MoJo Author Feeds: Jeremy Schulman | Mother Jones http://www.motherjones.com/rss/authors/231396 http://www.motherjones.com/files/motherjonesLogo_google_206X40.png Mother Jones logo http://www.motherjones.com en Here's What Today's Primary Voters Think About the Planet's Most Important Issue http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/04/northeast-primary-climate-change <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p>Residents of five Northeastern states are voting Tuesday in crucial presidential primary contests. On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton has a chance to all but clinch the nomination with a strong showing. On the Republican side, Donald Trump is looking for massive victories that could put him one step closer to securing a majority of the delegates at the GOP convention in Cleveland.</p> <p>The presidential election will, of course, have enormous implications for a range of issues&mdash;but some of the biggest consequences will relate to the fight against global warming. Clinton essentially wants to continue President Barack Obama's climate policies. Her opponent, Bernie Sanders, wants to go even further by <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/dec/07/bernie-sanders-urges-carbon-tax-and-deeper-emissions-cuts-in-climate-plan?CMP=share_btn_tw" target="_blank">enacting a carbon tax</a>. Trump and his closest rival, Ted Cruz, are both <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/06/donald-trump-science-climate-change-vaccines-autism-ebola" target="_blank">outspoken</a> climate change <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/ted-cruz-climate-change-pause" target="_blank">deniers</a>. John Kasich is <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/07/john-kasich-climate-change" target="_blank">somewhat less extreme</a> on the issue but has still <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/lindsey-graham-drops-out-climate-change" target="_blank">made contradictory statements about the science,</a> and he refuses to commit to <a href="http://grist.org/climate-energy/john-kasich-is-no-better-than-donald-trump-on-climate-change/" target="_blank">any meaningful action</a>.</p> <p>But what do the voters think?</p> <p>Back on March 1&mdash;as a dozen or so states around the country voted on Super Tuesday&mdash;<a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/super-tuesday-climate" target="_blank">we pointed out</a> that the electorate that day contained an awful lot of deniers. Less than half of adults in those states&mdash;48 percent&mdash;agreed with the scientific consensus that humans are mostly responsible for recent warming, <a href="http://environment.yale.edu/poe/v2014/" target="_blank">according to data</a> from the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication. Drawing from more than 13,000 interviews, the Yale researchers <a href="http://environment.yale.edu/poe/v2014/overview" target="_blank">used a complicated statistical model</a> to estimate the 2014 views of residents of every state, county, and congressional district on key climate science and policy questions.</p> <p>This Tuesday, the voters look a bit different than they did on March 1. Residents of the Northeast hold some of the country's most progressive (and accurate) views on climate change, according to the Yale study. Small majorities in most of Tuesday's state's&mdash;as well as in nearby New York, which voted last week&mdash;embrace the scientific consensus.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="325" mozallowfullscreen="mozallowfullscreen" msallowfullscreen="msallowfullscreen" oallowfullscreen="oallowfullscreen" src="//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/ojyY3/2/" webkitallowfullscreen="webkitallowfullscreen" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>Here's <a href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/human-caused-global-warming-senators-v-constituents/" target="_blank">another way</a> to crunch the same data. The researchers combined people who said global warming is caused mostly by humans with those who attribute it to both humans and nature. They also combined two kinds of climate science deniers: people who think the warming is natural and those who don't think the planet is getting warmer at all.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="375" mozallowfullscreen="mozallowfullscreen" msallowfullscreen="msallowfullscreen" oallowfullscreen="oallowfullscreen" src="//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/TwTTQ/1/" webkitallowfullscreen="webkitallowfullscreen" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>Those numbers look pretty good for science, especially when you compare them with those from some of the Southern states that voted on Super Tuesday.