Obama on Climate: How Hard Is He Trying?
After the UN speech, I am starting to worry.
Word in the halls of the UN this week was that President Obama's speech on Tuesday—the first to the world body by this most admired of world leaders—was a dud, a towering disappointment. Coming at the beginning of what the UN has dubbed "climate week," the speech marked the beginning of a three-month push towards the global climate conference at Copenhagen. Obama used it mostly to downplay expectations. And it's those downplayed expectations that may prove to be tragically self-fulfilling.
Oh sure, there were a few flights of soaring rhetoric: "Our generation's response to this challenge will be judged by history," blah blah blah. But of all issues, this is the one where rhetoric does the least good. The enemy here is chemistry and physics, and they are heartily unimpressed by anything except specific targets for the reduction of carbon dioxide. And on this front Obama was completely unforthcoming, promising only that "we will continue to do so by investing in renewable energy, promoting greater efficiency, and slashing our emissions to reach the targets we set for 2020 and our long-term goal for 2050."
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What Obama Told the UN on Climate Change
Obama touts accomplishments and outlines difficulties in UN climate change speech.
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The Most Important Number on Earth
We're way past the carbon tipping point. It's time to freak out—and get to work.
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12,000 Climate Activists Can't Be Wrong
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Waste Not, Want Not
We've finally reached a point where we can't keep hyperconsuming— and that's a good thing.
The reason he didn’t speak those targets out loud is because anyone who knows anything about climate—and that now includes, on at least a rudimentary level, most of the heads of the state who assembled to hear his speech—knows that those targets are unbearably weak. By 2050 he’s talking about 80 percent reductions—but 2050 is so far away as to be almost meaningless without strong interim targets. By 2020 the bill he's backing aims for something on the order of 17 percent reductions, though the legislation is so shot through with weird loopholes that that's probably a meaningless number too. In any event, it's well below what actual scientists are calling for: reductions in carbon emissions from the developed countries of something like 40 percent by 2020. In other words, an all-out, crash effort to change course and avert disaster.
And that’s not at all what Obama seems to be planning for. His most immediate priority—"every nation’s most immediate priority"—is producing more economic growth. Copenhagen can be a "significant step." We must not "allow the perfect to become the enemy of progress."
Never mind that no one is talking about perfect—we’re well past that. I mean, the Arctic is already falling into the sea. But the idea that we should settle for making some "progress" is either a declaration of defeat or a profound misreading of the latest science. Obama gave a speech that would have been great had it come two years ago—but now, with scientists ever more frightened, it left the thousands gathered here for the climate conference feeling deflated.
And most weren’t buying his implicit excuse—that Congress couldn’t deliver more. Here’s how he delicately put it: "all of us will face doubts and difficulties in our own capitals as we try to reach a lasting solution." It's true that the Congress is an obstacle—they're the real villains here, not the president. But Obama doesn't get a pass because he hasn’t even tried to do what leaders in democracies must: rally support.
A speech at the UN doesn’t cut it, especially one this limp. Even calling in the TV anchors for an Oval Office meeting, like he did on health care over the weekend, doesn't cut it. This man knows how to campaign—we saw that last year. When he was running for president, he left no stone unturned—hundreds of thousands of us, me included, gave up our free time to knock on doors, make phone calls, do the work of making change. What a triumph when he won! Obama even knows how to campaign about issues—he was, after all, a community organizer.
It will, then, fall to other community organizers to pick up the ball for him now. Tens of thousands of them have already registered their actions at our 350.org website for Oct. 24, in 120 nations (and rising daily). It’s going to be the most widespread day of environmental activism ever, designed to take the most important number on earth and drive it into the debate. Obama may be shy about talking targets, but we’re not: science has made clear, right up through this week’s edition of Nature, that 350 parts per million carbon dioxide is the most the planet can safely deal with.
And that number got an airing at the UN yesterday too, from a man willing to speak more straightforwardly than our president. Obama was followed to the podium by Mohamed Nasheed, who also won an election last year, in his case to head the Maldives. (And in his case over an autocrat who had ruled for three decades, and kept Nasheed a political prisoner for five years). If we didn't take tough action to get back to 350 ppm soon, he pointed out, "We will not live. We will die. Our country will not exist."
