The Decline and Fall of New Hampshire

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Andrew Samwick says the Republican presidential candidates have been almost invisible in New Hampshire this year. He’s got a few possible explanations for this, but even so, I find this pretty interesting:

It is surprising how little role that money is playing in this contest. The top candidates are not spending money on large media buys. Television advertising has not been overwhelmed by political ads. An unmet need to raise money has not been a reason for candidates to drop out of the race and focus the remaining candidates on distinguishing themselves from each other. More generally, we are in the low-fundraising, low-spending equilibrium in which candidates are responding to weak campaign efforts by their opponents by conserving their own resources, including their time and travel. That won’t continue to be the case later in the primary season, but it is certainly the case now.

Fundraising has been pretty sluggish for all the Republican candidates this year, and apparently that’s not changing. What’s more, Iowa seems to be sucking up everyone’s attention to a surprising degree. For the first time in decades, nobody cares about New Hampshire.

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DEMOCRACY DOES NOT EXIST...

without free and fair elections, a vigorous free press, and engaged citizens to reclaim power from those who abuse it.

In this election year unlike any other—against a backdrop of a pandemic, an economic crisis, racial reckoning, and so much daily crazy—Mother Jones' journalism is driven by one simple question: Will America move closer to, or further from, justice and equity in the years to come?

If you're able to, please join us in this mission with a donation today. Our reporting right now is focused on voting rights and election security, corruption, disinformation, racial and gender equity, and the climate crisis. We can’t do it without the support of readers like you, and we need to give it everything we've got between now and November. Thank you.

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