Blogs | Mother Jones Mother Jones logo en No Wonder Teens Are Huffing Nicotine <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>You thought Big Tobacco was on the wane in the United States?</p> <p>(Insert cartoon villain voice:) "Mwa-ha-ha-ha-haaaaa!"</p> <p>Not. Friggin'. Likely. In fact, the domestic tobacco industry is on the rebound thanks to its heavy investment in smoking "alternatives"&mdash;a.k.a. e-cigarettes, a.k.a. nicotine-delivery devices marketed in a <a href="" target="_blank">variety of kid-friendly flavors</a>. (Marketing flavored tobacco cigarettes has been banned since 2009.)</p> <p>Kevin <a href="" target="_blank">had a post</a> on Thursday about the soaring numbers of kids who've tried e-cigs. On Friday the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention officially <a href="" target="_blank">announced the results</a> of a new CDC study in the journal <em>Nicotine and Tobacco Control</em>.</p> <p>From 2011 to 2013, the researchers reported, the number of middle- and high-school students using e-cigs tripled. In 2013, more than 250,000 kids who had never smoked tobacco reported using e-cigarettes, and 44 percent of those kids said they had "intentions" of trying regular cigarettes in the next year. (About 1 in 5 American adults currently smoke.) Not surprisingly, kids who had more exposure to tobacco advertising were more likely to say they intended to try smoking.</p> <p>You'll often hear vaping proponents argue that e-cigs help smokers kick the tobacco habit, thereby saving lives. And that may be true: Inhaling tobacco smoke, which <a href="" target="_blank">still kills more than 400,000 Americans</a> every year, is almost certainly more deadly than huffing nicotine vapors.</p> <p>The one group you won't hear the smoking cessation argument from is e-cig manufacturers. That, ironically, is because products intended to help people quit tobacco products are regulated far more strictly than the tobacco products themselves. The same goes for drug-delivery devices, which is why manufacturers fought very hard to make certain the FDA didn't put e-cigarettes in that category.</p> <p>Not that the agency didn't try. The FDA initially<a href="" target="_blank"> sought</a> to regulate e-cigs as drug-delivery devices, for what else could they be? But the manufacturers promptly sued, and were handed a huge win. <a href="" target="_blank">Tobacco-friendly judges</a> bought the industry's argument that, under the 2009 Family Smoking Prevention and Tobacco Control Act, any product that contains nicotine derived from tobacco and makes no therapeutic claims must be regulated as a tobacco product&mdash;which makes it, presto, not a drug delivery device.</p> <p>Just think about how crazy this is: Nicotine is highly addictive. At low doses it's a stimulant, at higher doses a <a href="" target="_blank">serious poison</a>. (The tobacco plant and other nightshades actually produce it as an insecticide, and it's sold for that use, too, with a <a href="" target="_blank">stringent warning label</a>.) If nicotine were sold as medicine&mdash;which it can't be because it has no medical value&mdash;you couldn't just buy it at the corner store in a dozen alluring flavors. Yet because the manufacturers make no medical claims, they can do what they want. Never mind that the 2009 law was written before e-cigarettes were invented.</p> <p>Ah, screw it. Just give me the Pi&ntilde;a Colada.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Health Regulatory Affairs Tobacco Sat, 18 Apr 2015 10:00:08 +0000 Michael Mechanic 273891 at Friday Catblogging - April 17 2015 <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Friday catblogging is, of course, a <a href="" target="_blank">core tradition</a> around these parts. And as the blog welcomes new names and faces while Kevin&nbsp;concentrates on getting better, who said they all have be human? The door's always open for Hilbert and Hopper to <a href="" target="_blank">drop in</a>, but we're going to round out the feline mix with a smattering of cats who are blessed to have a <em>Mother Jones</em> staff member as their human companion.</p> <p>First up? The Oakland-based menagerie of creative director Ivylise Simones, who oversees all of <em>MoJo</em>'s lovely art and photography.</p> <p>On the right is seven-year-old Inspector Picklejuice, a shelter acquisition picked up by Ivylise when she was living in Brooklyn. On the left you'll find Frankie the Cat. This affectionate two-year-old also came from a shelter, joining the Simones household in 2014.&nbsp;</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <center><iframe frameborder="0" height="600" src="" width="600"></iframe><script src=""></script></center> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>I'm told these two get along splendidly. Sure looks like it!</p> <p>If you recognize Picklejuice's handsome features, it may be from his widely acclaimed <a href="" target="_blank">Instagram feed</a>, or perhaps from his star turn in our September/October 2014 issue: <a href="" target="_blank">click through</a> to see him&mdash;he's the looker playing in the box on the far right. (How'd he end up in a magazine illustration? I'll just say that it helps to have friends in the right places.)</p> <p>Here's another of the good Inspector, keeping a close eye on happenings from a favored perch high in the loft. It's an ideal spot to partake in two of his favorite hobbies: sleeping, and sitting around while awake.</p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <center><iframe frameborder="0" height="600" src="" width="600"></iframe><script src=""></script></center> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>It takes a good five foot vertical hop over open space to get up there. Impressive!</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Fri, 17 Apr 2015 19:30:08 +0000 Clint Hendler 273426 at Why the Euro Is a Selfish Jerk <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p><em>While Kevin Drum is focused on getting better, we've invited some of the remarkable writers and thinkers who have traded links and ideas with him from Blogosphere 1.0 through today to pitch in posts and keep the conversation going. Here's a contribution from </em><a href="">Keith Humphreys</a><em>, a professor of psychiatry at Stanford University whose sharp insights on addiction, drug policy, and many other topics have helped make the </em><a href="">Reality-Based Community</a><em> group blog a must read.</em></p> <p>The Euro is the Windows 8 of the economic policy design world: In both cases, it's very hard to understand how putatively smart people worked so hard to create a product so ill-suited to the needs of those who were supposed to rely on it. At this point, this isn't much of a secret: as <a href="">Kevin Drum</a> pointed out back in 2011, a common currency deprives markets and nations of tools that normally ameliorate the effects of capital flow imbalances, inflation spikes, and crushing debt payments. Kevin and other people who understand fiscal policy better than I ever will (e.g., <a href="">Matt O'Brien</a> and <a href="">Paul Krugman</a>) convinced me long ago that the Euro was designed with a lack of understanding of (or an unwillingness to grapple with) basic lessons of economics.&nbsp;</p> <p>But speaking as a psychologist, the common currency's fundamental design flaws don't end there: the Euro creators should have thought harder about what social scientists have learned about how compassion and cultural identity interact.