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="520" mozallowfullscreen="mozallowfullscreen" msallowfullscreen="msallowfullscreen" oallowfullscreen="oallowfullscreen" src="//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/v4oOF/2/" webkitallowfullscreen="webkitallowfullscreen" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>But here's the thing: Trump <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/blue-marble/2016/04/scott-baio-donald-trump-climate-dumb" target="_blank">may insist</a> global warming is a "hoax," but that isn't stopping him from winning in states where most people understand he's wrong. He won Massachusetts and Vermont on Super Tuesday. He won overwhelmingly in New York last week. And <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster#2016-primaries" target="_blank">he's leading in the polls</a> in every state voting Tuesday.</p> <p>That's probably because voters in Republican primaries don't have the same views on science as the average resident of their states. <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/new-hampshire-climate-change-denial-cruz-trump-rubio" target="_blank">In New Hampshire</a>, for instance, large majorities of Democrats and independents say humans are the main cause of global warming. But only a small minority of Republicans agree. Trump won New Hampshire by 20 percentage points.</p></body></html> Environment 2016 Elections Climate Change Climate Desk Science Ted Cruz Top Stories Donald Trump John Kasich Tue, 26 Apr 2016 16:18:16 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 302681 at http://www.motherjones.com TV Networks, Ranked* http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/03/climate-change-debate-scorecard <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p>If you've been watching the presidential debates, you've probably noticed an appalling lack of questions about climate change. We certainly have.</p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"> <p dir="ltr" lang="en">Poll: Which <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/GOPDebate?src=hash">#GOPDebate</a> climate change question has led to the most insightful discussion tonight?</p> &mdash; Climate Desk (@ClimateDesk) <a href="https://twitter.com/ClimateDesk/status/687849786725298176">January 15, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script><p>Now, a <a href="http://mediamatters.org/research/2016/03/23/primary-debate-scorecard-climate-change-through/209415" target="_blank">new report</a> from Media Matters for America (my former employer) reveals just how bad the problem has been. According to Media Matters, there have been a whopping 1,477 questions asked during the 20 Republican and Democratic debates so far. Just 22 of those questions&mdash;or about 1.5 percent&mdash;have been about climate change. Nine of the debates, <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/cnn-didnt-ask-single-debate-question-about-climate-change-thats-appalling" target="_blank">including one</a> that took place four days after the historic Paris climate agreement, included no global warming questions whatsoever.</p> <p>The performance of the networks has varied substantially. ABC has hosted two debates, and PBS has hosted one; neither network asked a single climate question, according to Media Matters. Fox News and its sister network, Fox Business, have hosted five debates; less than 1 percent of their questions have been about climate. The same is true for CBS, which has hosted two debates. CNN (six debates) and the various NBC-affiliated networks (three debates) have done a bit better. Univision, by contrast, focused on climate change in more than 7 percent of the questions in its recent Democratic debate.</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="" class="image" src="/files/Presidential_Debate_Climate_Qs_8.jpg" style="height: 547px; width: 630px;"></div> <p>Some debate moderators have paid far more attention to climate than others. According to data provided by Media Matters, CNN's Jake Tapper asked five climate questions&mdash;nearly a quarter of all the climate questions so far. CNN's Anderson Cooper asked four, and the <em>Washington Post's </em>Karen Tumulty, who co-moderated the Univision debate, asked three.</p> <p>Questions in the Democratic debates were more than twice as likely to focus on climate as questions in the Republican debates, according to Media Matters. What's more, the GOP's climate science-denying front-runners, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz, have not had to answer a single question about the issue. (Cruz was <a href="http://video.foxnews.com/v/4727203972001/ted-cruz-i-dont-oppose-ethanol-i-oppose-mandates/?#sp=show-clips" target="_blank">asked</a> about his <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/01/ted-cruz-iowa-ethanol-climate" target="_blank">position on ethanol mandates</a>.)