What an action packed week for the White House and its operatives. The Pincus/VandeHei piece in the Post focused on the fact that Plame was identified by name in the secret State Department memo Powell had with him on Air Force One. They wrote that the memo "contained information about CIA officer Valerie Plame in a paragraph marked ?(S)' for secret, a clear indication that any Bush administration official who read it should have been aware the information was classified, according to current and former government officials." The rest of the piece went on to discuss who knew what about Plame -- with the exception of a single paragraph which indicated that Plame was the least of what the memo was about:
"Almost all of the memo is devoted to describing why State Department intelligence experts did not believe claims that Saddam Hussein had in the recent past sought to purchase uranium from Niger. Only two sentences in the seven-sentence paragraph mention Wilson's wife."
"? why State Department intelligence experts did not believe the claims?" So on Air Force One that July 7 was clear and present evidence not just about Valerie Plame's identity, but that one set of government intelligence experts was ready and willing to debunk the President's sixteen-word claim of the previous January (and so implicitly undermine the administration's whole case for a Saddamist nuclear arsenal in the making). It's worth reminding ourselves that they were hardly the first experts to do so. In the pre-war months, when the documents which supposedly supported the Niger uranium claim first surfaced, they proved so crudely and poorly forged that it took experts at the International Atomic Energy Agency only an afternoon, and nothing more complicated than Google.com, to utterly discredit them. The Director-General of the IAEA, Mohamed El Baradei, would inform the UN on March 7, 2003 that they were frauds (though being a foreigner, representing an international agency that seemed to stand in the administration's path to a much-wanted war, he was thoroughly disparaged and ignored).
Democratic Congressman Henry Waxman, the ranking minority member of the Committee on Government Reform, denounced the crude forgeries in an open letter to the President on that March 17, just days before the invasion of Iraq was launched, though his letter was totally ignored by the administration and the media. ("In the last ten days, however, it has become incontrovertibly clear," he wrote, "that a key piece of evidence you and other Administration officials have cited regarding Iraq's efforts to obtain nuclear weapons is a hoax. What's more, the Central Intelligence Agency questioned the veracity of the evidence at the same time you and other Administration officials were citing it in public statements. This is a breach of the highest order, and the American people are entitled to know how it happened.")
To back up even further, Vice President Cheney started the administration's atomic drumbeat to war in Iraq with a series of speeches on Saddam's supposed nuclear capabilities and desires beginning in August of 2002. (The crucial role of Cheney, whose eye was first caught by a Defense Intelligence Agency report on the Niger uranium documents back in February 2002, in the events that would become the Plame case, has been poorly covered. The exception to this being the work of former CIA analyst Ray McGovern, who returned to the subject in a piece, Iraq-Niger: Cheney and the Forgery, just this week.) In October, the men and woman around the President tried to slip Saddam's supposed search for uranium in Niger into a speech George was planning to give in Cincinnati and CIA Director Tenet -- as reported at the time by Walter Pincus of the Washington Post (who did fine pre-war work on the subject) -- went to the mat with National Security Advisor Condoleezza Rice's deputy Stephen Hadley (a hardliner, known to be close to the Vice President, and now National Security Adviser himself) and managed to have the passage cut out of the speech.
In January, Rice, who like the Vice President had been carefully placing Iraqi mushroom clouds over American cities in her speeches, evidently ushered the fraudulent Niger information into the State of the Union speech. Here are the 16 words that could someday (farfetched as it may seem now) bring down an administration: "The British government has learned that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from Africa." It's a remarkably innocuous sentence nestled, as it was, amid so many hair-raising (and false) claims about Saddam's Iraq at that moment. ("Before September the 11th," the President declared, "many in the world believed that Saddam Hussein could be contained. But chemical agents, lethal viruses and shadowy terrorist networks are not easily contained. Imagine those 19 hijackers with other weapons and other plans -- this time armed by Saddam Hussein. It would take one vial, one canister, one crate slipped into this country to bring a day of horror like none we have ever known.") And yet those sixteen words, already known inside the administration not to be true, were there because the Bush administration was desperate for some shred of evidence that an Iraqi nuclear program remained in existence, something that could back up those mushroom clouds Cheney and Rice were relocating over the U.S.; they were there because, as Jonathan Schell indicates, connecting the ultimate dots below, nuclear weapons, nuclear dreams, and nuclear fears lay at the heart of the Bush push for war, just as they have lain at the heart of our consciousness since August 6, 1945.
