Political Intelligence

What happens when U.S. spies get the goods-- and the government won't listen?

In 1989, an intelligence analyst working for then-Secretary of Defense Dick Cheney issued a startling report. After reviewing classified information from field agents, he had determined that Pakistan, despite official denials, had built a nuclear bomb. "I was not out there alone," the analyst, Richard Barlow, recalls. "This was the same conclusion that had been reached by many people in the intelligence community."

But Barlow's conclusion was politically inconvenient. A finding that Pakistan possessed a nuclear bomb would have triggered a congressionally mandated cutoff of aid to the country, a key ally in the CIA's efforts to support Afghan rebels fighting a pro-Soviet government. It also would have killed a $1.4-billion sale of F-16 fighter jets to Islamabad.


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Barlow's report was dismissed as alarmist. A few months later, a Pentagon official downplayed Pakistan's nuclear capabilities in testimony to Congress. When Barlow protested to his superiors, he was fired.

Three years later, in 1992, a high-ranking Pakistani official admitted that the country had developed the ability to assemble a nuclear weapon by 1987. In 1998, Islamabad detonated its first bomb. "This was not a failure of intelligence," says Barlow. "The intelligence was in the system."

Barlow's case points to an issue that has largely been overlooked in the post-September 11 debate about how to "fix" the nation's spy networks: Sometimes, the problem with intelligence is not a lack of information, but a failure to use it.

In the early days of the Vietnam War, a CIA analyst named Sam Adams discovered that the United States was seriously underestimating the strength of the Vietcong. The agency squelched his findings and he left in frustration. During the Reagan years, Melvin Goodman, then a top Soviet analyst at the agency, reported that the "Evil Empire" was undergoing a severe economic and military decline. Goodman was pressured to revise his findings--because, he says, then-CIA director William Casey wanted to portray a Soviet Union "that was 10 feet tall" in order to justify bigger military budgets. (Reagan's Secretary of State, George Shultz, put it more delicately in his memoirs: Reports from Casey's CIA, he wrote, were "distorted by strong views about policy.")

At about the same time Barlow issued his warnings about Pakistan, an Energy Department analyst named Bryan Siebert was investigating Saddam Hussein's nuclear program. His report concluded that "Iraq has a major effort under way to produce nuclear weapons," and recommended that the National Security Council look into the matter. But the Bush administration--which had been supporting Iraq as a counterweight to the Ayatollah Khomeini's Iran--ignored the report. It was only in 1990, after Saddam invaded Kuwait, that clear-eyed intelligence reporting on Iraq came into fashion.

More recently, the Clinton administration went to great lengths to protect Boris Yeltsin, who was viewed as a critical partner in Russia after the collapse of the Soviet Union. One former intelligence analyst says that Al Gore and his national security adviser, Leon Fuerth, would "bury their heads in the sand" if presented with any derogatory report about Yeltsin. "Taking unpopular positions means that you get bad reviews and don't get promoted," he says. "Some analysts simply stop pursuing information because they know that it can get them into trouble."

A different type of political filtering takes place when the CIA relies on "liaison relationships" with foreign intelligence agencies, whose reports are often colored by the biases of the local elite. One notorious example came in Iran in the 1970s, when despite decades of cooperation with the secret police, the U.S. government failed to grasp the extent of public opposition to the Shah. Less than four months before Khomeini's revolution toppled the Iranian monarchy in early 1979, the Defense Intelligence Agency reported that the Shah was "expected to remain actively in power over the next 10 years."

In Pakistan, the CIA has worked closely with the powerful Inter-Services Intelligence agency (ISI) ever since the two institutions teamed up in the 1980s to fund and direct the Afghan guerrillas. After the Taliban took power in 1996, the CIA relied on the Pakistanis for help in monitoring the regime. But the agency reportedly got little support or information from its ally in Islamabad--probably because isi was also one of the Taliban's primary backers. "We have consistently misled ourselves because we don't have our own sources of information," warns Burton Hersh, author of The Old Boys: The American Elite and the Origins of the CIA. "If we had had people working the bazaars in Saudi Arabia or Egypt, we would have seen that there is a lot of unhappiness and that even upper-middle-class people were thinking about joining up with bin Laden."

Reforms of U.S. intelligence--whether they involve bigger budgets, better recruiting, or more effective spying--won't make much of a difference, Hersh and others warn, as long as officials are unwilling to hear the bad news.

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Comments
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I know 4 other people who have had business dealings with Richard Barlow. Richard Barlow is nothing but a lying thief. Barlow lies, even when the truth would serve him better. Barlow's word means nothing. Barlow is a crook and a scam artist.

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nice smear. could you perhaps give a little backup for even one claim of his dishonesty please? are you a little concerned that he's finally going to be heard on the hill later this year? trying to understand the truth here. smear doesn't help much.

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I agree with Jim's Oct 16, 2007 Posted comment which asks for some validated proof of the remarks made by Jeff. Jeff, the ball is in your court.

