After Four Months of Excitement, the Presidential Race is Back to Where It Was In May

Here’s the latest version of Sam Wang’s meta-analysis of how the presidential campaign is going. I’m putting it up for one reason: to show just how little outside events seem to matter. After a couple of months that featured a series of gaffes that hurt Romney, a VP choice that seemed to help him, the Todd Akin affair, a poorly-received GOP convention, and a well-received Democratic convention — after all that, Sam’s estimate right now is that Obama will receive 319 electoral votes to Romney’s 219. This is virtually the same as it was in May and June. The needle has barely moved at all.

THE BIG QUESTION...

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THE BIG QUESTION...

as we head into 2020 is whether politics and media will be a billionaires’ game, or a playing field where the rest of us have a shot.

Please read our annual column about the state of journalism and Mother Jones' plans for the year ahead, and help us build an alternative to oligarchy by supporting our people-powered journalism with a year-end gift today.

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