Wilson's New York Times op-ed on his visit to Niger appeared on the President's birthday, July 6, 2003 and it was then that the you-know-what hit the fan. Now, let's add another recently reported dot to our picture. The White House instantly revved up a "damage control" operation -- "damage control," by the way, is a lovely old Watergate term -- about which New York Times reporter David Johnson wrote on July 22 (Bush aides worked on damage control at time of CIA leak). That operation was an "effort by the White House that included challenging Wilson's standing and his credentials," and at its heart were two officials -- the President's right-hand man Karl Rove and the Vice President's Chief of Staff I. Lewis ("Scooter") Libby (evidently with Hadley pitching in). Not only were they hard at work on the Wilson/Plame front, but, as Johnson revealed last week, they were toiling no less earnestly trying to find a fall-guy for the Niger uranium misinformation in the President's January speech.
That fall-guy was to be George Tenet on the theory, so essential to the Bush administration's workings, that you first cherry-pick and manipulate your intelligence information to get the results you want and then, if something goes wrong, you blame the intelligence people. On July 12, 2003, just as the President was returning from Africa, Tenet would issue a statement in which he managed to fall on a sword "which he had first carefully tried to blunt," as I wrote then, adding:
"In a surprisingly long mea culpa... Tenet managed both to take official responsibility for and acquit the CIA of responsibility for the claim that Saddam Hussein sought Niger ?yellowcake.' He managed to produce something like a defense of the CIA in the process, raising far more questions than he could answer even if he wanted to."
At the time, Tenet's strange "confession" seemed to me to radiate an undertone of threat -- to the administration. Part I-done-it, part we-were-right, it remains a no-less-odd document on rereading two years later. What reporter Johnson reveals is that the oddness of the document may have resulted from its mix of Tenet's words and, it seems, those of... yes, you guessed it, Rove, Libby, and possibly Hadley. In the period just before July 12th, Johnson informs us, Rove and Libby
"had exchanged e-mails and drafts of a proposed statement by George Tenet? to explain how the disputed wording had gotten into the address. Rove, the president's political strategist, and Libby, the chief of staff for Vice President Dick Cheney, coordinated their efforts with Stephen Hadley, then the deputy national security adviser, who was in turn consulting with Tenet."
So, to sum up, at just one-remove, from the President, Vice President, and National Security Adviser, you have top officials all intent on pinning the tail painfully on the CIA donkey for the President's "fixed" intelligence (to use the apt word at the heart of the original Downing Street Memo).
Now, add in one more dot: If Rove and Libby were, in the end, unsuccessful in maneuvering Tenet off a gangplank into shark-infested seas, if Tenet took the fall (but only onto the gangplank itself), later retiring from his disastrous CIA tenure with a Medal of Freedom from the President, it may be that he later leveled his own challenge at the President's men. After all, the Plame case would not be threatening anyone if, when evidently approached by angry CIA officials over Novak's outing of Plame (based on information from those "two senior administration officials"), Tenet hadn't sent a memo in September 2003 to the Justice Department "raising a series of questions about whether a leaker had broken federal law by disclosing the identity of an undercover officer" and requesting an investigation. At that time, Mike Allen and Dana Priest of the Washington Post reported that, "[a]fter an ensuing rush of leaks over White House handling of intelligence, Bush's aides said they believed in retrospect it had been a political mistake to blame Tenet." Indeed. It was Tenet who officially started in motion the Plame case we live with today. (However, it is possible, as others have suggested, that his hand was forced by CIA insiders, that he essentially had no choice but to write such a memo once one of his agents had been outed in such a fashion.)
Just before the President left on that trip to Africa, according to the Post's Pincus, in answer to a question about whether he considered the Niger uranium matter -- the matter of those sixteen words -- over and done with, he replied, "I do." And then he and his aides boarded the plane and, with Secretary of State Colin Powell having that State Department document in hand, they -- and Rove and Libby back in Washington --evidently began furiously to plan for payback.
It's the war, stupid. That's the mantra anyone looking at this administration should keep in mind as the dots spin and the details pile up (a point Frank Rich made clear this Sunday in Eight Days in July, another of his remarkable columns of late). Iraq -- that wanted war, the first urge of the Bush administration's top officials as the September 11, 2001 attacks sank in -- has proved the black hole sucking the administration into the depths, despite frantic efforts at damage control beginning that intense week in early July 2003. Now, those dots, hardly noticed for so long, encircle the President's and Vice President's right-hand men; a prosecutor waits in the wings; and information as well as guilt, as we learned from Watergate so long ago, have a tendency to migrate upwards where two other men wait, each with his own lawyer.
Tom Engelhardt, who runs the Nation Institute's Tomdispatch.com ("a regular antidote to the mainstream media"), is the co-founder of the American Empire Project and the author of The End of Victory Culture, a history of American triumphalism in the Cold War.
This piece first appeared, alongside Jonathan Schell's latest "Letter From Ground Zero" column for The Nation magazine, at Tomdispatch.com.