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Climate Change Could Displace One Billion People

The world currently has about 153 million displaced people. But there will be one billion by 2050, due to global warming. That's the prediction of Christian Aid, an organization formed 60 years ago to help the tens of millions of people displaced by World War II.

Internally displaced people are much worse off than international refugees, who have legal status and protection. So in Uganda, for example, the DP camps are more like rural prisons. The worst displacement crisis triggered by climate change already is Darfur. The one-billion figure is based on the IPCC's figures, for example, that droughts will halve the agricultural yields of many countries.

Another shocking part of the report, Human Tide, is the damage done by cultivation of palm oil for biodiesel. Biofuels are a modern-day goldrush. The EU will require one tenth of fuel to be biofuels by 2020. But in Indonesia alone, 350 conflicts have come out of developers wresting land away from people to cultivate palm oil. Dozens of people have been murdered and about 500 tortured. When pushed off their land, these people have no choice but to work on the plantations.






Comments

Biofuels, or at least most forms of them, put wealthy drivers in competition with poor peoples' food. This can't be the answer.

Aside from that, these numbers for displacement, coming as they do from the IPCC, are probably conservative. We are already past peak oil, the fuel that transports our food thousands of miles, past peak grain worldwide, and past worldwide peak fisheries output, despite improved fishing technology.

Our current population is not sustainable. We are treating our renewable resources as non-renewables, essentially mining them. This means that to support our current population, we are stealing from future generations. We're mining our top soil, our fresh water both above and below ground, our forests, etc.

I think it may well turn out that Malthus overestimated the population this planet can support when he said one billion. I'm not sure the planet can sustain more than one percent or so of its current population, if sustainability is defined in thousands of years.

If we don't reduce our population voluntarily, it will be reduced for us.

Posted by: Misanthropic Scott on 05/17/07 at 10:45 AM  Respond

Dear Canadian Prime Minister Harper,

Please keep Canada's Kyoto Protocol commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

I hope you now recognize that global warming threatens to be a global crisis - from melting Arctic sea ice, to burning and insect damaged forests, to droughts and floods displacing and killing millions of people around the world. Canada must do its fair share to prevent catastrophic climate change.

Respect Canada’s Kyoto commitments and pass Bill C-30 now!

Sincerely,

Paul Malouf

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