How Many People Actually Oppose Obamacare?


Here’s some interesting polling news. However, the interesting part isn’t immediately obvious. First up is the Kaiser tracking poll, which asks if people have a favorable or unfavorable view of Obamacare:

Got it? Now here is today’s PPP poll, which asks if people support or oppose Obamacare:

Kaiser and PPP agree precisely on support for Obamacare: it’s at 47 percent. But they produce way different results on opposition: Kaiser has it at 46 percent and PPP has it at 31 percent. The difference is that PPP shows a large number of people who aren’t sure.

Why? Is this the difference between “view unfavorably” and “oppose”? Or a difference between Kaiser and PPP? It’s too big to be a mere statistical blip.

The most obvious interpretation is that there are lots of people who have unfavorable views of Obamacare but don’t outright oppose it. If that’s true, it seems like a pretty obvious opportunity for Democrats.