</p> <p>The Media Matters study doesn't include the GOP's so-called "undercard" debates, which featured an assortment of low-polling candidates and tended to air during the West Coast's workday. Those debates actually featured some of the most interesting exchanges on climate. Here's former New York Gov. George Pataki in CNBC's October 28 undercard debate, criticizing his fellow Republicans for refusing the accept the scientific consensus:</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tADS5wH-Ll0" width="630"></iframe></p></body></html> Environment 2016 Elections Climate Change Climate Desk Media Science Top Stories Thu, 24 Mar 2016 20:26:05 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 300276 at http://www.motherjones.com Who Said It: Donald Trump or Mitt Romney? http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/03/quiz-donald-trump-mitt-romney <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p>On Thursday, former Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2016/03/mitt-romney-donald-trump-speech" target="_blank">trashed his party's 2016 front-runner</a>, Donald Trump, as a phony and con artist who is leading the GOP to electoral disaster. And sure, there's some truth to that. But the two formerly pro-choice Northeast Republican businessmen have more in common than they'd like to acknowledge&mdash;from their records on immigration to their favorite sport(s) stars to their choice of profanity. Okay, maybe not the last one.</p> <p>See if you can tell them apart:</p> <script src="http://assets.motherjones.com/interactives/js/tabletop.1.4.0.js"></script><script>(function($) { function make_default_how_you_did_html(nCorrect, nQuestions) { var answersWord = nCorrect === 1 ? 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The victors will find themselves a giant step closer to the Oval Office, where they would have a chance to reshape US policy on a wide range of issues, including climate change. So we decided to take a look at what voters in the Super Tuesday states think about global warming.</p> <p>Last year, the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication <a href="http://environment.yale.edu/poe/v2014/" target="_blank">released a nationwide study</a> of Americans' attitudes toward climate science and policy. In many states&mdash;especially the large bloc of Southern states voting on Tuesday&mdash;the results were not particularly encouraging.</p> <p>According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, <a href="http://ar5-syr.ipcc.ch/topic_observedchanges.php#content_1_3_1" target="_blank">scientists are 95 percent certain</a> that human activities are responsible for most of the dramatic warming since the 1950s. But according to Yale's estimates, that opinion is shared by less than half of adults in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Georgia, Minnesota, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, and Wyoming.</p> <p>Overall, just 48 percent of adults in the Super Tuesday states accept the scientific consensus.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="495" mozallowfullscreen="mozallowfullscreen" msallowfullscreen="msallowfullscreen" oallowfullscreen="oallowfullscreen" src="//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/fIXe3/3/" webkitallowfullscreen="webkitallowfullscreen" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>Here's a <a href="http://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/human-caused-global-warming-senators-v-constituents/" target="_blank">slightly different way</a> to look at the data. Yale combined those who believe global warming is mostly driven by humans with those who said it's caused by both nature and humans. The researchers also combined two types of climate science deniers: those who believe the warming is natural and those who simply don't believe the world is getting warmer. This makes the numbers look a bit better, but in many of the Super Tuesday states, a huge number of people still clearly reject the scientific consensus.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="515" mozallowfullscreen="mozallowfullscreen" msallowfullscreen="msallowfullscreen" oallowfullscreen="oallowfullscreen" src="//datawrapper.dwcdn.net/v4oOF/2/" webkitallowfullscreen="webkitallowfullscreen" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>Stats like this go a long way toward explaining why all five of the remaining GOP presidential candidates continue to <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/obama-climate-change-trump-nuclear-codes" target="_blank">reject the realities of climate science</a>.</p></body></html> Environment Charts 2016 Elections Climate Change Climate Desk Science Top Stories Tue, 01 Mar 2016 18:31:29 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 298211 at http://www.motherjones.com Obama: Americans Won't Trust Trump With the Nuclear Codes http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/obama-climate-change-trump-nuclear-codes <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tqd-_67PVQA?start=5067&amp;end=5421" width="630"></iframe></p> <p>President Barack Obama blasted the Republican presidential field during a press conference Tuesday afternoon, calling out the candidates on everything from climate change to immigration.