</p> <p>In asking nations to entrust their economic fate to the Euro, its designers were assuming that Europeans have a reservoir of goodwill among them. That goodwill was supposed to ensure, for example, that no prospective member had to worry that a powerful member would use its Euro-derived leverage to turn the screws on a weaker member which was&mdash;to pick an example out of thin air&mdash;<a href="">wracked by colossal levels of debt, unemployment and economic misery</a>.</p> <p>But that's exactly what the Germans have done to the Greeks. Why aren't the Germans overcome with sympathy for the Greeks? It's not that Germans are selfish or hard-hearted: after all, they have spent ten times the current GDP of Greece <a href="">helping the economically struggling people of the former East Germany</a>.&nbsp;</p> <p><a href="">Social psychology researchers</a> have identified a powerful in group bias in willingness to help others, whether it's hiring someone for a job or supporting social welfare programs for the poor. Human beings are, in short, more inclined to help other people whom we perceive as being a member of our tribe.</p> <p>Human psychology wouldn't cause as many problems for the Euro if there was a strong European identity, if a West German was as likely to consider an East German a tribe member as they would a Greek or a Spaniard or an Italian. But when most Germans and Greeks look at each other, they fundamentally see someone who speaks a different language and hails from a different culture with a different history&mdash;and for that matter was a military enemy within living memory.</p> <p>With no shared sense of tribe comes a sharp reduction in compassion and attendant willingness to help.&nbsp; The elites who designed the Euro may genuinely have believed and even felt a sense that Europe is all about "us", but the currency's recent struggles show that for too many Europeans, it's more about us and them.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Economy International Fri, 17 Apr 2015 18:30:08 +0000 Keith Humphreys 273821 at It's Spring Fundraising Time! <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Our annual Spring Fundraising Drive is wrapping up at the end of the month, but as you all know, I'll be recuperating from my final round of chemotherapy in lovely Duarte, California, right about then. But I didn't want to be left out, so I asked if I could post my note a little earlier than I usually do.</p> <p>I figure if there's ever been a time when I'm allowed to get slightly more maudlin than usual, this is it. (But just slightly. I have a reputation, after all.) I've been writing for <em>Mother Jones</em> since 2008, and it's been such a great job that it's almost getting hard to remember ever working for anyone else. They've provided me with more freedom <img align="right" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/blog_keep_calm_donate.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 20px 0px 15px 30px;">to write whatever I want than anyone could hope for. That's been great for me, and I hope for all of you too.</p> <p>Writing for the print magazine has been a huge gift as well, and it's something I dearly hope to return to when all the chemotherapy is over and my strength is back to normal. It's been a privilege to share pages with such an amazingly talented bunch of journalists.</p> <p>Truthfully, I've been blessed to have such a great editorial team over the past few months, as well as such a great readership. You guys are truly the best to go through something like this with.</p> <p>So here's the ask: <em>Mother Jones</em> has done a lot for me and lot for you over the past few years, and when I get back they're going to keep right on doing it. That makes this fundraising request a little more personal than usual, but if there's ever been a time for you to show your appreciation, this is it. If you can afford five dollars, that's plenty. If you can afford a thousand, then pony up, because you're pretty lucky, aren't you? Either way, when I get back I sure hope to see that my readers have really stepped up to the plate.</p> <p>Readers like you are a big part of what makes <em>Mother Jones</em> such a unique place. Your support allows me to write about what&rsquo;s truly important, rather than obsessing over whatever generates the most clicks and advertising revenue. And it's not just me. It gives all of us the independence to write about issues that other places won't touch. It means that we ultimately answer to you, our readers, and not a corporate parent company or shareholders (and you've never been shy about letting us know what you think!).</p> <p>Thanks for helping make <em>Mother Jones</em> what it is, and for making the last seven years some of the best of my life. And thanks in advance for whatever you can give to keep both me and <em>Mother Jones</em> going strong. Here are the links for donations:</p> <p><a href=";list_source=7Z54KD&amp;extra_don=1&amp;abver=A" target="_blank">Donate by credit card here.</a></p> <p><a href=";hosted_button_id=JVT34NP6NHQM2" target="_blank">Donate by PayPal here.</a></p></body></html> Kevin Drum Fri, 17 Apr 2015 16:00:08 +0000 Kevin Drum 273756 at Bonus Friday Cat Blogging - 17 April 2015 <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>My sister has given me loads of catblogging photos to choose from, and this week I'm choosing this one. I understand that Hilbert contested Hopper's right to this spot for a bit, but Hopper defended herself and is now queen of the chair. She has quite the regal presence.</p> <p>In the meantime, padded coat hangers have been dragged downstairs, temporary window coverings have turned into cat toys, and someone is apparently pulling blue masking tape down from somewhere. On the brighter side, both cats have decided that jumping up on the couch and snoozing next to Karen while she reads or watches TV is really not a bad alternative to whoever those folks were who used to provide laps and cat food.</p> <p>I understand more cat blogging will be coming later. Keep your eyes peeled.</p> <p><img align="middle" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/blog_hopper_2015_04_17.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 15px 0px 5px 60px;"></p></body></html> Kevin Drum Fri, 17 Apr 2015 15:00:10 +0000 Kevin Drum 273791 at Just How Racist Are Schoolteachers? <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>It's no secret that black kids are more likely to be suspended from school than white kids&mdash;three times more likely, according to a 2012 <a href="">report</a> from the Office of Civil Rights. And now a <a href="" target="_blank">study</a> published this week in <em>Psychological Science</em> may shed some light on just how much of a role racial bias on the part of educators may play.</p> <p>Stanford psychology grad student Jason Okonofua and professor Jennifer Eberhardt designed a study where active K-12 teachers from across the country were presented with mocked-up disciplinary records showing a student who had misbehaved twice. Both infractions were relatively minor: one was for insubordination, the other for class disturbance. The records' substance never changed, but some bore stereotypically black names (Darnell or Deshawn) while others had stereotypically white names (Jake or Greg). Teachers answered a series of questions about how troubled they were by the infractions reflected in the documents, how severe the appropriate discipline should be, and the likelihood that the student was "a troublemaker."