Hey, I still have a gut feeling Obama is going to win. I thought the same thing about John Kerry, but this is...stronger, if you will. I am not sure by what margin, although my fantasy a few weeks ago was 444 Electoral votes. That, of course, had us winning everything from Texas to South Carolina to Alaska, so it was unlikely. That last one is probably out of reach regardless of his margin of success nationally or in other states.

Let's just that the mathematical models are what get me through the periods of doubt. But let's not forget the outstanding ground game and voter registration efforts that Obama has been cultivating for months.

Does the model factor in Republican hijinks on election day? This is great news but I'm still donating to Obama again.

You might want to check out Pollyvote.com where models (including this one), polls, forecasts, the Iowa Electronic Market and expert opinions are combined into a forecast.

Obama is up 3.6% there.

im in the oc.
and many gops are saying not decided.
now youmay say so what but this is the first time since i've been here -1978 that hard line oc i'snt saying they are voting red or dead and for damned sure.

PLEASE GET MORE FACTS OUT THERE ABOUT TAXES ADN COMMENT IN EVERY STATES PAPERS ABOUT FACTCHECK.ORG INFO AND

ARTICLES TO SUPPORT REALITY..
Washington Post:
Tiptoeing Through the Mud
By E. J. Dionne Jr.
Friday, September 12, 2008; Page A15
CHAPEL HILL, N.C. --...The campaign is a blur of flying pieces of junk, lipstick and gutter-style attacks. John McCain's deceptions about Barack Obama's views and Sarah Palin's flip-flopping suggest an unedifying scuffle over a city council seat.
The media bear a heavy responsibility because 'balance' does not require giving equal time to truth and lies. So does McCain, who is running a disgraceful, dishonorable campaign of distraction and diversion.


Here's the problem: Few voters know that Obama would cut the taxes of the vast majority of Americans by far more than McCain would. Few know Obama would guarantee everyone access to health care or that McCain's health plan might endanger coverage many already have. Few know that Obama has a coherent program to create new jobs through public investment in roads, bridges, transit, and green technologies.
In short, few Americans know what (or whom) Obama is fighting for, because he isn't really telling them. And few know that McCain's economic plan is worse than President Bush's. As Jonathan Cohn points out in the New Republic, McCain would add $8.5 trillion in new debt over the next 10 years. It's McCain who should be on the defensive.

I don't knwo if you people read a key word in the begginging, "Popular Vote"..?

As many of you know, and many of you despise, it is the Electoral COllege that picks the President..Right.?

If the polular vote mattered at all, then gas-bag gore, would be president..

You can have all the coasts support a candidate, but what matters is the ENTIRE country.. Understand..?

Thank GOD for the Electoral College..:-)

BIll

I can tell you that, without a shadow of a doubt, there is no chance that a Democrat can win Texas. I unfortunately live there ( at least for a short time longer) and these ignorant fools still think Bush is a good president and I've actually had to get into shouting matches and more over bumper stickers and t-shirts I choose to vote my displeasure and hate for all things conservative, republican and Bush.

Eddie in Texas, I live here as well; and, while I agree that this state will probably stay weak GOP and turn in a higher vote for the McLiar Ticket, there is always a chance things could turn some. We have Dem Senators and House Members, and this state is making progress. Why don't you put yourself to work and get out the vote? Sign up for a canvassing team via the Obama site? There's a lot you can do to help Texas change.

If Obama wins 54% to 46% for McCain, will the MSM claim a "landslide" victory with a "mandate" for his policies?

How small does the victory have to be to be spared the "mandate" crap?

How 'bout we just examine All the candidates running, what they're saying, what they're proposing and not just eat the bullsh!t the media wants to feed us about the two candidates they want us to limit ourselves to? Then decide who is the best candidate and vote for him/her?

How 'bout if we tell all the pollsters and the media who feeds us "polls vs. polls vs. polls" to go pound sand up their collective a$$, because they don't get to decide who's going to win our elections?
WE Do!

Hey, I still have a gut feeling Obama is going to win. I thought the same thing about John Kerry, but this is...stronger, if you will.

Given your record, I guess we should expect Obama to lose by an even greater margin than Kerry did.

The smell of all you whacked out left-wing liberals defecating in your skivvies . . . PRICELESS

The feces will be on the faces of the you rightwing fundamentalists come Nov 5th.
That would be PRICELESS indeed :-)