Other countries will still exist, though not easily—Sydney, for instance, is today in the grips of a dust storm so severe planes are being diverted. But everyone should feel Nasheed's fire. Let’s hope Obama stuck around long enough to listen.
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Maybe he read the latest research...
Read the following only if your have an open mind:
http://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2009/09/23/decades_of_global_co...
The only growth industries right now are Federal Gov't jobs and "climate change" jobs. I doubt all those with vested interests would appreciate one of their former colleagues actually doing science.
RE: "the latest research"
Interesting how the warming deniers refuse to accept the consensus of the vast majority of reputable scientists because "it's just computer models, there's no hard evidence", but when some obscure researcher predicts that the current unusually deep solar minimum (with almost no sunspots and reduced solar temperature) will go on for decades - a prediction based on no evidence at all - they leap to proclaim it as scientific fact.
Sorry, folks, the people who actually track the Sun's activity say otherwise; they see signs that sunspots are on the increase: http://climateprogress.org/2009/06/18/national-solar-observatory-nasa-sa...
Oh, but wait! "Charles Perry, a research hydrologist with the U.S. Geological Survey in Lawrence, Kan., says there's a growing sense in the scientific community that the earth may be entering into a "grand minimum" - an extended period with low numbers of sunspots that results in cooler planetary temperatures." A hydrologist - a guy whose specialty has nothing to do with predicting solar behavior - says there's a "growing sense" that we "may" see an "extended period with low numbers of sunspots". That's sure hard evidence!
You can cherry-pick scientific opinions all you want, it's not going to change the necessity of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Even if we were to get a 30-year break like that, we're progressing too slowly to be ready for when it ends. We need to get a lot more serious about getting off the fossil fuel addiction!
Obama is reversing the lies of the previous administration.
Lest we forget, the appointement of Bush in 2000, by the Supreme Court (a non-elected body) in the United States was followed by George W. in the first two months of his administration, cancelling all the ecological organic Green Power agreements of the previous administation, mainly done by Al Gore, and both nationally and internationally. He then told the world that Green Power was irelevant to the American economy. Another big lie. Obama has a tough work ahead to cancel out the eight long, long years of an oil magnate family, that did every liying practice to convince the people that pollution for money was good for them if they made war for Bush-Blair lies. If the above article was given in the way of intelligent criticism and information that would forward the new program of putting in place the renewables, it would be immensely worthwhile and understood as a compliment to the new endeavor between the worlds' leaders to find their way forward. A mines-better-than yours article is hardly a way to eliminate the climate change that is most threatening to the living planet at the present time.
Now's that time to come to the rescue of your country, and at least put in printing for all the world to see, your concrete expression of what is to be done. In all the words of the language, now is the time to see that fossil fuels, the prime mover of climate change, needs to be stopped, and the industrial revolution needs to be re-tooled to wind, tidal, and solar power which transforms to electricity and is more power than can be used by society. That way 97% of fossil fuel CO2 production could be dropped from the atmosphere. Stopping that pressure, then allows the trees to take out the carbon for cell building, and give back the clean oxygen for a renewable atmosphere again. No more clear cutting. That could be done now, and by the return of the troops from destroying the air, land, plants, animals, people, and then putting them to work for a living union wage re-tooling the entire industrial revolution to wind, tidal, and solar power. That is a now solution needed. It is already too late with the carbon dioxide reading at 390 CO2, when the earth is at risk at 350 CO2, as the article explains, but surely the answered call is being fullfilled as Obama speaks and with his consent, while the Bush administration was subverting the messages and messengers of the renewable energy mission at home and abroad. He was not nuetral but used his powers to make sure the green power movement failed whereve it held conference, whether in Africa, Asia, or Latin America.
Such an Obama change is
positive change and needed, however young and flegling the movement for the non-pollution solution is in America.