</p> <p>The teachers' responses after learning about the first infraction were about equal, regardless of the student's perceived race. But after hearing about the second infraction, a gap in discipline emerged: On a scale of one to seven, teachers rated the appropriate severity of discipline at just over five for students perceived to be black, compared to just over four for students perceived to be white. That may not seem like a big difference, but on one-to-seven scale, a single point is a 14 percent increase&mdash;well beyond what is typically accepted as statistically significant.</p> <p>A follow-up experiment of over 200 teachers took the questioning further, and found that teachers were more likely (though by smaller margins) to judge students perceived as black as engaging in a pattern of misbehavior, and were more likely to say they could "imagine themselves suspending the student at some point in the future."</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="" class="image" src="/files/Screen%20Shot%202015-04-16%20at%203.57.25%20PM.png"><div class="caption">Okonofua and Eberhart, Association for Psychological Science</div> </div> <p>"Most school teachers likely work hard at treating their students equally and justly," says Okonofua. "And yet even amongst these well-intentioned and hard-working people, we find cultural stereotypes about black people are bending their perceptions towards less favorable interpretations of behavior."</p> <p>Many studies have looked at the subconscious racial prejudice of snap judgments&mdash;my former colleague, Chris Mooney, wrote an excellent <a href="" target="_blank">feature</a> on the subject last December. But according to the authors, this is the first study to look at the psychology behind the racial gap in school discipline. And, as Okonofua said, "The research shows that even if there's no race effect for an initial interaction, the stereotyping can play out over time. That's really important because in the real world, there are sustained relationships."</p> <p>And the research may have implications for other kinds of sustained relationships between two levels of authority: say a boss and an employee, a prison guard and a prisoner, or a judge and a repeat offender.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Education Race and Ethnicity Fri, 17 Apr 2015 13:20:05 +0000 Julia Lurie 273831 at The "Batman v Superman" Trailer Just Leaked—And It's Dark As Hell <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Hello, darkness my old friend.</p> <p>I've come to watch this trailer again:</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" mozallowfullscreen="" scrolling="no" src="" webkitallowfullscreen="" width="630"></iframe></p> <p><a href="" target="_blank">via <em>io9</em></a></p></body></html> Mixed Media Fri, 17 Apr 2015 04:10:18 +0000 Ben Dreyfuss 273836 at Vaping Among Teens Skyrockets in 2014 <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p><img align="right" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/blog_e_cigarette_use.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 8px 0px 15px 30px;">Is this chart on the right, <a href="" target="_blank">from the <em>Washington Post</em>,</a> good news or bad? On the one hand, teen cigarette use has plummeted from 16 percent to 9 percent over the past four years. On the other hand, the <em>total</em> rate of teen smoking&mdash;cigarettes plus e-cigarettes&mdash;has risen from 17 percent to 22 percent. The rise in e-cigarette use spiked especially sharply in 2014, more than tripling in a single year.</p> <p>I've heard pros and cons about e-cigarettes for the past couple of years, and I can't say I have a settled opinion about them. Taken in isolation, it's safe to say that no kind of nicotine delivery system is good for you. But traditional cigarettes are certainly more harmful than e-cigarettes, so to the extent that vaping replaces tobacco smoking, it's a net positive.</p> <p>But that huge spike in 2014 is cause for concern. At some point, teen vaping starts to look like a serious net negative even if it's accompanied by a small drop in traditional cigarette consumption. I'm still not sure what to think about this, but I'd say these latest figures from the CDC move my priors a bit in the direction of stronger regulation of e-cigarattes.</p> <p>And if you don't live in California and are wondering what the fuss is over my state's anti-vaping campaign, here's the ad that's been assaulting my TV for the past couple of months. It's paid for by revenue from good ol' Proposition 99, I assume.</p> <p><iframe align="middle" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="258" src="" style="margin: 15px 0px 5px 110px;" width="400"></iframe></p></body></html> Kevin Drum Thu, 16 Apr 2015 21:50:41 +0000 Kevin Drum 273826 at Watch Siskel and Ebert Defend the Original Star Wars Films <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>The latest trailer for <em>Star Wars Episode VII: The Force Awakening</em> was r<a href="" target="_blank">eleased Thursday</a>. It is good. It is reallllllllllyyyyyy good. There may have been audible yelps of excitement in the <em>Mother Jones</em> office upon first, second, and third viewings.</p> <p>There are people living and breathing in this world who are Star Wars haters. They dismiss Star Wars as drivel intended for children, meaningless entertainment that should be discarded in favor of Intellectual Foreign Language Films. These people are wrong, cold-hearted individuals who should be shunned from civil society. "But but but," one might argue, "Episodes I, II, and III were utter garbage, truly horrible, horrible films." This is true. Just erase them from your memory, as I have done. The original three films (Ewoks and all) are masterpieces that should be enjoyed by those of all ages.</p> <p>Need further proof? Watch Ted Koppel interview Gene Siskel and Roger Ebert in 1983. The pair eviscerate a snooty film critic who thinks the movies&nbsp;make children stupid.</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="473" src="" width="630"></iframe></p> <p>You are missed,&nbsp;Siskel and Ebert.&nbsp;You are missed.</p></body></html> Mixed Media Thu, 16 Apr 2015 19:06:02 +0000 Patrick Caldwell 273806 at The New "Star Wars" Trailer Is Here And It's Pretty Great <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Watch:</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="354" src="" width="630"></iframe></p></body></html> Mixed Media Thu, 16 Apr 2015 18:12:09 +0000 Ben Dreyfuss 273801 at Corporate Lobbyists Outspend the Rest of us 34 to 1 <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Lee Drutman looks at the real problem with <a href="" target="_blank">lobbying in the American political system:</a></p> <blockquote> <p>Looking at lobbying in the aggregate, what jumps out is the stark imbalance in resources. Corporations blow everyone else out of the water. <strong>Business accounts for roughly 80 percent of all reported lobbying expenditures, <img align="right" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/blog_corporate_skyscraper_0.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 20px 0px 15px 20px;">about $2.6 billion dollars a year now.</strong></p> <p>....<strong>Meanwhile, the types of organized interests who we might expect to provide a countervailing force to business &mdash; labor unions, groups representing diffuse public like consumers or taxpayers &mdash; spend $1 for every $34 businesses spend on lobbying, by my count.