</p> <p>Obama, following two days of negotiations at the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in California, was asked by NBC News' Ron Allen about how foreign leaders at the event had reacted to GOP front-runner Donald Trump's <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2015/12/donald-trump-proposes-ban-muslims-soars-new-heights-poll" target="_blank">call for a ban on Muslims entering the country</a>.</p> <p>"I think foreign observers are troubled by some of the rhetoric that's been taking place in these Republican primaries and Republican debates," Obama responded. But he added that the feeling wasn't confined to Trump's comments. "He may up the ante in anti-Muslim sentiment," said the president, "but if you look at what the other Republicans have said, that's pretty troubling, too."</p> <p>Obama then criticized the candidates' positions on immigration (watch above), before turning to global warming. "They're all denying climate change," he said. "I think that's troubling to the international community, since the science is unequivocal&hellip;The other countries around the world, they kind of count on the United States being on the side of science and reason and common sense, because they know that if the United States does not act on big problems in smart ways, nobody will."</p> <p>"This is not just Mr. Trump," Obama continued. "There's not a single candidate in the Republican primary that thinks we should do anything about climate change, that thinks it's serious."</p> <div class="inline inline-right" style="display: table; width: 1%"><a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/10/ultimate-climate-candidate-matrix" target="_blank"><img alt="Climate matrix gif" class="image" src="/files/climate-matrix-master-GIF.gif" style="height: 126px; width: 225px;"></a> <div class="caption"><a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/10/ultimate-climate-candidate-matrix" target="_blank"><strong>Check out Climate Desk's ultimate guide to the presidential candidates' positions on climate change </strong></a></div> </div> <p>Obama got that right. Trump <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/06/donald-trump-science-climate-change-vaccines-autism-ebola" target="_blank">has called</a> climate change a "hoax." Ted Cruz <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/new-hampshire-climate-change-denial-cruz-trump-rubio" target="_blank">recently called it</a> a "pseudoscientific theory." Marco <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2014/05/sen-marco-rubio-yes-im-ready-to-be-president/" target="_blank">Rubio told ABC</a>, "I do not believe that human activity is causing these dramatic changes to our climate the way these scientists are portraying it," adding that <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/blue-marble/2015/04/marco-rubio-president-climate-change" target="_blank">he rejects the idea</a> that "somehow there are actions we can take today that would actually have an impact on what's happening in our climate." Jeb Bush thinks it's <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/06/jeb-bush-global-warming-skeptic" target="_blank">"really arrogant"</a> to say the science of climate change has been settled. Even John <a href="http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2015/09/03/ohio-politics-now-kasich-new-hampshire.html" target="_blank">Kasich said in September</a>: "I don't believe that humans are the primary cause of climate change." In December, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/12/15/who-said-what-and-what-it-meant-the-fifth-gop-debate-annotated/" target="_blank">Kasich criticized</a> the very existence of the Paris climate conference, arguing that the world leaders in attendance should have been focusing on ISIS instead. And while Ben Carson seems to be <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/10/ultimate-climate-candidate-matrix" target="_blank">a big fan of renewable energy</a>, he <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2015/09/12/politics/ben-carson-climate-change-jerry-brown/" target="_blank">told the <em>San Francisco Chronicle</em></a>, "There is no overwhelming science that the things that are going on are man-caused and not naturally caused."</p> <p>"The rest of the world looks at that," the president said, "and they say, 'How can that be?'" Still, he added, "I continue to believe Mr. Trump will not be president, and the reason is because I have a lot of faith in the American people." The voters, he said, will realize that "whoever's standing where I'm standing right now has the nuclear codes with them, and can order 21-year-olds into a firefight, and has to make sure that the banking system doesn't collapse."