Chart of the Day

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Via Andrew Gelman at the Monkey Cage, here’s a cool chart showing changes in attitudes toward gay marriage at the state level.  (The original paper is here.)  Andrew says there’s all sorts of cool statistical wizardry involved in creating it (“multilevel regression and poststratification”), but the bottom line is not just that attitudes toward gay marriage are becoming more liberal everywhere, but that they’re becoming more liberal fastest in the states that were most liberal to begin with.  Andrew is surprised by this (“I generally expect to see uniform swing, or maybe even some ‘regression to the mean'”) but I don’t think I am.  My guess is that there’s some kind of positive feedback for these kinds of things, where more liberal attitudes feed on themselves as the resulting change turns out to be fairly obviously benign or even beneficial.  Andrew has a couple of other plausible explanations too.  For now, though, just revel in some cool chartmaking and the good news it conveys.

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THE BIG PICTURE

You expect the big picture, and it's our job at Mother Jones to give it to you. And right now, so many of the troubles we face are the making not of a virus, but of the quest for profit, political or economic (and not just from the man in the White House who could have offered leadership and comfort but instead gave us bleach).

In "News Is Just Like Waste Management," we unpack what the coronavirus crisis has meant for journalism, including Mother Jones’, and how we can rise to the challenge. If you're able to, this is a critical moment to support our nonprofit journalism with a donation: We've scoured our budget and made the cuts we can without impairing our mission, and we hope to raise $400,000 from our community of online readers to help keep our big reporting projects going because this extraordinary pandemic-plus-election year is no time to pull back.

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