</strong> Of the 100 organizations that spend the most on lobbying annually, consistently 95 represent business. In interviewing 60 corporate lobbyists for my book <em>The Business of America is Lobbying</em>, I asked them to identify the leading opposition on an issue on which they were currently working. Not a single lobbyist volunteered a union or a &ldquo;public interest&rdquo; group.</p> <p>....This growing imbalance has had two major effects on the political system. First, it is increasingly difficult to challenge any existing policy that benefits politically active corporations....Second, the sheer amount of lobbying has created a policymaking environment that now requires significant resources to get anything done. <strong>Which means that, with increasingly rare exceptions, the only possible policy changes on economic policy issues are those changes that at least some large corporations support.</strong></p> </blockquote> <p>Lobbying is inevitable. You might even say that it's nothing more than politics in its purest form. But if that's true, American politics has become almost purely a game played by big corporations and their allies. The rest of us&mdash;which is to say, practically all of us&mdash;are left with nearly no say in what happens.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Corporations Dark Money Elections Thu, 16 Apr 2015 17:55:46 +0000 Kevin Drum 273781 at Republican Judges Set to Rule on Republican Objection to New EPA Regs <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p><a href="" target="_blank">Things that make you go "hmmm":</a></p> <blockquote> <p>Environmental attorneys say they are <strong>confident the court will reject the emergency appeal.</strong></p> <p>Nevertheless Thursday's hearing, <strong>before three Republican-appointed judges,</strong> marks the first of what promises to be a series of legal hurdles for climate-change rules.</p> </blockquote> <p>The subject is Obama's new rules mandating greenhouse gas reductions from power plants, which energy industry attorneys say is "double regulation" since the EPA already regulates other stuff at power plants. No, that doesn't make much sense to me either. Still, the two bolded phrases above might have been believeable together a few decades ago, but not so much now. If it's a Republican panel, I think there's at least a decent chance that we'll get a Republican ruling, regardless of whether it makes any legal sense.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Climate Change Energy Thu, 16 Apr 2015 16:13:54 +0000 Kevin Drum 273776 at Nebraska Conservatives Take On GOP Governor Over Death Penalty <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>A group of conservative legislators in Nebraska are gearing up for what could be a multi-day battle to end the state's death penalty. The fight pits the right-wing anti-death penalty crusaders against their fellow conservatives and the state's Republican governor. Here's the <em>Omaha World-Herald</em>:</p> <blockquote> <p>Nine conservative lawmakers have signed on as co-sponsors of a repeal measure the Nebraska Legislature will begin debating Thursday. One of their key platforms: Repealing the death penalty makes good fiscal sense.</p> <p>"If capital punishment were any other program that was so inefficient and so costly to the taxpayer, we would have gotten rid of it a long time ago," said Sen. Colby Coash of Lincoln.</p> </blockquote> <p>The bill is unlikely to become law. There are currently enough votes for passage, but advocates warn that anything could happen when the bill comes up for a final vote. Death penalty advocates could mount a filibuster to block the legislature from even voting on the measure. If they don't,&nbsp;Gov. Pete Ricketts, a Republican, has vowed to block the legislation, and it's unclear that there are enough votes to override his veto.</p> <p>Still, the upcoming debate and vote on the bill marks a victory for a small conservative group working on a state-by-state basis to end the death penalty and replace it with life in prison without the possibility of parole. This group, Conservatives Concerned About the Death Penalty, argues that capital punishment violates <a href="" target="_blank">core conservative beliefs</a> about the <a href="" target="_blank">sanctity of life</a>, small government, and fiscal responsibility.</p> <p>The Nebraska chapter of the group held a press conference Wednesday in advance of today's floor debate on the bill. "I may be old-fashioned, but I believe God should be the only one who decides when it is time to call a person home," said state Sen. Tommy Garrett, a conservative who supports repeal. "The state has no business playing God."</p> <p>Nebraska has not carried out an execution since 1997, when the state was still using the electric chair, but that might change, according to the <a href="" target="_blank"><em>World-Herald</em></a>:</p> <blockquote> <p>Nebraska Attorney General Doug Peterson said this week that his staff is working to restore the viability of a lethal injection protocol. He did not, however, predict when executions could resume.</p> </blockquote></body></html> MoJo Crime and Justice Top Stories death penalty Thu, 16 Apr 2015 16:06:41 +0000 Pema Levy 273766 at Chris Christie's Social Security Proposal is Cruel and Callous <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>So Chris Christie is going to campaign on the bold idea of <a href="" target="_blank">reducing Social Security benefits.</a> My guess is that Christie is going to learn that Social Security remains the third rail of American politics, and will get therefore get charred to a crisp before much longer. For this and many other reasons, we probably don't have to worry much about Christie.</p> <p>Still, it's worth looking at his proposal. It has two parts:</p> <ol><li>"I propose a modest means test that only affects those with non&ndash;Social Security income of over $80,000 per year, and phases out Social Security payments entirely for those that have $200,000 a year of other income."</li> </ol><p>Even a lot of us liberal types don't have a big objection to this. But there's a problem here: I don't have exact numbers in front of me, but I'd guess that perhaps 5 percent of retirees have outside incomes of $80,000 and maybe 1 percent have incomes over $200,000. A phaseout that affects such a small number of retirees would hardly save anything. At a guess, maybe it would reduce total payouts by 1-2 percent or so.</p> <p>But here's the second part of Christie's proposal:</p> <ol start="2"><li>"I&rsquo;m proposing we raise the age to 69, gradually implementing this change starting in 2022 and increasing the retirement age by two months each year until it reaches 69."</li> </ol><p>Ouch! <a href="" target="_blank">As Matt Yglesias points out,</a> life expectancy for the poor at age 65 has <a href="" target="_blank">barely budged over the past three decades,</a> sitting stubbornly at about 15 years. A 2-year cut forces the poor to work longer <em>and</em> effectively slashes their lifetime Social <img align="right" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/images/blog_life_expectancy_top_bottom.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 20px 0px 15px 30px;">Security payout by nearly 15 percent. This is a huge reduction for anyone with a low income, and it's especially cruel since it would mostly target people who perform manual labor and have the hardest time working into their late 60s.