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Sorry guys, but 1,000 characters are all that is allowed in any one blog. I tried to post an 8,135 word certified and authenticated criminal complaint that was submitted to the authorities. But the blog was rejected by the webmaster as being too long.
I stand behind the words below, and I have notified Barlow directly that I am blogging derrogitory information about him. I also e-mailed Barlow and told him I am notifying all the editors I can who write articles about him.
Barlow is silent, because he knows what he did to us. And Barlow has no defense.

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I know 4 other people who have had business dealings with Richard Barlow. Richard Barlow is nothing but a lying thief. Barlow lies, even when the truth would serve him better. Barlow's word means nothing. Barlow is a crook and a scam artist.

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As far as Barlow being heard on Capital Hill later this year, who cares? Congress is better off listening to others who have no taint of deceit and thievery. The experience of people I know of who have listened to Richard Barlow has been nothing but hurt in the end. Fictional statements spare no one from reality. Barlow is a dead beat, a liar, and a thief.

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Jeff -- you have no credibility. I'd submit proof but we're limited to a thousand characters here. Post your proof where anyone can see. Create a webpage. Submit it to a newspaper. Interview with this magazine. Barlow's claims can be found elsewhere, vetted. The U-S fouled up. Again.

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jeff - all you have to do is read 'on the nuclear edge' link here http://www.newyorker.com/archive/1993/03/29/1993_03_29_056_TNY_CARDS_000.... Or how about the Guardian Article. http://www.guardian.co.uk/pakistan/Story/0,,2188777,00.html. You pathetic little man, issuing false accusations without proof to support them. I've known Richard for 11 years and, unlike you, he has an acute sense of right and wrong, of decency and decorum. Unlike you, every statement he makes can be supported by facts. Scam artist and a crook. Who's fooling who here? If Richard got the best of you, it was because he beat you at your own game.

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jeff: you need to tell us your side or keep quiet.

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Jeff, you are either you are a scam artist or this is a case of mistaken identity. You have never been in contact with me, I have never even heard of you, I have never been in "business," there has never been a criminal complaint against me by anyone. You piqued my curiousity: A brief search revealed another site http://evansmediausa.blog.com/285123/?page=1#1 that has an article about me where someone who appears to be you makes similiar allegations about someone who is also supposed to be me named "Colonel Richard Barlow" who allegedly did some horrible financial scams to little old ladies. I assure you, that I have never been in the military, much less ripped off little old ladies! I am supposedly also flying high traveling all over the world with the money I stole. I wish... What is your Richard Barlow's middle name?

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I don't know who you think you're trying to convince, Jeff. But you clearly come off as a whacko.

For proof of who Richard Barlow is, may I refer all of you to "Deception" by Adrian Levy & Catherine Scott-Clark (Walker & Company, publishers). Barlow's true nature and career are well documented there, along with some other staggering information about the West's duplicity in allowing Pakistan to build a nuclear device.

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barlow is arrogant and abrasive, but he is my cousin and you will all find out that he is not nor ever has been a liar or cheat or a scam artist

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to those who defended barlow, thank you ,his life was ruined. forget about paid, he should be heard!

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I am presently reading Deception-Pakistan, the United States and the Secret Trade in Nuclear Weapons by Adrian Levy and Catherine Scott-Clark.

It is an outstanding book that show's how deceitfull Pakistan has been through out the years and how they continue to use the U.S. as a means to finance their dangerous agenda. It obvious that we as taxpayers indirectly helped to fund much of the work that went into the development of the Islamlic bomb. This happened as a result of millions of dollars being skimmed off aid that was sent to assist the Afghans during their war with the Soviets.

Who knows how much of the billions of dollars that we have sent to Pakistan since 9/11 has been skimmed off the top to support the madrasses that continute to spew out anti-western rhetoric. I believe that Pakistan is the most dangerous country in the middle east and that Saudi Arabia is the greatest threat because of the monies that they provide to terrorist groups.

Richard Barlow has been right on the mark. People in high places should have listened to him!!!

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i hope i have as much courage as my cousin does when i take on the medical establishment, insurance companies as i try to restore some of the faith in doctors that the last generations of m y coleagues enjoyed!

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I truely was scammmed by A man who,, I was told by him,, signed contract was Richard Barlow Cia,,lived in colorado,claimed to be secret service under Reagan,,,took $30,000 dollars lied to me 195 times he's words were I sent bank wires ,,,now his father tells me he died dec,2007...took my money with him..so don't attack jeff..I also can say r.barlow is a lying thief,,,,maybe there are other same name people,,,or he lied about what his real name was,,,all I know is he stole $30,000 I have the cancled check from the bank so does the fbi...I lost everything not you ,,,,and have the proof where yours

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Too All...yes I read all the stories about what barlow did for the cia,,,knew he was a colonel so I thought? he was real.He impressed me.. I liked him..when I wasn't fighting with him to pay me back I spoke to him on phone for two years ..BUT my words to GODS ears he did steal $30,000 and disapeared..the articals the books,,the stories he swears were about him ,,I lost my house had a stroke because He took my money ,,he is a crook,,,told me he owned oil leases in nigeria needed money to pay his taxes and would return it in ten days,,,I went with out heat in 7 degree weather slept in my car to stay warm He knew !!!He kept telling me he sent me bank wires then only to find out he never did I will provide all the proof you people want,,,don't read a book and try to discredit me ,,,as for his cousin Dhbarlow where is Col..Barlow...Guess he didn't die as his father told me ..

