Here’s the coronavirus growth rate through April 12. There’s nothing special to report. Germany and France have probably peaked. The Swedish numbers, as usual, are unreliable because it’s a weekend. My best updated guess for the US is a national peak toward the end of the week, with different states peaking at different times. As always, this depends a lot on what happens in the states that have refused to impose countermeasures.
How to read the charts: Let’s use France as an example. For them, Day 0 was March 5, when they surpassed one death per 10 million by recording their sixth death. They are currently at Day 38; total deaths are at 2,402x their initial level; and they have recorded a total of 215.1 deaths per million so far. As the chart shows, this is above where Italy was on their Day 38.
The raw data from Johns Hopkins is here.
