In The Blogs

McCain Wants Afghanistan "Surge;" U.S. Commanders Do Not

Let's assume for a minute that the Iraq "surge" was primarily responsible for this year's reduction in violence there. A debatable point, but say it's true. Why shouldn't we just do the same thing in Afghanistan? That's the question on McCain's mind lately. "The same strategy that [Obama] condemned in Iraq," McCain said at last Friday's debate, referring to the Iraq surge, is "going to have to be employed in Afghanistan."

Hey, if it worked in one place, it'll work somewhere else, right? Not quite, say U.S. commanders (here and here). In a comforting departure from the adage that generals are always preparing to fight the last war, new CENTCOM commander General David Petraeus and the top NATO commander in Afghanistan, General David McKiernan, are warning that things aren't that simple and that lessons learned in Iraq don't necessarily translate.

As Petraeus told the New York Times yesterday, "People often ask, 'What did you learn from Iraq that might be transferable to Afghanistan?' The first lesson, the first caution really, is that every situation like this is truly and absolutely unique, and has its own context and specifics and its own texture."

McKiernan seconded the thought with this explanation to the Washington Independent:

[Afghanistan] has very harsh geography. It's very difficult to move around, getting back to our reliance on helicopters. It's a country with very few natural resources, as opposed to the oil revenues that [Iraq] has. There's very little money to be generated in terms of generated in Afghanistan. The literacy rate - you have a literate society in Iraq, you have a society that has a history of producing civil administrators, technocrats, middle class that are able to run the country in Iraq. You do not have that in Afghanistan. So there are a lot of challenges. What I don't think is needed - the word that I don't use in Afghanistan is the word 'surge.' There needs to be a sustained commitment of a variety of military and non-military resources, I believe.

All this said, McKiernan has also asked for more troops. Surge or not, Afghanistan is heating up and the next president will have to figure out how to best to proceed.

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People need to pay more attention to what is really going on in central Asia and the Georgia-Russia conflict. These situations are not as simple as McCain wants to make it seem. America does not command as moch respect abroad and there is going to be little to now unilateral support for any new wars.

We have our own problems to solve. Its time to stop sticking our nose into everyone else's governments and trying to control everything.

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Let's assume for a minute that Obama occupies the Oral Office in January.

What can we expect to occur regarding Afghanistan?

Salon reports:
Obama Is Saying The Wrong Things About Afghanistan

July 23, 2008
Barack Obama's Afghanistan and Iraq policies are mirror images of each other. Obama wants to send 10,000 extra U.S. troops to Afghanistan, but wants to withdraw all American soldiers and Marines from Iraq on a short timetable. In contrast to the kid gloves with which he treated the Iraqi government, Obama repeated his threat to hit at al-Qaida in neighboring Pakistan unilaterally, drawing howls of outrage from Islamabad.

But Obama's pledge to defeat the Taliban in Afghanistan will not be easy to fulfill. While coalition troop deaths have declined significantly in Iraq, NATO casualties in Afghanistan are way up. By shifting emphasis from Iraq to Afghanistan, would a President Obama be jumping from the frying pan into the fire?

Can you say "Quagmire"?
Ah knew ya' could!

I'm old enough to remember the events, and let me tell you young whippersnappers that this smells WAY too much like Vietnam/Cambodia/Nixon for comfort!!

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Afghanistan has been resisting a seemingly endless string of conquerers since the time of Darius the Great, around 500 B.C.

It was the most difficult conquest of the mighty Alexander the Great's campaigns.

Would-be conquerers have come & gone throughout Afghanistan's recorded history, but 'gone' has generally rolled around pretty quickly.

It's a bad idea, but don't take my word for it.
Ask the Soviet/Russians.

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