</p> <p>"The American people are pretty sensible," Obama concluded, "and I think they'll make a sensible choice in the end."</p></body></html> Environment 2016 Elections Climate Change Climate Desk Elections Foreign Policy Jeb Bush Obama Science Ted Cruz The Right Top Stories ben carson Donald Trump John Kasich marco rubio Wed, 17 Feb 2016 00:41:12 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 297041 at http://www.motherjones.com Watch: Obama Rejects GOP Demands, Pledges to Appoint Scalia's Replacement http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/obama-antonin-scalia-appointment <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/XckfQq3CUjY?start=2023&amp;end=2212" width="630"></iframe></p> <p>Defying demands from leading Republicans, President Barack Obama pledged Saturday evening to nominate a Supreme Court justice to fill the seat left vacant by the <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/breaking-supreme-court-justice-antonin-scalia-dead-79" target="_blank">death of Justice Antonin Scalia</a>.</p> <p>Calling Scalia a "larger than life presence on the bench" and "one of the most consequential judges and thinkers to serve on the Supreme Court," Obama told the nation that "today is a time to remember Justice Scalia's legacy."</p> <p>"I plan to fulfill my constitutional responsibilities to nominate a successor in due time," added Obama. "There will be plenty of time for me to do so and for the Senate to fulfill its responsibility to give that person a fair hearing and a timely vote. These are responsibilities that I take seriously, as should everyone. They're bigger than any one party. They are about our democracy. They're about the institution to which Justice Scalia dedicated his professional life, and making sure it continues to function as the beacon of justice that our founders envisioned."</p> <p>Obama's comments were a thinly veiled rejection of <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2016/02/scalia-death-conservatives-obstruct-obama" target="_blank">calls by conservative activists and GOP politicians</a>&mdash;including presidential candidates Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnnell (Ky.)&mdash;to leave Scalia's seat vacant until a new president takes office next year.</p></body></html> Politics 2016 Elections Supreme Court The Right Top Stories Sun, 14 Feb 2016 02:28:05 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 296881 at http://www.motherjones.com Clinton Slams Republicans for Threatening to Block Scalia's Replacement http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/02/hillary-response <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p>In a statement released hours after the nation learned of the death of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia, Hillary Clinton blasted Republican politicians who have <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2016/02/scalia-death-conservatives-obstruct-obama" target="_blank">called for Scalia's seat to remain vacant</a> until President Barack Obama leaves office next year.</p> <blockquote> <blockquote> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"> <p dir="ltr" lang="en">Statement on the passing of Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia: <a href="https://t.co/xazj9dDd5c">pic.twitter.com/xazj9dDd5c</a></p> &mdash; Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) <a href="https://twitter.com/HillaryClinton/status/698675522956607488">February 14, 2016</a></blockquote> <script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></blockquote> </blockquote></body></html> Politics Sun, 14 Feb 2016 01:59:47 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 296886 at http://www.motherjones.com Oh Great. A Climate Change Skeptic Is Moderating Tonight's GOP Debate. http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/climate-change-skeptic-kimberley-strassel <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p>The presidential debates have been <a href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/02/12/bernie_sanders_and_hillary_clinton_differ_on_climate_change.html" target="_blank">widely criticized</a> for so far all but ignoring global warming. But Saturday's Republican debate has the potential to be even more problematic. That's because one of the moderators is an outspoken climate change skeptic.</p> <p>In addition to <em>Face the Nation</em> host John Dickerson and White House correspondent Major Garrett, tonight's CBS <a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-releases-republican-debate-south-carolina-lineup/" target="_blank">debate will feature</a> questions from Kimberley Strassel, a member of the <em>Wall Street Journal </em>editorial board.