a cost we might be able to afford?
    Someone..?
    Someone..?
    Anyone...?
    Barack...?
    John.....?
    Bueller..?

    Posted by: Ugly Answers on 06/24/08 at 11:12 AM  Respond

    Ugly Answers says, "We simply can't afford to continue funding the costs of a de-facto International Empire (military presence in 130 foreign countries, including two MAJOR occupations) and feed ourselves," and I think he's got it right.

    Wasn't that the very reason for the fall of the Roman Empire? Has history taught us anything?

    Posted by: Ugly Outcome on 06/24/08 at 11:37 AM  Respond

    Ugly Answers says, "We simply can't afford to continue funding the costs of a de-facto International Empire (military presence in 130 foreign countries, including two MAJOR occupations) and feed ourselves," and I think he's got it right.

    Wasn't that the very reason for the fall of the Roman Empire? Has history taught us anything?

    Posted by: Ugly Outcome on 06/24/08 at 11:38 AM  Respond

    What? No plan? From the Bush administration? How unlike them!!

    Posted by: DaveD on 06/25/08 at 3:59 AM  Respond

    It ought to be obvious by now that the reason why there is no post-surge plan is that there is no post-surge. The Bush Administration was counting on America's famous ADD to kick in as soon as the daily death toll went down, and it did.

    So they don't need a plan. They can leave US troops on the ground at 50 permanent bases for an indefinite amount of time, just like at the other 130 bases around the world. As long as Americans are being killed at tolerable numbers, Americans won't care and John McCain's "100 year" occupation becomes a reality.

    There are a number of intertwined issues at play here, and I think the Bush Administration has done a fantastic job of minimizing the domestic political impact of their Iraq War fiasco. Even the "anti-war" candidate (presumably Obama) is rattling the saber towards Iran and hedging about how long it will take to get the US out of Iraq.

    The Iraqi government has no motivation to kick the US out. They have us right where they want us. They can claim to be helpless to prevent the chaos that would ensue if the US leaves, which would turn the oil fields over to Iran-friendly Shias. At the same time, they can enjoy the billions of dollars a week that we're chucking into Iraq by the pallet-load, getting rich off of Bush's folly, while his buddies get rich, the federal government borrows more from the Chinese, and Bush the Lame Duck doesn't give a toot.

    It's perfect. Post surge plan? You're living it.

    -Wexler

    I think that our military should be brought back from Iraq, and out of the entire middle east while they're at it. If the goal is democracy, not drilling rights, then at some point 'joe' needs to box it up, and bring it home in toto. But, seeing as how yesterday's news carried the story that the big oil companies are working 'deals', well, it kind of makes you wonder what they're really doing, there. The answer? They invaded Iraq to drill oil wells, and lied about it. The oil companies sponsored a Candidate(bush) into office, he's been there for 7 years uncontested by Congress, and under their tender ministrations, something like 100,000 people got killed in Iraq, 4 thousand or so of our troops, not counting the mentally or physically maimed. And, the 'defense' dept.(debt?) now boasts a .6 trillion ANNUAL budget so they can go do it s'more. Problem: Country's going broke. Fuel costs are on the roof.
    I say, 'impeach, and recall the troops'. That's my view.

    Posted by: Bert on 06/25/08 at 8:00 AM  Respond

    ISRAEL’S SUSTAINABLE PARASITISM ON THE AMERICAN PEOPLE

    Israel and the American Diaspora notoriously donate thousands of dollars to elect corruptible American presidential and congressional officials, who then repay Israel a thousand fold from precious tax revenues; with millions of dollars worth of technologically advanced military equipment and services, and with the priceless lives of thousands of young patriots. In the case of the un-Constitutional Iraq War, Podhoretz Neo-Con Bush sacrificed over a trillion dollars and the lives of 4,000 young patriots, to sole benefit of Israel.

    Posted by: Jeugenen on 06/25/08 at 10:31 AM  Respond

    There are already signs the Iraqis are balking at our treaty to make Iraq into our personal oil patch - with 60 military bases as well. If we insist on this, the Great Awakening will turn into the Great Comprehension and the fragile "peace" will disolve.

