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Will Greece leave the eurozone? Will Germany squawk loudly but bail them out in the end? Matt Yglesias answers with this headline today:

On Greece, Everyone’s Bluffing—Including the Greeks

The headline is sort of spoiled by writing a post to go with it, because in a way it says all that needs to be said. This is what makes it so hard to figure out what everyone is up to. After all, if you’re doing a good job of bluffing, the whole point is that your bluff will seem extremely reckless and credible, especially to outside observers like me. My own guess is that the underlying dynamics — Greek government chaos, public opinion in Germany, small country disgust with Greece, capital flows within Europe — are moving toward breakup, but if everyone is doing a good job of bluffing that’s exactly what they’d want me to believe. So I guess I don’t really know.

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IT'S NOT THAT WE'RE SCREWED WITHOUT TRUMP:

"It's that we're screwed with or without him if we can't show the public that what we do matters for the long term," writes Mother Jones CEO Monika Bauerlein as she kicks off our drive to raise $350,000 in donations from readers by July 17.

This is a big one for us. So, as we ask you to consider supporting our team's journalism, we thought we'd slow down and check in about where Mother Jones is and where we're going after the chaotic last several years. This comparatively slow moment is also an urgent one for Mother Jones: You can read more in "Slow News Is Good News," and if you're able to, please support our team's hard-hitting journalism and help us reach our big $350,000 goal with a donation today.

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