Crystal ball: SIPA Asia; Collins: Bill Clark/Congressional Quarterly/Newscom via ZUMA

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I would like to make a prediction:

  • Donald Trump will nominate a Supreme Court justice who is very plainly a vote to overturn Roe v. Wade.
  • Susan Collins will announce that she needs to take a careful look at Trump’s choice.
  • She will spend an hour with the nominee, who will assure her of undying respect for stare decisis.
  • Collins will declare herself satisfied and vote to confirm.
  • A year from now the Supreme Court will accept a new abortion case. Six months later it will issue a 5-4 decision overturning Roe v. Wade.
  • Collins will announce that she’s disappointed.

This isn’t much of a prediction, since pretty much everyone seems to agree that this is what will happen. However, I want to make it public to help run up my score in the year-end predictions horserace.

DONALD TRUMP & DEMOCRACY

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DONALD TRUMP & DEMOCRACY

Mother Jones was founded to do journalism differently. We stand for justice and democracy. We reject false equivalence. We go after stories others don’t. We’re a nonprofit newsroom, because the kind of truth-telling investigations we do doesn’t happen under corporate ownership.

And we need your support like never before, to fight back against the existential threats American democracy faces. Fundraising for nonprofit media is always a challenge, and we need all hands on deck right now. We have no cushion; we leave it all on the field.

It’s reader support that enables Mother Jones to report the facts that are too difficult, expensive, or inconvenient for other news outlets to uncover. Please help with a donation today if you can—even a few bucks will make a real difference. A monthly gift would be incredible.

payment methods

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