</p> <p>I am part of a dwindling band of liberals who is willing to cut a deal on Social Security that would reduce future payouts in return for higher funding rates. Unfortunately, this was never going anywhere because conservatives weren't willing to deal on the funding side, and it's even deader today because liberals are increasingly demanding <em>increases</em> in Social Security, not cuts.</p> <p>But regardless of how you feel about all this, you should hate Christie's proposal. As I and others have pointed out repeatedly, raising the retirement age is the worst possible way of fixing Social Security's finances, doing its work primarily on the backs of low-income workers while making only token demands on the rich. It's a cruel and callous proposal and everyone should recognize it for what it is.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Economy Income Inequality Thu, 16 Apr 2015 15:14:39 +0000 Kevin Drum 273771 at As Cities Raise Their Minimum Wage, Where's the Economic Collapse the Right Predicted? <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="" class="image" src="/files/fight-for-15-masterWEB.gif"><div class="caption"><strong>The Fight for 15 protest in New York City </strong><a href="" target="_blank">Fast Food Forward</a></div> </div> <p>Fast-food cooks and cashiers demanding a $15 minimum wage walked off the job in 236 cities yesterday in what organizers called the largest mobilization of low-wage workers ever. The tax-day protest, known as Fight 4/15 (or #Fightfor15 on Twitter), caused some backlash on the Right:</p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"> <p>So, in demanding ridiculous wages for jobs that require no skill, <a href="">#FightFor15</a> has ensured more people remain unemployed. Retards.</p> &mdash; Stevie J. West (@StevieJWest) <a href="">April 15, 2015</a></blockquote> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"> <p><a href="">#FightFor15</a> in which <a href="">@TheDemocrats</a> talk poor people into going from unemployed to unemployable.</p> &mdash; Ben Crystal (@Bennettruth) <a href="">April 15, </a></blockquote> <p>Conservatives have long portrayed minimum-wage increases as a harbingers of economic doom, but their fears simply haven't played out. San Francisco, Santa Fe, and Washington, DC, were among the first major cities to raise their minimum wages to substantially above state and national averages. The Center for Economic and Policy Research <a href="" target="_blank">found</a> that the increases had little effect on employment rates in traditionally low-wage sectors of their economies:</p> <p><iframe allowfullscreen="allowfullscreen" allowtransparency="true" frameborder="0" height="400" mozallowfullscreen="mozallowfullscreen" msallowfullscreen="msallowfullscreen" oallowfullscreen="oallowfullscreen" src="//" webkitallowfullscreen="webkitallowfullscreen" width="100%"></iframe></p> <p>Economists with the Institute for Research on Labor and Employment at the University of California-Berkeley have <a href="" target="_blank">found similar results</a> in studies of the six other cities that have raised their minimum wages in the past decade, and in the 21 states with higher base pay than the federal minimum. Businesses, they found, absorbed the costs through lower job turnover, small price increases, and higher productivity.</p> <p>Obviously, there's a limit to how high you can raise the minimum wage without harming the economy, but evidence suggests we're nowhere close to that tipping point. The ratio between the United States' minimum wage and its median wage&nbsp;has been slipping for years&mdash;it's now <a href="" target="_blank">far lower</a> than in the rest of the developed world. Even after San Francisco increases its minimum wage to $15 next year, it will still amount to just 46 percent of the median wage, putting the city well within the normal historical range.</p> <p>The bigger threat to the economy may come from <em>not</em> raising the minimum wage. Even Wall Street analysts <a href="" target="_blank">agree</a> that our ever-widening income inequality threatens to dampen economic growth. And according to a <a href="" target="_blank">new study</a> by the UC-Berkeley Labor Center, it's the taxpayers who ultimately pick up the tab for low wages, because the federal government subsidizes the working poor through social-service programs to the tune of $153 billion a year.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Charts Labor Top Stories #fightfor15 Thu, 16 Apr 2015 13:45:48 +0000 Josh Harkinson 273746 at Even the World Bank Has to Worry About the Competition <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists has just <a href="" target="_blank">published a deep look</a> into the World Bank's track record of ensuring that the projects it sponsors don't end up harming local communities.</p> <p>Since 2004, more than 3.4 million people have been economically or physically displaced by Bank projects, according to the report's analysis of the lender's data. And while the Bank has policies requiring it to reestablish and resettle such communities, the ICIJ's investigation found that they were falling short, operating under a troubling lack of safeguards, through bank officials too willing to ignore abuses committed by local partners, and with an institutional culture that values closing big deals over following up on human rights.</p> <p>After being presented with the ICIJ's findings, the bank quickly promised reforms. But <a href="" target="_blank">one part of the investigation</a> contains this interesting passage, which suggests an unexpected reason the Bank may not be able to clean up its act: competition has gotten too stiff.</p> <blockquote> <p class="mc">As it enters its eighth decade, the World Bank faces an identity crisis.</p> <p class="mc">It is no longer the only lender willing to venture into struggling nations and finance huge projects. It is being challenged by new competition from other development banks that don&rsquo;t have the same social standards&mdash;and are rapidly drawing support from the World Bank&rsquo;s traditional backers.</p> <p class="mc">China has launched a new development bank and persuaded Britain, Germany and other American allies to join, despite open U.S. opposition.</p> <p class="mc">These geopolitical shifts have fueled doubts about whether the World Bank still has the clout&mdash;or the desire&mdash;to impose strong protections for people living in the way of development.</p> <p class="mc">United Nations human rights officials have written World Bank President Kim to say they're concerned that the growing ability of borrowers to access other financing has spurred the bank to join a "race to the bottom" and push its standards for protecting people even lower.</p> </blockquote> <p>Today's package of stories, published with the <em>Huffington Post</em>, is the first installment of a series reported in 14 countries by over 50 journalists. More than 20 news organizations were involved in the effort.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Foreign Policy Human Rights Thu, 16 Apr 2015 12:20:04 +0000 Clint Hendler 273761 at Health and Logistical Update <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Howdy everyone. I'm back. But I'll bet you didn't even know I was gone.</p> <p>I spent most of the day up at City of Hope in Duarte getting a few final tests plus a final visit with my transplant physician before I go up next week for the <img align="right" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/blog_city_hope_duarte.