My Supreme Court Prediction

Crystal ball: SIPA Asia; Collins: Bill Clark/Congressional Quarterly/Newscom via ZUMA

I would like to make a prediction:

  • Donald Trump will nominate a Supreme Court justice who is very plainly a vote to overturn Roe v. Wade.
  • Susan Collins will announce that she needs to take a careful look at Trump’s choice.
  • She will spend an hour with the nominee, who will assure her of undying respect for stare decisis.
  • Collins will declare herself satisfied and vote to confirm.
  • A year from now the Supreme Court will accept a new abortion case. Six months later it will issue a 5-4 decision overturning Roe v. Wade.
  • Collins will announce that she’s disappointed.

This isn’t much of a prediction, since pretty much everyone seems to agree that this is what will happen. However, I want to make it public to help run up my score in the year-end predictions horserace.