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Let’s show both of my usual pollsters today. After declining in mid-September, Sam Wang’s meta-margin is back up to a 3.3 percent lead for Hillary Clinton:
Wang’s current prediction is that Clinton has a 93 percent chance of winning and will rack up 323 electoral votes. The Senate will be tied, 50-50. And here’s Pollster:
Clinton is 6.5 percentage points ahead of Trump, exactly where she was when the primary race ended on June 7. In the generic House polling, Pollster has Democrats ahead by about 5 points. That’s not enough to get giddy about Democrats taking back control, but it does suggest that Republicans will probably have a smaller majority next year than they do now.