</p> <p>While not an obsession of Strassel's, she's long expressed doubts: in 2007, Strassel said on CNBC that "there isn't a consensus yet that [climate change] is actually caused by man or necessarily will be a huge problem," before adding "it's real cold out there today." (It was January.)</p> <p>In 2009, she deployed scare quotes to claim that a set of <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2011/04/history-of-climategate" target="_blank">leaked emails</a> between climatologists had "blown the lid off the 'science' of manmade global warming."</p> <p>More recently, Strassel appeared on Fox in 2014 to explain that global warming "became climate change when you couldn't prove that there was much global warming anymore, you know, as the temperature didn't change," going on to suggest that there was something nefarious about the shift to the widely preferred phrase: "we had to have this catch all term...that meant that any change in the weather somehow supported the theory."</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/JPYA60xqpdw" width="630"></iframe></p> <p>Those statements align pretty closely with the <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/10/ultimate-climate-candidate-matrix" target="_blank">varying degrees of climate change denial</a> espoused by the remaining Republican candidates. It's not hard to imagine that a debate showcasing the views of <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/new-hampshire-climate-change-denial-cruz-trump-rubio" target="_blank">Donald Trump</a>, <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/blue-marble/2015/03/ted-cruz-seth-myers-climate-change" target="_blank">Ted Cruz</a>, and Strassel could leave viewers extremely misinformed about climate science.</p> <p>I've asked to Strassel to elaborate on her views and have asked her, Dickerson, and CBS how they plan to handle the issue. They haven't responded.</p> <p>Still, if the moderators decide to ask the candidates some scientifically accurate questions about global warming, we've compiled a pretty good list for them to pick from. My colleague Tim McDonnell asked a bunch of the nation's leading climate scientists and environmental activists what they'd ask. <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/presidential-debates-scientists-climate-change" target="_blank">Read their suggestions here</a>.</p></body></html> Environment 2016 Elections Climate Change Climate Desk Media Science Top Stories Sat, 13 Feb 2016 18:36:50 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 296821 at http://www.motherjones.com New Hampshire Republicans Are Really, Really Anti-Science http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/new-hampshire-climate-change-denial-cruz-trump-rubio <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p>At a campaign stop in Henniker, New Hampshire, last week, Ted Cruz was asked what he'd do as president to combat climate change. Cruz's answer&mdash;an <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/cruz-climate-change-issue-is-about-government-power/2016/02/03/2db6adb0-ca93-11e5-b9ab-26591104bb19_video.html">eight-minute rant</a> that you can watch below&mdash;was essentially that he would do nothing&mdash;because global warming isn't happening. It's "the perfect pseudoscientific theory" to justify liberal politicians' quest to expand "government power over the American citizenry," he said.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="381" mozallowfullscreen="" scrolling="no" src="//www.washingtonpost.com/video/c/embed/2db6adb0-ca93-11e5-b9ab-26591104bb19" webkitallowfullscreen="" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>Like Cruz, the two GOP front-runners in the state&mdash;<a href="http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2015/06/donald-trump-science-climate-change-vaccines-autism-ebola" target="_blank">Donald Trump</a> and <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/blue-marble/2015/04/marco-rubio-president-climate-change" target="_blank">Marco Rubio</a>&mdash;<a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/10/ultimate-climate-candidate-matrix" target="_blank">reject mainstream climate science</a>. Trump <a href="http://www.eenews.net/stories/1060030238" target="_blank">has repeatedly called</a> global warming a "hoax," and <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2014/05/sen-marco-rubio-yes-im-ready-to-be-president/" target="_blank">Rubio has said</a>, "I do not believe that human activity is causing these dramatic changes to our climate the way these scientists are portraying it." John Kasich, who's been rising in the New Hampshire polls in recent weeks, has made a number of <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/lindsey-graham-drops-out-climate-change" target="_blank">contradictory comments</a> about climate change.