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May 12, 2008

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Dean on Michigan and Florida: Do-Overs Are Possible

A statement from Democratic Party Chairman Howard Dean on the subject of Michigan and Florida's contested delegates:

"We're glad to hear that the Governors of Michigan and Florida are willing to lend their weight to help resolve this issue. As we've said all along, we strongly encourage the Michigan and Florida state parties to follow the rules, so today's public overtures are good news. The rules, which were agreed to by the full DNC including representatives from Florida and Michigan over 18 months ago, allow for two options. First, either state can choose to resubmit a plan and run a party process to select delegates to the convention; second, they can wait until this summer and appeal to the Convention Credentials Committee, which determines and resolves any outstanding questions about the seating of delegates. We look forward to receiving their proposals should they decide to submit new delegate selection plans and will review those plans at that time. The Democratic Nominee will be determined in accordance with party rules, and out of respect for the presidential campaigns and the states that did not violate party rules, we are not going to change the rules in the middle of the game.
"Through all the speculation, we should also remember the overwhelming enthusiasm and turnout that we have already seen, and respect the voters of the ten states who have yet to have their say.

I read that to mean Dean is inviting Michigan and Florida to organize new primaries or caucuses. The governors of both states have indicated they are willing. My question: would do-overs be scheduled before Pennsylvania or after? If they're schedule for after, this primary season will stretch on so long that the Democrat who emerges as the nominee will be seriously handicapped.

Key question: With Michigan and Florida excluded, neither candidate can go into the convention with the 2025 pledged delegates needed to secure the nomination. They would both need superdelegates to get over the top, no matter how many of the remaining states they win. But if Florida and Michigan schedule do-overs, is there a scenario where one of the two can get 2025 on pledged delegates alone? I'll investigate.

Update: TNR is reporting Michigan is set to hold new caucuses.

Update Update: For an interesting take on what Obama should do about this situation, see Mark Schmitt at TAPPED.






Comments

The Democrats are completely bungling this entire election. For the second time, there's seemingly no way they could possibly not take back the White House - scandals, economy in the toilet, an ancient candidate from the other side - and yet, they keep shooting themselves in the feet.

If Mi and FL hold primaries before 6/15 they will be following the rules and their delegates will be counted and seated.

Both states obviously made a mistake by trying to get in early, the state parties are to blame but a do over will make things right for both.

Before or after PA the song remains the same.

We are not on the playground any longer. Do overs? please. Has the whole country descended to Bush's intellectual level?

Michigan and Florida did not play by the rules. All the candidates agreed not to be on the ballot. Hillary disregarded the agreement.

This was the first indication I had that she would continue her pattern of entitlement. Rules are for other people. Michigan and Florida both cannot afford to fund another election. They had their chance, they blew it. They must be held responsible for their actions. If they are not, this will become a reoccurring problem.

The controversy that would be generated, would be bad for both candidates. OBama understands this. Hillary only looks at what is best for Hillary. Hopefully the US will look at what is best for the US and vote for Obama.

Let's see, this campaign has been going on since November 15, 2004. Extending it for a few more weeks will handicap no one. A few people might die of boredom who otherwise might have lived on through November but other than that, not an issue.

Posted by: Elmo on 03/06/08 at 9:19 AM  Respond

Matthew said;
"The Democrats are completely bungling this entire election. For the second time, there's seemingly no way they could possibly not take back the White House - scandals, economy in the toilet, an ancient candidate from the other side - and yet, they keep shooting themselves in the feet.

Posted by: Matthew Tiffany on 03/06/08 at 7:03 AM

I have to agree that the Democrats are making themselves look incompetent/disorganized.

Posted by: bettyboo on 03/06/08 at 10:10 AM  Respond

Your 2024 math makes no sense, Jonathan. If MI and FL are in play, the nominee needs a majority of eligible delegates, 2162 Votes. There's even a West Wing episode with that title.

Posted by: Sean Dongre on 03/06/08 at 11:38 AM  Respond

My illustrious Governor, pious Charlie Crist, just appearing on Hardball, is suggesting that the Democratic Party seat Florida and Michigan delegates that were named on January 29. Or, as an alternative, hold a new election with the Democratic Party paying the election costs.

Of course, Charlie has no other motive than to support "all" the people of Michigan and especially Florida, his constituency. Ain't ol' Charlie wonderful. He claims to have Bill Nelson [my Senator] supporting his view as well. I feel relatively sure that Charlie [supporting McCain] and Nelson [supporting Clinton] can have nothing more in mind than being fare to those in the two states who voted in unsanctioned [by the Democratic Party] elections. Charlie actually kept a straight face in his interview with Matthews.

The Rules are the Rules. Hopefully, the National Democratic Party will not allow themselves to be stampeded into allowing a mulligan for each of these misguided state governments and state Democratic Parties.

Butt-out, Charlie. I am your constituent too.

Posted by: TheRef on 03/06/08 at 2:31 PM  Respond

Perhaps the most important issue here is the most overlooked: the individual right to vote.
Americans should not be held hostage to the whims, "rules" or power plays of either party in the selection of the American President. Laissez faire politics should have not a place in the selection of the head of the U.S.government. Of course, the people of Florida and Michigan should vote in a redo--preferably a proportionate primary.
Q. How do we get our dominant politcal parties to eliminate the caucuses and the winner-take-all elections, and have proportionate primary elections and conventions without super delegates? A. By the creation of a competitutive third party or a constitutional convention.

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