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 20px 0px 15px 30px;">final stage of chemo. For those who are interested, here's my final and (hopefully) firm schedule.</p> <p>On Monday I go up to CoH and check in to the Village. This sounds like something from <em>The Prisoner</em>, but it's actually just a small collection of houses on the grounds of the campus. Unless something goes wrong that requires round-the-clock observation and care, this is where I'll be staying. It's obviously nicer and more convenient than being cooped up in a hospital room, and it comes complete with its own kitchen so I'm free to make my own meals if I want. (I can also order out from the hospital cafeteria if I don't feel like cooking my own stuff.)</p> <p>On Tuesday and Wednesday I go into the Day Hospital for an infusion of high-dose Melphalan, a powerful chemotherapy drug. This will kill off all my remaining cancerous bone marrow stem cells, and, along the way, kill off all my healthy stem cells too. So on Thursday they'll pump my own frozen stem cells back into me.</p> <p>And that's about it. Within a few days of all this I'll be laid low with fatigue, mouth sores, and loss of hair&mdash;and hopefully not much more, since that would require transfer to the hospital, which I'd sure like to avoid. For the two weeks after that, I'll take a wide variety of medications and check into the Day Hospital every morning for testing and whatever else they deem necessary (for example, IV fluids if I'm not drinking enough). The rest of the time I spend in my little house, waiting for my immune system to recover enough for me to be sent home.</p> <p>That will take me through the middle of May, at which point I should be in fairly reasonable shape. Full and complete recovery will take longer&mdash;possibly quite a bit longer&mdash;but that's unknowable at this point. I'll just have to wait and see.</p> <p>The next time you see me after this weekend I'll be bald as an egg, as any true cancer patient should be. Yes, there will be pictures. I wouldn't deprive you of that. Between now and then, wish me luck.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Thu, 16 Apr 2015 00:45:45 +0000 Kevin Drum 273751 at McDonald's Franchisees: "We Will Continue to Fall and Fail" <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>McDonald's opened its <a href="" target="_blank">first franchise</a> in Des Plaines, Ill., 60 years ago today, but its franchisees aren't exactly celebrating.</p> <p>"The future looks very bleak. I'm selling my McDonald's stock," one operator wrote in response to a recent survey of McDonald's franchises across the country, <a href="" target="_blank">as quoted by <em>Business Insider</em></a>. "The morale of franchisees is at its lowest level ever."</p> <p>"McDonalds' system is broken," another wrote, <a href="" target="_blank">according to <em>MarketWatch</em></a>. "We will continue to fall and fail."</p> <p>Is the fast-food giant having a mid-life crisis?</p> <p>McDonald's has some 3,000 franchises in the United States, and 32 of them&mdash;representing 215 restaurants&mdash;took part in the latest survey by Wall Street analyst <a href="" target="_blank">Mark Kalinowski </a>of Janney Capital Markets. Many of them complained about poor business this year and blamed corporate executives. When asked to assess their six-month business outlook on a scale of 1 to 5, they responded grimly with an average of 1.81. Maybe that's because, according to the survey, same-store sales for franchises declined 3.7 percent in March and <a href="" target="_blank">4 percent</a> in February.</p> <p>Only three of the 32 franchisees said they had a "good" relationship with their franchisor, while about half described their relationship as "poor." The average score for this question was 1.48 out of 5, the lowest score since Kalinowski first started surveying the franchisees more than a decade ago.</p> <p><span id="articleText"><a href="" target="_blank">Reuters reported</a> that a McDonald's spokesperson responded to the survey by noting the poll size and saying that the company appreciates feedback from franchisees and has a "solid working relationship with them." </span></p> <p>Last month, McDonald's executives invited franchisees to a <a href=";rct=j&amp;q=&amp;esrc=s&amp;source=web&amp;cd=7&amp;ved=0CEIQFjAG&amp;;ei=9tUuVYCCBZL8yQTcy4DgCg&amp;usg=AFQjCNH42o44g3sKBWw7zuAOQ_JUc6eZlg&amp;sig2=XY-Aat713AlTMEqSgDvqLg&amp;bvm=bv.90790515,d.aWw" target="_blank">"Turnaround Summit" in Las Vegas</a>, to address its US sales decline. But the get-together didn't seem to boost anyone's spirits. "The Turnaround Summit was a farce," one franchisee wrote in the survey, <a href="" target="_blank">as quoted by <em>AdAge</em></a>. "McDonald's Corp. has panicked and jumped the shark." Another added, "McDonald's management does not know what we want to be."</p> <p>Some franchise operators slammed McDonalds' <a href="" target="_blank">decision to raise pay</a> by giving employees at company-owned stores $1 an hour above minimum wage. "We will be expected to do the same," one wrote, <a href="" target="_blank">according to <em>Nation's Restaurant News</em></a>. "Watch for $5 Big Macs, etc. and Extra Value Meals in the $8 to $10 range."</p> <p>Next week, McDonald's is set to report its first-quarter earnings.</p></body></html> Blue Marble Food and Ag Wed, 15 Apr 2015 23:11:00 +0000 Samantha Michaels 273726 at Billionaire Casino Magnate Sheldon Aldelson's Israeli Paper Is Obsessed With Marco Rubio <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>For years, Republicans who aspire to the presidency have sought the support of Sheldon Adelson, the billionaire casino magnate and GOP mega-donor. Adelson spent $150 million backing Republicans during the 2012 election cycle, and the candidate who secures his support this time around will get a big boost in a crowded GOP field. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), who announced his campaign on Monday, already has one billionaire backer&mdash;<a href="" target="_blank">Norman Braman, a Miami car dealer</a>. But <a href="" target="_blank">Rubio also seems to have impressed Adelson himself.</a></p> <p>Israel-watchers on Twitter have pointed out that <em>Israel Hayom</em>, the daily newspaper owned by Adelson, has been particularly interested in the junior senator from Florida.</p> <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"> <p>Third morning in a row Marco Rubio has been on the cover of Israel HaYom. He seems to be winning the Adelson primary. <a href=""></a></p> &mdash; Gregg Carlstrom (@glcarlstrom) <a href="">April 14, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//" charset="utf-8"></script><blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"> <p>Full-page in Yisrael Hayom pitting Rubio vs Clinton. No mention of other GOP candidates. "Adelson primary" is over. <a href=""></a></p> &mdash; Lahav Harkov (@LahavHarkov) <a href="">April 15, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//" charset="utf-8"></script><blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"> <p>The fourth day in a row that Rubio has been featured in Yisrael Hayom, Israel's Sheldon Adelson-owned paper. Hmmm. <a href=""></a></p> &mdash; Yair Rosenberg (@Yair_Rosenberg) <a href="">April 15, 2015</a></blockquote> <script async src="//" charset="utf-8"></script><p>It's too early to call the Adelson primary for Rubio. As in the past, Adelson will want each of the major candidates to court him; the casino magnate is <a href="" target="_blank">known to be fond of Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.)