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Sea Level Rise Twice As High as Current Projections

New research on Greenland glaciers suggests that sea level rise will be twice as high the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) estimate of 18 to 58 cm (0.6 to 1.9 ft) by 2100. The study, published in the Journal of Glaciology (pdf), combines important data long missing from the ice sheet models. Researchers from the University at Buffalo, Ohio State University, the University of Kansas, and NASA, combined field mapping, remote sensing, satellite imaging, and digital enhancement techniques to glean "hidden" data from historic aerial photographs, some 60 years old.

The resulting two-dimensional pictures are of limited value. But the researchers digitized them, removed the boundaries between them, and turned several pictures into a single 'mosaic' producing one data set viewable in three-dimensions. "By reprocessing old data contained in these old photographs and records, we have been able to construct a long-term record of the behavior of the [Jakobshavn Isbrae] glacier," says lead author, Beata Csatho. "This was the first time that the data from the '40s could be reused in a coherent way."

080211172517.jpg

You can see in this 1946 image how the 4-mile-wide Jakobshavn Isbrae glacier is flowing from the ice through Greenland's rocky coast. Image courtesy of University at Buffalo.

Other glacier views and data here and here.

Julia Whitty is Mother Jones' environmental correspondent and 2008 winner of the John Burroughs Medal Award. You can read from her new book, The Fragile Edge, and other writings, here.






Comments

It is evident to all but the most thick headed that global warming is a fact of life to day but what is stupefying is that no one has any real economical plans to at least decrease its effects. And also in the Atlanta area Lake Mead is drying up and some say it is a result of global warming .
OK here are two projects to address overall global warming and Atlanta's problem.
For Atlanta a desalination Plant is built on the coast and the fresh water is sold to municipalities in the Atlanta area. Two plants? OK!
And the jobs created would be a boon to the area.
Global warning is dramatically increased when the ice sheet disappears because the heat is no longer reflected back into space by the ice sheet. So sheets of durable reflective plastic, miles of it are laid down in the open areas or in the oceans to reflect heat into space. The UN heads the project and the material, which I'm sure does indeed exists in one form or another, is paid for by the nations of the world.
Possible, doable? Of course! Here again jobs would be created and maybe a new industry would evolve.

Posted by: Al Comstock on 02/14/08 at 1:50 PM  Respond

You should get a job ghost-writing for Michael Crichton. Miles of plastic over the ocean? Let's just beam a laser at the sun and make it cool down, I'm sure that technology is out there...

Posted by: Justin on 07/16/08 at 5:13 AM  Respond

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