Lest we forget the natives reasoning in fighting for such a long and hardtime to remind us all that we depend on nature and its laws to live a settled life on this planet. Free political prisoners Leonard Peltier, Mumia-abu-Jamal, the move eight. American Imperialism has brought the natural world to such a straight that the plants, animals, and peoples can no longer fully drink of the once pure waters of only two hundred years ago. That is not governance but exploitation of the natural environment. At least Obama has said enough, and is headed in a new direction on this front in the ideological struggle for an organic ecological green balance, a return to the organic garden in this world. He must now be made to realize that the U.S. Imperialist military is guilty of agressive war to keep the pollution in place that is responsible for the destructive climate change, and I would add that is the content of the newest war crimes on the planet. Using state military power to destructively impose pollution. It is a war of agression, and the only one ever that threatens the entire living web of life on the planet. To be or not to be-- Obama at least says be---on this huge question of life.
With regard to war crimes, it must be said truthfully that the Bush-Blair regime are guilty of war crimes and breaking the anti-fascist covenants to which their countries are signed on to as the supreme laws of the land. The anti-fascist covenant the Nuremburg Trials (1945) chaired by U.S. Judge Jackson says that the planning and doing of agressive war is the supreme international crime on the planet earth, as it acctuates all other crimes high, low, big and small. He further says that it is the supreme international crime whether Germany does it or the U.S.A. does it. The Geneva Conventions of War (1949) says that the U.S. Imperialists and the coalition of the willing that it leads, is committing war crimes in the middle east, and here are three most obvious, 1) targeting and killing prisoners of war, 2) torturing and killing prisoners of war such as at Guantanamo Bay Cuba, Abu-Graib Iraq, Bagram Afghanistan, and hundreds of dark detention centers run by the C.I.A. around the world, to rendition of torture, and 3) collective punishment such as bombing to rubble villages, towns, and cities because the people there have taken up armed struggle to free themselves from the illegal invasions and occupations of their countries, which fight back is legal by the Geneva Conventions of war.
All in all these wars of agression headed by U.S. Imperialism are causing pollution and climate change and that is dangerous and the only agressive war crime that threatens all life in all countries on the planet earth in the present time. Already the planet is becomming unstable and showing signs of discontinuity, which bodes no one well for the future and all living things feel that something is amiss in the world. This is not one man's fault but the fault of the worlds Imperialist systems that agress upon the living world for plunder and ruination. The time has come for the peoples resistence to alter or abolish such a governance that destroys all life for money. The U.S. Constitution says that if the elected government no longer serves the American people, it then is the duty of the people to alter, or abolish it (revolution) and replace it with one that does suit the needs of the people. A new and second organic revolution is needed to stop exploitation of the living world. Thanks be the article does show a path and Obama does agree if only in law and words.
Correction to the above post.
In the fourth paragraph of discussion on the Geneva Conventions of war, where said the first obvious war crime, it should read: 1) targeting and killing civilians---that instead of targeting and killing prisoners of war. Thanks for the space mother jones.
Missed opportunity
Unfortunately, the Obama administration's foolhardy dive into healthcare reform likely means that substantive action on climate change will not be forthcoming this year or even next. As important as health care reform might be, the political consensus did not exist when Obama was elected and has not been forthcoming. A great opportunity has likely been missed because Obama could instead have tied the government stimulus to a package including the creation of green jobs, alternative energy development, revitalization of the transportation infrastructure, etc. Such a move might have convinced the rest of the world that the US is serious about addressing climate change and generated important momentum going into the Copenhagen conference this fall. As it is we have a few mostly administrative measures that amount to very little and indicate our commitment to the status quo and an energy sector dominated by the same ol' big players. Unfortunately, the structure of our electoral process combined with the constant need of our "elected officials" to appease the big players means that climate change legislation will likely be shelved until after the 2010 mid-term elections, and possibly beyond.
Of course we should have been dealing with climate change years ago, making the necessary conversions and investments, dealing with reality through more rational planning. Because of the lack of action we're now seeing the typical pie in the sky proposals that can be grouped under the term geoengineering. The cure may be worse than the cause.
Unfortunately, the serious nature of climate change cannot be addressed through actions by individuals. Every little bit helps of course, but the nature of the challenge requires more systemic and systematic changes, the kind that can only be achieved through concerted action by committed leadership and institutional change. Then again, perhaps we (as a culture) are not truly capable of such a transformation. Things are going to get very rough, especially for the poor and for flora and fauna whose ability to adapt will likely be overwhelmed by the changes already underway.