</a> and <a href="" target="_blank">Gov. Chris Christie (R-N.J.)</a>, both of whom are seriously considering runs. But Rubio&mdash;who <a href="" target="_blank">dined one-on-one with Adelson last month</a>&mdash;is off to a good start.</p></body></html> MoJo 2016 Elections International Money in Politics The Right Wed, 15 Apr 2015 22:02:14 +0000 Sam Brodey 273736 at Democrats in Oregon of All Places Just Torpedoed a Bill to Expand Abortion Rights <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Here's how quickly the prospect of expanding abortion rights can kill a piece of legislation: In February, a group of state lawmakers introduced a bill that would require insurers to cover the full spectrum of women's reproductive services at an affordable price. Just two months later, the same lawmakers have killed the bill. The section calling for abortion coverage proved just too controversial.</p> <p>This didn't happen in the Rust Belt, or in a purple state where Democrats hold the statehouse by just a vote or two. It <a href="" target="_blank">happened in Oregon</a>, where the Democrats control both chambers of the legislature by a supermajority and where the party has a lengthy history of going to the mat for abortion rights.</p> <p>Nina Liss-Schultz of <em>RH Reality Check </em>(and a <a href="" target="_blank"><em>MoJo </em>alum</a>) has <a href="" target="_blank">the full story</a>. The tale is an illuminating one as progressives contemplate how to respond to the historic number of anti-abortion laws that have passed in the last five years.</p> <p>It's also an important dose of reality.</p> <p>Conservatives have enacted more abortion restrictions in the past few years than they have in <a href="" target="_blank">the entire previous decade</a>. In January, though, several news reports circulated that made it seem as though a full-fledged progressive counter strike was already under way. The stories were based on <a href="" target="_blank">reports</a> by the Guttmacher Institute and the National Institute for Reproductive Health, pro abortion-rights think tanks. They found that in 2014, dozens of lawmakers introduced dozens of bills&mdash;95, by Guttmacher's count&mdash;supporting women's reproductive rights, surpassing a record set in 1990. "A Record Number Of Lawmakers Are Starting To Fight For Reproductive Rights," one headline <a href="" target="_blank">announced</a>. <a href="" target="_blank">Another</a> read, "Inside the quiet, state-level push to expand abortion rights."</p> <p>It's certainly true that the tidal wave of new abortion restrictions has inspired a progressive backlash. But the suggestion that the two sides are evenly matched, or even approaching that point, is out of line with reality. Just four of those 95 measures were eventually passed into law. One of them was a Vermont bill to <a href="" target="_blank">repeal the state's long-defunct abortion ban</a>, in case the makeup of the Supreme Court allowed the justices to overturn <em>Roe v. Wade</em>&mdash;a looming danger, but not the most pressing issue facing abortion rights.</p> <p>By contrast, last year alone conservative lawmakers <a href="" target="_blank">introduced</a> 335 bills targeting abortion access; 26 passed. And in two states that are overtly hostile to abortion rights&mdash;Texas and North Dakota&mdash;the legislature wasn't even in session. That's part of why you can <a href="" target="_blank">expect this year's abortion battles to be even uglier</a>.</p> <p>But it's not just about sheer numbers. At the same time that progressive lawmakers were pushing forward-thinking laws, the 2014 midterms undermined their efforts. In states where there were serious efforts to expand reproductive rights&mdash;Colorado, Nevada, New York, and Washington&mdash;<a href="" target="_blank">Democratic losses on Election Day</a> have placed those plans on indefinite hold.</p> <p>Here's how things fell apart in Oregon, according to the <a href="" target="_blank"><em>Lund Report</em></a>, an Oregon-based health news website.</p> <blockquote> <p>[Democratic health committee chair Sen. Laurie] Monnes Anderson said the abortion language was so toxic that "leadership"&mdash;her caucus leaders&mdash;would not even allow her to have a public hearing on SB 894, let alone move it to the Senate floor. She said House Democratic leaders were also involved in the discussion over whether the bill could see the light of day.</p> </blockquote> <p>Meanwhile, in the time it took for Oregon to abandon this bill, Arizona, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, and West Virginia passed <a href="" target="_blank">10 new abortion and reproductive rights </a>restrictions. What happened in Oregon shows just how much reproductive rights advocates are playing catch-up, even in states that appear friendly to their agenda.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Reproductive Rights Top Stories Wed, 15 Apr 2015 20:21:37 +0000 Molly Redden 273721 at McDonald's Is 60 Years Old. On Its "Opening Day" It Bragged About Having Served 15 Million Burgers. <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Here is a hilarious thing that I find hilarious. The first McDonald's franchise opened its doors 60 years ago today in Des Plaines, Illinois. This is the day McDonald's Corporation celebrates as its <a href="" target="_blank">birthday</a>. When you dive into Google to find the opening day menu for the McDonald's that opened in Des Plaines, Illinois, on April 15, 1955, <a href="" target="_blank">this is what you find</a>:</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="" class="image" src="/files/krocs-first-mcdonalds.jpg"><div class="caption">source:&nbsp;<a href="" target="_blank"></a></div> </div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p>Notice anything funny? On its opening day menu, McDonald's bragged about having already served "over 15 million burgers." So what's going on? Is this just a hilariously transparent case of false advertising or something else?</p> <p>It turns out something else. Though McDonald's as we know it traces its origins to April 15, 1955, in Des Plaines, Illinois, that was actually just the first franchise. McDonald's had actually already existed for years in California. It was founded by brothers Dick and Mac McDonald in the 1940s. The site's official history explains:</p> <blockquote> <p>[Entrepreneur Ray] Kroc pitched his vision of creating McDonald&rsquo;s restaurants all over the U.S. to the brothers. In 1955, he founded McDonald&rsquo;s System, Inc., a predecessor of the McDonald&rsquo;s Corporation, and six years later bought the exclusive rights to the McDonald&rsquo;s name. By 1958, McDonald&rsquo;s had sold its 100 millionth hamburger.</p> </blockquote> <p>So there was nothing nefarious about this claim, but it is still pretty amusing.</p> <p><em>Correction: This post originally said Des Plaines was in Iowa. It is in Illinois. I'm dumb.&nbsp;</em></p></body></html> Contributor Wed, 15 Apr 2015 18:45:35 +0000 Ben Dreyfuss 273711 at Hillary Clinton to Supreme Court: Legalize Same-Sex Marriage Nationally <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Hillary Clinton's now-official <a href="" target="_blank">presidential campaign</a> has so far opted for gauzy announcement videos and vague feel good promises over much in the way of policy specifics. But on Wednesday, Clinton's team clarified one stance she she will take: same-sex marriage is a constitutional right that should be legal in every state.