Wow. Our experiment is off to a great start—let's see if we can finish it off sooner than expected.
Justin Horner points out today that, against all odds, Americans are continuing to drive less and less. Vehicle miles traveled per person plateaued in 2005 and then started declining dramatically in 2008. On average, Americans drove about 700 miles per year less in 2012 than they did in 2007.
So will this trend keep up? Horner offers three possibilities:
In other words, he says, "in the future VMT will either go up, go down, or stay the same." His guess is that it will continue to go down.