Legislative resistance
Lazarus;
Are you implying that you people in the oil industry will likely mount a less forceful
opposition to climate change legislation than the insurance industry is mounting
on health care change legislation.
I think Obama have seen his enemy and is reluctant to ask other countries to try
for bench marks that he he is not sure he himself would ba able to meet.
Obama will get something -- you'd get nothing
I completely agree that we need far more than Obama has proposed. What we need is total elimination of carbon emissions right now.
But you're a damn fool not to realize that Obama can't just pay attention to what we need, he has to pay attention to what we can get. If he gave the speech you want he'd be branded an extremist, which would sabotage any hope of progress at all.
Thank God Obama is smart enough to pay attention to political and economic reality so he can get something real -- not nearly enough, but it's the first inch on the way to a mile. In the long run, he'll get what we need. Your approach would get us NOTHING.
Good Luck
Did you read the link I posted? Guess not. See, the Head Dude for the IPCC and their lead climate change modeler, admitted last week that he made an error in his model....and guess what? No global warming. You guys need to understand what climate means and that just because glaciers are receding does not mean things are getting warmer. In fact, it means there is less snowfall in their accumulation zones. Go get a Geology 201 text book and read about it.
Here is the quote from the article above:
"In a speech last week at the U.N.'s World Climate Conference in Geneva, Professor Mojib Latif of Germany's Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences at Kiel University, one of the world's foremost climate modelers and a lead author for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change acknowledged that the Earth has been cooling and is likely to continue that trend for the next couple of decades. Al Gore, call your office.
Latif has been looking into the influence of cyclical changes to ocean currents and temperatures in the Atlantic, a feature known as the North American Oscillation. When he factored these natural fluctuations into his global climate model, Professor Latif found the results brought the allegedly endless rise in global temperatures to a screeching halt.
Latif conceded the planet has not warmed for nearly a decade and that we are likely entering "one or even two decades during which temperatures cool." Latif still believes in a warming trend and thinks it will resume. But he at least acknowledges the empirical evidence of cooling, that there are factors at work here other than your SUV, and that doom will not occur the day after tomorrow."
I know that bursts your bubble. But there are plenty of people making a fortune off this carbon footprint thing and Al Gore's powerpoint slide show. An old story defines an expert as someone from farther than 50 miles and has a slide show. I would say that is about all that most "climate change experts" have.
distortion
So now you've promoted Professor Latif to "Head Dude for the IPCC"! Read a little more carefully, the quote describes him as "a lead author" for the IPCC. From the Wikipedia article about the IPCC: "People from over 130 countries contributed to the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report over the previous 6 years. These people included more than 2500 scientific expert reviewers, more than 800 contributing authors, and more than 450 lead authors."
One of 450 is not "the Head Dude". Also, much of what you quoted is not from the good professor, but the words of the writer of the investment newsletter article you linked to.
See my reply to your original post, it links to an article about the real "latest research". For those who'd rather not bother, here's a quote:
The sunspot cycle is about to come out of its depression, if a newly discovered mechanism for predicting solar cycles — a migrating jet stream deep inside the sun — proves accurate. And that will add a small amount of warming in the next few years, which were already predicted to be record-setting by two recent studies.
Howe and Hill found that the stream associated with the next solar cycle has moved sluggishly, taking three years to cover a 10 degree range in latitude compared to only two years for the previous solar cycle.
The jet stream is now, finally, reaching the critical latitude, heralding a return of solar activity in the months and years ahead.
“It is exciting to see”, says Hill, “that just as this sluggish stream reaches the usual active latitude of 22 degrees, a year late, we finally begin to see new groups of sunspots emerging.”
The current solar minimum has been so long and deep, it prompted some scientists to speculate that the sun might enter a long period with no sunspot activity at all, akin to the Maunder Minimum of the 17th century. This new result dispells those concerns. The sun’s internal magnetic dynamo is still operating, and the sunspot cycle is not “broken.”