</p> <p>"Hillary Clinton supports marriage equality and hopes the Supreme Court will come down on the side of same-sex couples being guaranteed that constitutional right," campaign spokesperson Adrienne Elrod <a href="" target="_blank">told <em>The Washington Blade</em></a>, referring to <a href="" target="_blank">four cases</a> on gay marriage the court is scheduled to hear later this month.</p> <p>Clinton hasn't always supported <a href="" target="_blank">same-sex marriage</a>. In the 2008 Democratic primary, Clinton, like then-Sen. Barack Obama, supported civil unions for LGBT couples but opposed marriage rights. She avoided weighing in on domestic politics while at the State Department and didn't announce that she supported marriage equality until March, 2013&mdash;but maintained that same-sex marriage was up to the states and not a nationwide, constitutional right. Last year, she ducked probing questions from NPR's Terry Gross about how she had evolved on the issue. Earlier this week, <a href="" target="_blank"><em>Buzzfeed</em> called</a> out the Clinton campaign for not saying where the presidential candidate stood on the upcoming court case.</p> <p>Now Clinton seems ready to strike a different tone. Her top campaign operative, Robby Mook, will be the first openly gay presidential campaign manger, as my colleague Andy Kroll and I <a href="" target="_blank">reported last week</a>. Among the gauzy images in the video she <a href="" target="_blank">released on Sunday</a> announcing her presidential campaign were scenes of a <a href="" target="_blank">gay couple</a> discussing their upcoming wedding. And, thanks to her statement today, she's fully on board with the idea that LGBT couples should enjoy the same constitutionally protected rights as heterosexual couples.</p></body></html> MoJo 2016 Elections Elections Gay Rights Hillary Clinton Supreme Court Wed, 15 Apr 2015 18:13:05 +0000 Patrick Caldwell 273696 at Awful People Write Hilariously Mean Letter To Friend Who Shared Too Many Photos Of Child On Facebook <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>You know how parents are always going on and on about their kids? "My kid <em>this</em> and my kid <em>that</em>" and shut up already, ok? Some of us don't even have kids and others of us have kids but those kids are really just sacks of potatoes dressed in clothes and we bring them around and introduce them to people like they're our kids but then we get hungry and we rip off their little baseball caps and eat the potatoes and OH MY GOD I ATE MY KID!</p> <p>So parents! On Facebook! Annoying! Sometimes you want to just write them a nasty letter that's like, "no one cares about your dumb kid. Shut up." But you never actually do that because you understand that the parent just loves their kid and parents are supposed to love their kids and they want to be proud of their adorable kid and sing its praises from the rooftops and you understand in your heart, in your bones, that that is ultimately a good thing and complaining about it would not be a good look.</p> <p>Some people in Australia apparently did do that, <a href=";utm_term=4ldqphz#.hqd3A83r4" target="_blank">though</a>. According to <a href="" target="_blank"><em></em>'s Em Rusciano</a>, a woman named Jade Ruthven received the following enraged letter from a group of "friends" who were miffed by her over-sharing:</p> <div class="inline inline-center" style="display: table; width: 1%"><img alt="" class="image" src="/files/11162211_10152734596455887_4560776761180464530_n.jpg"><div class="caption"><a href="" target="_blank"></a></div> </div> <p>Jade's friends are not necessarily bad people, but they are not Jade's <em>real</em> friends. <em>Real</em> friends are willing to suffer your annoying child-bragging. Jade can do better.</p></body></html> Contributor Wed, 15 Apr 2015 17:17:17 +0000 Ben Dreyfuss 273701 at Drum vs. Cowen: Three Laws <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>Today Tyler Cowen published his version of <a href="" target="_blank">Cowen's Three Laws:</a></p> <blockquote> <p><strong>1. Cowen&rsquo;s First Law:</strong> There is something wrong with everything (by which I mean there are few decisive or knockdown articles or arguments, and furthermore until you have <img align="right" alt="" class="image image-_original" src="/files/blog_three_laws.jpg" style="border: 1px solid black; margin: 20px 0px 15px 30px;">found the major flaws in an argument, you do not understand it)</p> <p><strong>2. Cowen&rsquo;s Second Law:</strong> There is a literature on everything.</p> <p><strong>3. Cowen&rsquo;s Third Law:</strong> All propositions about real interest rates are wrong.</p> </blockquote> <p>I'd phrase these somewhat differently:</p> <blockquote> <p><strong>1. Drum's First Law:</strong> For any any problem complex enough to be interesting, there is evidence pointing in multiple directions. You will never find a case where literally every research result supports either liberal or conservative orthodoxy.</p> <p><strong>2. Drum's Second Law:</strong> There's literature on a lot of things, but with some surprising gaps. Furthermore, in many cases the literature is so contradictory and ambiguous as to be almost useless in practical terms.</p> <p><strong>3. Drum's Third Law:</strong> Really? Isn't there a correlation between real interest rates and future inflationary expectations? In general, don't low real interest rates make capital investment more likely by lowering hurdle rates? Or am I just being naive here?</p> </blockquote> <p>In any case, you can take your choice. Or mix and match!</p></body></html> Kevin Drum Economy Wed, 15 Apr 2015 14:59:30 +0000 Kevin Drum 273691 at Senate's Iran Bill Probably Not a Bad Idea After All <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD HTML 4.0 Transitional//EN" ""> <html><body><p>President Obama has said that he's willing to sign the latest Senate version of a bill that gives Congress a say in any nuclear deal with Iran. I'm glad to hear that because, oddly enough, I'm pretty much in favor of the current bill. <a href="" target="_blank">Here's why:</a></p> <ul><li>Congress <em>should</em> be involved in major arms treaties, regardless of whether my preferred party happens to control Congress.</li> <li>The current bill requires Congress to vote on a final deal within 30 days. No one expects a treaty to get implemented any sooner than that anyway, so it's not much of a roadblock.</li> <li>If Congress disapproves the deal, the president can issue a veto. It would then take two-thirds of the Senate to override the veto and kill the treaty.</li> </ul><p>I don't see much of a downside to this. If Obama can't get even one-third of the Senate to go along with his Iran deal, then it probably doesn't deserve to be approved. And the threat of a suspicious and recalcitrant Congress going over the treaty language word by word might actually motivate Iran to agree to more straightforward language in the final document. It certainly shouldn't doom the negotiations or anything like that.</p> <p>A lot of this is political theater, and a lot of it is pure Israel-lobby muscle at work. Still, I suspect it does little harm and might even do a little good. And setting out the parameters of the Senate vote beforehand is probably all for the good. This isn't a bad bill.</p></body></html> Kevin Drum International Wed, 15 Apr 2015 14:44:16 +0000 Kevin Drum 273686 at