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In 1989 the individual supplying DOE connections, know-how and blue prints to NTG Neue Technologien GmbH et.al., was living comfortably in New Jersey. the U. S. Customs Service closed his company but he was allowed to become a U.S. citizen and start a new company. Without his contacts, his deals and his contacts at DOE, the notorius Rudolph Ortmayer would have had to eat his Pakistani shopping list. Praise to Barlow and watching my life be destroyed in 1989 I can very much understand betrayal of Whistleblowers

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Rudolph Ortmayer of the NTG Neue Technologien (Nukleartechnik Gmbh) and his associates in Germany, worked diligently to secure DOE information from a Company in Princeton, New Jersey. This company was formed by Ortmayer, et.al. thru a Delaware Corporation. The information to be procured at labs had to do with tritium processing, laser technology, nuclear technology, and dual-use instrumentation. Under investigation, the Senate and the Customs service had in their pocession a good deal of information about these activities. They knew that the technology as going to Ortmayer and they knew packages were delivered to his home, DOE scientists had gotten free trips to Germany with their wives, and that German nationals had access to DOE labs. They knew that tritium processing equipment had been exported to Pakistan and they knew that the investors in the Princeton company, including the person that formed the company in the U.S. were going in and out of Pakistan and India. They also knew that thin-walled beam pipe procurements, designs, and technical information was coming to Brookhaven National Laboratory and other DOE labs from the company, Interatom and that these items were being diverted to labs rather then being delivered to exhibitions. Scientific International, the company in Princeton, New Jersey is on the Denial List but it took years for it to be there and the person that was responsible for all of the exports and dealings was allowed to be a U. S. Citizen and his name does not appear. He started a new company in the U.S. and I was not allowed to go to Germany to testify against the individuals that worked with him. Instead, I testified in NYC. I would say in retrospect, knowing now that Adrian Levy has revealed in his book "Deception" that it was many agencies and many people in the U. S. Government that threw away American lives (like Barlow) and thought of people like me, lives that were greatly harmed by this investigation, as collateral damage to protect the DOE scientists and labs from their evil. Americans will always pay the price when their government is run by liers, deceivers, and the agenda is to misrepresent the truth. Someone needs to go back and out the people that have been so deeply involved in assisting Pakistan to become the most dangerous country in the world.

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my cousin lives in new mexico, and it is impossible for his dad, my uncle to have told anybody anything because my uncle carl barlow md, richard's dad died a long time ago. lets get our facts straight folks.

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The Notorius Ortmayer also was part owner of a company in Princeton, NJ where I worked. I blew the whistle on that company long before 1990 and even when that was going on, the DOE was still giving contracts to NTG where Ortmayer was the CEO. It was well-known in Germany that the company was working with Pakistan but it was not known to me in the U.S. It was a secret kept by the man I worked for and the U. S. Government! While I was "blowing the whistle" Federal employees of the U. S. Government were busy ruining lives. Refer to Levy's book released in 2007, Deception, Pakistan dn the United States and the Secret Trade in Nuclear Weapons. It was amazing to me that the U. S. Senate never bothered to review the hundreds of documents they had on hand about the activities at the DOE, including a Soul Source award made to the Princeton Company (a marketing company in a house), for over $290K while the partners were being investigated for supplying Pakistan with a TROC system --the even listed the company I worked for as having a branch in Switzerland! When I asked where it was, the procurement person at the facility in New York (BNL) stated that he did not have to tell me!

This is one of the most outlandish situations anyone, even a secretary, could find themselves in. My reward for hours of work with Customs and investigators coming in and out of my house was to be kicked in the butt -- my life ruined along with my son's life and the guy who was walking in and out of the DOE labs, sending blue prints and goodies to Ortmayer et.al. was allowed to stay here.

It is over yet? Not with the new prosecution of Lerch. Instead, the nightmare returns!

Someone should find out what is going on in the U. S. Senate and the U. S. State Department as we now foolishly think we can influence, work with, or partner with the most a country like Pakistan -- while of course, experiencing burn out in Iraq!

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Hey, I heard that an

Hey, I heard that an American turned Muslim murdered the soldiers. I

wonder if the man who killed Dr. Tiller could be termed an American

turned Christian. What about Timothy McVey, was he an American who

turned Christian? What's this about being Muslim--is it an ethnic group

or religion? Who cares what faith a person has when he commits a crime-

-crime is crime.

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