Wow. Our experiment is off to a great start—let's see if we can finish it off sooner than expected.
New York magazine's Dan Amira took a look at President Obama's fundraising database today and created this map of his financial prowess. It shows the number of per capita donors in each state, with darker blues indicating more donors. Obviously Obama is doing well in the Northeast and the Pacific coast, which is no surprise. He's also doing pretty well in Colorado and New Mexico. What else is there to see here?
Its biggest revelation, in our opinion, is Ohio. With its eighteen electoral college votes and working-class population, Ohio is a perennially important swing state. Obama won it by 5 percent in 2008. But as the map shows, it has a pretty low Obama donors-per-capita ratio. Every other state in Ohio's color tier was won by John McCain except for Indiana (and nobody expects Obama to win Indiana again) and that one weird Omaha electoral vote in Nebraska. This doesn't bode well for Obama's chances in Ohio.
Well, it's still early days. But this map does suggest that it's going to be a very close election.