White, Working-Class Men Are Less Racist Than You Think

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In my post earlier this morning I made the case that economic anxiety really did play a role in blue-collar support for Donald Trump. However, many of you cleverly noted that I slid in a postscript at the end that basically made a hash of my argument—and everyone else’s. It’s simple: Trump isn’t actually doing unusually well among white, working-class men. And if Trump isn’t doing better among blue collar men in the first place, then there’s really nothing to explain. Not racism, not nationalism, not economic anxiety, not anything. Apropos of that, here’s a Pew table from a few weeks ago:

Compared to Mitt Romney—a garden variety Republican if there ever was one—Trump is:

  • Doing worse among men
  • Doing worse among whites
  • Doing worse among the elderly
  • Doing worse among those with only a high school education
  • Doing worse among those with low incomes

This is not absolutely definitive. The problem is that Trump’s base is typically described as white, working-class men, and most polls just don’t break down support that finely. Still, if Trump is doing worse among whites, worse among men, and worse among the working class, it’s a pretty good bet that, at the very least, he’s not doing any better than Romney among white, working-class men. And if he is, I’ll bet it’s by a minuscule amount.

So here’s the real story: Trump is basically just a Republican candidate for president, appealing to all the usual groups that Republicans appeal to—and this has been true during the entire campaign. Nationally, support for Trump has changed only modestly over the past six months. In fact, if there’s any difference at all, it’s the fact that whites and men and the working class are turned off by his overt appeals to racism and nationalism. The fact that Trump has a small base of very loud white supporters doesn’t change this.

It’s hard to draw firm conclusions from any of this. Maybe white, working-class men do like Trump’s racial appeals, but are turned off for other reasons. (For example, he’s a lunatic.) We’ll never know for sure. But what evidence we have really doesn’t support the idea that the white working class loves Trump in the first place. Given that, any effort to explain it is bound to be wrong.

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is the first thing despots go after. An unwavering commitment to it is probably what draws you to Mother Jones' journalism. And as we're seeing in the US and the world around, authoritarians seek to poison the discourse and the way we relate to each other because they can't stand people coming together around a shared sense of the truth—it's a huge threat to them.

Which is also a pretty great way to describe Mother Jones' mission: People coming together around the truth to hold power accountable.

And right now, we need to raise about $400,000 from our online readers over the next two months to hit our annual goal and make good on that mission. Read more about the information war we find ourselves in and how people-powered, independent reporting can and must rise to the challenge—and please support our team's truth-telling journalism with a donation if you can right now.

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