</p> <p>New Hampshire is a famously moderate swing state. <a href="http://environment.yale.edu/climate-communication/causation/">Fifty-five percent</a> of the state's residents believe that humans are warming the planet, according to polling by the Yale Project on Climate Change Communication. Kelly Ayotte, New Hampshire's Republican US senator, <a href="http://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=114&amp;session=1&amp;vote=00012">agrees</a>, and she recently bucked her party by <a href="http://www.wmur.com/news/sen-kelly-ayotte-announces-support-for-clean-power-plan/36042870">supporting</a> President Barack Obama's new regulations restricting power plant emissions. Since 2009, New Hampshire has been part of a <a href="http://www.rggi.org/rggi">regional cap-and-trade program</a> designed to limit carbon pollution.</p> <p>So will Trump, Rubio, and Cruz's extreme views on climate hurt them in New Hampshire? Probably not, at least not among the voters who will likely decide Tuesday's primary. Ayotte's position on the issue may align with the state as a whole, but among Republican voters climate change denial is extremely common.</p> <p>"Rejecting climate science is pretty much mainstream" within the New Hampshire GOP, says Lawrence Hamilton, a University of New Hampshire sociologist who studies environmental public opinion. "It's almost a litmus test in the Republican Party that you have to reject climate science."</p> <p>Take a look at the chart below, which shows data compiled by Hamilton and his colleagues as part of the University of New Hampshire's Granite State Poll. The orange line represents self-identified tea party supporters in the state, and the red line represents non-tea-party Republicans. The results are pretty striking. Even among the state's non-tea-party Republicans, only about 40 percent believe that climate change is mainly caused by human activity, according to the most recent survey. And among tea party supporters&mdash;who, <a href="http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/primaries/states/new-hampshire/exit-polls" target="_blank">according to exit polling</a>, made up 51 percent of voters in the state's 2012 GOP primary&mdash;that number drops below 30 percent.</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="climate opinion" class="image" src="/files/synth_time4_630.png"><div class="caption">Lawrence Hamilton/UNH</div> </div> <p>Not only are New Hampshire's Republican voters skeptical of climate science, <a href="http://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1251&amp;context=carsey" target="_blank">many of them say</a> [PDF] they simply don't <em>trust </em>what scientists say about global warming (or vaccines, for that matter). This attitude tracks closely with the anti-scientist rhetoric employed by a number of Republican politicians. Trump, for instance, <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/12/worst-science-denial-2014" target="_blank">once said</a> that "the scientists are having a lot of fun" perpetrating the climate "hoax."</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="climate opinion" class="image" src="/files/trust_630.jpg"><div class="caption">Lawrence Hamilton/UNH</div> </div> <p>Back in September, the University of New Hampshire asked supporters of each of the presidential candidates whether they believed humans were causing climate change. Because the GOP field is so splintered, many of the sample sizes for this question were small, which means the margins of error were enormous. Still, the chart below gives you some sense of the situation. At the time, Trump and Fiorina were the two front-runners in the state, and roughly a third of their supporters said they accepted the scientific consensus on climate change. The rest of the Republicans were all polling in the single digits. Kasich was the only Republican with a majority of supporters saying they believed in human-caused global warming. (According to Hamilton, Cruz was polling so poorly at the time that any similar analysis of his voters wouldn't be very meaningful.) Meanwhile, the vast majority of Hillary Clinton's and Bernie Sanders' supporters embraced the scientific consensus.</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="climate opinion" class="image" src="/files/Republicans_warming2_630.png"><div class="caption">Lawrence Hamilton/UNH</div> </div> <p>Here's one final chart from Hamilton's research illustrating just how extreme New Hampshire's GOP voters are when it comes to climate change. <a href="https://carsey.unh.edu/publication/trump-and-sanders" target="_blank">The University of New Hampshire asked respondents</a> whether they believed that the concentration of carbon dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere had increased in recent decades. This shouldn't be a controversial issue. Scientists <a href="https://scripps.ucsd.edu/programs/keelingcurve/wp-content/plugins/sio-bluemoon/graphs/mlo_full_record.png" target="_blank">have daily measurements</a> showing that CO2&mdash;the primary driver of global warming&mdash;has been steadily rising for years. But somehow, fewer than half of those who said they would support Trump in a hypothetical matchup against Sanders agreed with this indisputable scientific fact.