The Long and Warming Road

Who coined “the greenhouse effect”? Which year was the hottest on record? A timeline of climate change milestones, from 1800 to now.

Photo: G.S. Callendar: University of East Anglia/G.S. Callendar Archive: Al Gore: Participant Media: Carter: Bettmann/Corbis

Fight disinformation: Sign up for the free Mother Jones Daily newsletter and follow the news that matters.


1800: At the dawn of the industrial revolution, planet’s CO2 concentration is around 280 ppm—38% lower than today.

1896: Swedish chemist Svante Arrhenius publishes first study tying CO2 emissions to fossil fuels.

1937: University of Wisconsin geographer Glenn Trewartha helps coin the term “greenhouse effect.”

GS Callendar

1938: English engineer G.S. Callendar asserts that CO2 increases are warming the planet, suggests this will make cold areas more habitable.

1958: Scientists begin to track CO2 levels and soon observe increases. First official studies show level at 315 ppm.

May 30, 2004: Climate change dystopia The Day After Tomorrow released; will bring in more than $544 million.

State of Fear

December 7, 2004: Michael Crichton’s State of Fear, which features climate change as environmentalist hoax, published; Bush reported to have “avidly read” book.

February 16, 2005: Kyoto Protocol goes into effect for 130 countries.

May 2005: Mother Jones reveals ExxonMobil spent more than $8 million from ’00 to ’03 funding climate change deniers.

December 8, 2006: Inhofe’s Senate committee releases 68-page “A Skeptic’s Guide to Debunking Global Warming Alarmism.”

An Inconvenient Truth

1960: Soviet Union publishes essay titled “Man Versus Climate” that advocates deliberate planet heating to unthaw Arctic and boost farm output.

April 22, 1970: First Earth Day. US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) created 5 months later.

1975: National Academy of Sciences report warns of “serious worldwide cooling” in the next 100 years, sparking fears of new ice age.

July 1981: A young US represent-ative from Tennessee, Albert Gore Jr., organizes climate change hearing on Capitol Hill. Media attendance sparse.

January 2007: New House Speaker Nancy Pelosi creates climate change committee.

2007: IPCC releases fourth report, concluding again that global warming is caused by humans.

May 7, 2007: Three decades ahead of projections, scientists report record lows in Arctic summer ice.

October 12, 2007: IPCC and Al Gore awarded Nobel Peace Prize.

December 15, 2007: Papua New Guinea’s delegate tells US reps at Bali climate negotiations to step up or “get out of the way.”


Jimmy Carter

1985: Scientists at Villach conference in Austria reach consensus that global warming is happening and international treaties needed to curb emissions.

1988: UN-led Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is established to assess state of knowledge on climate change.

February 1, 2008: ExxonMobil reports $40.6 billion profit—the largest for any US company ever.

February 2008: An iceberg bigger than Manhattan breaks off the Wilkins Ice Shelf in Antarctica.


Global warming has begun

1989: National Association of Manufacturers along with oil and auto companies form Global Climate Coalition to fight carbon restrictions.

1992: At Rio Earth Summit, US blocks calls for serious action; President George H.W. Bush declares, “The American way of life is not negotiable.”

1995: UN-led international climate negotiations begin.

December 11, 1997: First global climate treaty, Kyoto Protocol, adopted.

November 12, 1998: President Bill Clinton signs the Kyoto Protocol, a symbolic gesture; Senate has already rejected it 95-to-0.

March 2001: President George W. Bush withdraws US from Kyoto treaty.

2001: Hottest year on record.

July 28, 2003: US Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) says on Senate floor that global warming is “the greatest hoax ever perpetrated on the American people.”

Summer 2003: Heat wave hits Europe; 35,000 die.

April 2008: Hansen warns that a CO2 concentration over 350 ppm isn’t compatible with “a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted.”

2008: Ties 2001 as hottest year on record.

February 1, 2009: NOAA finds that effects of climate change will be “largely irreversible” for more than 1,000 years after emissions stop.

June 26, 2009: American Clean Energy and Security Act, a.k.a. Waxman-Markey bill, passes House.

2009: Conservative Washington Post columnist George Will pens several syndicated pieces saying planet is actually cooling; readers, scientists go ballistic; Post reporters so embarrassed, they debunk claims in paper’s news pages.

April 2009: Global CO2 concentration reaches 387 ppm, projected to reach 866 ppm by century’s end if unchecked.

December 7-18, 2009: Nations to meet in Copenhagen to negotiate successor treaty to Kyoto Protocol.

AN IMPORTANT UPDATE

We’re falling behind our online fundraising goals and we can’t sustain coming up short on donations month after month. Perhaps you’ve heard? It is impossibly hard in the news business right now, with layoffs intensifying and fancy new startups and funding going kaput.

The crisis facing journalism and democracy isn’t going away anytime soon. And neither is Mother Jones, our readers, or our unique way of doing in-depth reporting that exists to bring about change.

Which is exactly why, despite the challenges we face, we just took a big gulp and joined forces with the Center for Investigative Reporting, a team of ace journalists who create the amazing podcast and public radio show Reveal.

If you can part with even just a few bucks, please help us pick up the pace of donations. We simply can’t afford to keep falling behind on our fundraising targets month after month.

Editor-in-Chief Clara Jeffery said it well to our team recently, and that team 100 percent includes readers like you who make it all possible: “This is a year to prove that we can pull off this merger, grow our audiences and impact, attract more funding and keep growing. More broadly, it’s a year when the very future of both journalism and democracy is on the line. We have to go for every important story, every reader/listener/viewer, and leave it all on the field. I’m very proud of all the hard work that’s gotten us to this moment, and confident that we can meet it.”

Let’s do this. If you can right now, please support Mother Jones and investigative journalism with an urgently needed donation today.

payment methods

AN IMPORTANT UPDATE

We’re falling behind our online fundraising goals and we can’t sustain coming up short on donations month after month. Perhaps you’ve heard? It is impossibly hard in the news business right now, with layoffs intensifying and fancy new startups and funding going kaput.

The crisis facing journalism and democracy isn’t going away anytime soon. And neither is Mother Jones, our readers, or our unique way of doing in-depth reporting that exists to bring about change.

Which is exactly why, despite the challenges we face, we just took a big gulp and joined forces with the Center for Investigative Reporting, a team of ace journalists who create the amazing podcast and public radio show Reveal.

If you can part with even just a few bucks, please help us pick up the pace of donations. We simply can’t afford to keep falling behind on our fundraising targets month after month.

Editor-in-Chief Clara Jeffery said it well to our team recently, and that team 100 percent includes readers like you who make it all possible: “This is a year to prove that we can pull off this merger, grow our audiences and impact, attract more funding and keep growing. More broadly, it’s a year when the very future of both journalism and democracy is on the line. We have to go for every important story, every reader/listener/viewer, and leave it all on the field. I’m very proud of all the hard work that’s gotten us to this moment, and confident that we can meet it.”

Let’s do this. If you can right now, please support Mother Jones and investigative journalism with an urgently needed donation today.

payment methods

We Recommend

Latest

Sign up for our free newsletter

Subscribe to the Mother Jones Daily to have our top stories delivered directly to your inbox.

Get our award-winning magazine

Save big on a full year of investigations, ideas, and insights.

Subscribe

Support our journalism

Help Mother Jones' reporters dig deep with a tax-deductible donation.

Donate