    Posted by: Scott Baker on 06/25/08 at 2:49 PM  Respond

    New Cabinet Position:

    Maybe they (whoever they are)
    should appoint a new cabinet position:

    Surge On General

    Posted by: Frank Lornitzo on 06/26/08 at 5:11 AM  Respond

    Iraq is a lost war

    Posted by: Frank on 06/26/08 at 9:20 AM  Respond

    I am still waiting for the "Peace Dividend" from the fall of the Soviet Union.

    Posted by: Saint Garth on 06/26/08 at 9:47 AM  Respond

    It may be an over simplification, but there is a definite kernel of truth in the historical fact that the Roman Empire pretty much conquered the existing world. It also left behind military and civilian governors etc., in the areas they conquered.

    However, the interesting part to this simplified history lesson is that the Roman Empire went broke trying to fund all this.

    We have spent 3/4 Trillion dollars in Iraq...

    Thank goodness the dollar is worth about 50% less than when we started all this spreading of democracy.

    Posted by: Hawaiian style on 06/29/08 at 8:14 PM  Respond

    What are you talking about, -no plan for Surge etc?

    The plan is the same as before, steal lots of defense dollars; gain control of Oil; become known as a war president (small p); set the stage for an invasion of Iran.

    Posted by: makaainana on 07/12/08 at 10:31 AM  Respond

    Post a comment





     

    RECENT COMMENTS

    McCain's Bizarre Undiscovered Foreign Policy Ideas (12)
    Drunk Philosopher wrote: To Jim, quote: "The "insightful" Zakaria calls Iran and No... [more]

    Partition in Iraq: A Serious Problem With Biden as VP? (19)
    massimo wrote: Elydog is right,it's a Zionist plan to braek up Iraq and J... [more]

    The Campaign Goes Christian (3)
    Sharon wrote: Vote for Ralph Nader for real change. Obama is a hypocrite... [more]

    The Rooskies Are Out to Get Us! (6)
    Emphyrio wrote: 5. They think it's the state of Georgia where the Atlanta ... [more]

    Troops Abroad Give to Obama 6:1 (2)
    Jeugenen wrote: LIBERAL OBAMA OR NEO-CON/NEO-LIB MC-CAIN The political st... [more]

    Speedo's $600 Swimsuits: Made in America, Bought by China (45)
    Brandon wrote: Tech has not gone too far. This is simply another geegaw ... [more]

    Why is HHS Secretary Mike Leavitt Blogging About Abortion? (1)
    PeaceNick wrote: I think what Secretary Leavitt and the Bush administration... [more]

    Under for Fire for Pastor's Remarks, Obama To Give Major Speech on Race (11)
    Acomplia wrote: Generic Acomplia is an Anti Obesity Drug that is Best Weig... [more]

    Responding to MoJo, Huckabee Campaign Explains Difference Between Homosexuality and Necrophilia (19)
    dış cephe wrote: teşekürler.... [more]

    Ginsburg's Famous White Gloves Finally Come Off (21)
    dış cephe wrote: teşekürler.... [more]

    XML RSS Feed

    Powered by
    Movable Type 3.33

    Jail.org - Inmate Search
    Criminal records, instant public records & people search & current court records. www.jail.org

    U.S. Public Records Search
    Search County & State Court Records, Criminal records, Vital and Adoption Records www.PublicRecordsInfo.com

    Records.com - People Search
    Public Records and Background Checks. Instantly Search Criminal Records, Addresses and Court Records www.Records.com

    Court Records & County Records
    Find Instant Public Records, Criminal Records as Well as County Property Records Search. www.PublicRecordsIndex.com

















    Torches and Pitchforks

    Quote of the Day

    A Prayer For Palin

    McCain on McCain


    More MoJo voices...



    bookIN PRINT

    CLICK HERE
    for more great reading

    headphones IN TUNE
    New music every issue

    CLICK TO LISTEN


    This article has been made possible by the Foundation for National Progress, the Investigative Fund of Mother Jones, and gifts from generous readers like you.

    © 2008 The Foundation for National Progress

    About Us   Support Us   Advertise   Ad Policy   Privacy Policy   Contact Us   Subscribe   RSS