</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="climate opinon" class="image" src="/files/2015_10_05_hamilton_fig2_630.png"><div class="caption">Lawrence Hamilton/UNH</div> </div> <p>These voters have an "ideological way of knowing that trumps science," said Hamilton.</p> <p>That's bad news for the climate change debate in this country. But it's very good news for Trump, Rubio, and Cruz.</p> <p><em>Master image: <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic-233675656/stock-photo-business-man-covering-her-ears-over-textured-background.html?src=98tFwPBJDTQ-eqN3wuD1Og-2-19">Luis Molinero</a>/Shutterstock</em></p></body></html> Environment 2016 Elections Climate Change Climate Desk Science Ted Cruz The Right Top Stories Donald Trump marco rubio Mon, 08 Feb 2016 11:00:27 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 296056 at http://www.motherjones.com Obama Blasts Climate Deniers and Calls for a Clean-Energy Revolution http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/01/obama-climate-change-sputnik-state-union <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40/loose.dtd"> <html><body><p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/g-thRPirdmU" width="630"></iframe></p> <p>Fresh off the historic <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/breaking-news-paris-climate-agreement" target="_blank">Paris climate change agreement</a>, President Barack Obama used his <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/mojo/2016/01/here-full-text-obamas-state-union" target="_blank">final State of the Union address</a> Tuesday night to urge Congress to finally act on global warming.</p> <p>"Look, if anybody still wants to dispute the science around climate change, have at it," Obama said. "You will be pretty lonely, because you'll be debating our military, most of America's business leaders, the majority of the American people, almost the entire scientific community, and 200 nations around the world who agree it's a problem and intend to solve it."</p> <p>Of course, many of the politicians whom the president was addressing still do want to <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/10/ultimate-climate-candidate-matrix" target="_blank">dispute the science</a>. That includes Ted Cruz, the current Republican presidential front-runner in Iowa. While the Obama administration was busy hashing out the Paris agreement in December, Cruz <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2015/12/ted-cruz-climate-change-pause" target="_blank">literally</a> was debating with the US military (the retired oceanographer of the Navy, anyway) on the realities of climate science.</p> <p>Obama sought to push past these distractions by broadly outlining how he planned to address the problem in his final year in office. "We've got to accelerate the transition away from old, dirtier energy sources," he said. Obama criticized fossil fuel subsidies. He nodded to one of the <a href="http://grist.org/climate-energy/heres-what-obama-can-still-do-to-fight-climate-change-in-his-final-year/" target="_blank">top priorities</a> of environmental activists when he said he planned to "push to change the way we manage our oil and coal resources, so that they better reflect the costs they impose on taxpayers and our planet." And he called for putting "tens of thousands of Americans to work building a 21st-century transportation system."</p> <p class="graf--p graf-after--p" id="eac4" name="eac4">Still, Obama couldn't resist taking a shot at his Republican critics who reject scientific facts. "Sixty years ago, when the Russians beat us into space, we didn't deny Sputnik was up there," he said. "We didn't argue about the science, or shrink our research and development budget. We built a space program almost overnight, and 12 years later, we were walking on the moon."</p> <p class="graf--p graf-after--p" name="eac4">Obama has made big climate policy promises before. My colleague Tim McDonnell examines the mixed results of proposals the president laid out in his past seven State of the Union speeches in the video below:</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/EWW-3O_HDAA" width="630"></iframe></p> <p><em>* This post has been revised.</em></p> <p><em>Master image: <a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic-128585393/stock-photo-washington-february-marchers-take-part-in-the-forward-on-climate-rally-on-february.html?src=hDFAmhGtKMaupUuS-MimFw-1-1">Rena Schild</a>/Shutterstock</em></p></body></html> Environment Climate Change Climate Desk Obama Top Stories Wed, 13 Jan 2016 03:06:58 +0000 Jeremy Schulman 293871 at http://www.motherjones.com