Little word, Big impact
IF
Read your quote again that somehow you think is hard science:
"The sunspot cycle is about to come out of its depression, if a newly discovered mechanism for predicting solar cycles — a migrating jet stream deep inside the sun — proves accurate."
...IF... Do you really want to legislate costly economic killing laws based on an IF? Do you have any sense of what you and other carbonics are asking? Do you really believe that this is all a foregone conclusion?
My science background tells me that climate change has occured for millenia, both warming and cooling, long before the Industrial Age.
In fact, the largest green house gas in the atmosphere by volume and impact is water vapor. Do you suggest we limit that, too?
Spend your energies on doing something that will benefit the Earth.
Does It Really Matter What Any Citizen Does Any Longer?
TV “news” circuses demonstrate that it doesn’t matter what honorable Americans like Obama do any longer.
In fact, current events prove daily that the pen is no longer mightier than the sword.
Our legislators and We The People no longer study, think and act rationally. Instead our Democracy has devolved into yelling, screaming, and carrying guns at Town Hall Meetings, with lies and hate overwhelming Washington while the “Press” has been replaced by TV yellow journalism.
The bottom line is that our political, economic, and social institutions, especially including both political parties have failed, no longer producing a rational society nor government with honor and integrity.
The fact is that the forces of corruption and greed rule our lives, deciding life and death in America today.
The “pen” is indeed extinct with Democracy and Humanity going down the same path, and this essay is yet another waste of “ink” while the Democracy of our Founders, and our environment crash and burn.
And not even Obama can put it back together, while environmental failures in Australia give us a view of the future on Earth.
I believe that the founding
I believe that the founding fathers gave the Americans a Republic not a Democracy. I would suggest that a reading of your constitution would clarify that matter.
If you think you are under a Democracy then you have little hope of a future under the present regime. Democracies fail as seen in history in Rome and Athens.
Engage Brain, Okay....First Gear.....
The actual data from Hadley CRU, Goddard (NASA), and Remote Sensing Systems, Inc., shows that the earth is COOLING. Kinda inconvenient for the whole theory of Global Warming and carbon dioxide "pollution" ---but there is a perfectly good explanation of what is going on. Try the DOD's HAARP project, ongoing in Alaska and California---a military weapon (highly classified) designed to do what? Mess with the climate. And it does. What do you know? They feel they can't stop their research and yet, don't know what it will do to the earth's climate, so those enterprising criminals in Washington decided to make a new (and very oippressive) tax system out of it. Brilliant. Their military screw ups endanger our climate and they charge us a tax. Wake up, people. Wake up, before you are slaves of your own government, and freezing in the dark.
One of the Biggest Problems President Obama and Humanity Has Is
A root cause failure mode for Humanity today is that our academic-scientific institutions of higher learning have failed. The University of California is the worst-case scenario:
FACT: Berkeley’s sellout to BP as documented in:
“Big Oil buys Berkeley” By Jennifer Washburn in the L.A. Times
http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/commentary/la-oe-washburn24mar24,0,6... plus the
FACT: Over 50 years of gross negligence by UC National Labs, with the latest being documented in:
“Fusion Factory Starts Up” By Willie Jones in the IEEE SPECTRUM
http://www.spectrum.ieee.org/energy/nuclear/fusion-factory-starts-up
These two articles prove that President Eisenhower was correct to warn
“The prospect of domination of the nation's scholars by Federal employment, project allocations, and the power of money is ever present – and is gravely to be regarded.”
In his 1961 Farewell Address to the Nation:
http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/ike.htm
The “power of money” has indeed dominated the scholars at the University of California and that money has negated their commitment to the survival Humanity, which makes President Obama’s job much, much harder, especially since his Secretary of Energy Henry Chu who was director of DOE’s Lawrence Berkeley National Lab, and professor at the University of California when the sellout of their integrity to BP was made.
Is this Supreme Speechifier
Is this Supreme Speechifier in an empty suit already politically dead as far as Republicans, Independents, and the left wing of the Democratic Party are concerned, but he doesn't realize it yet?
Some people tend to never
Some people tend to never mind it and act as a boiling frog stuck in a degrading nature So whats the purpose of explaining it more to people when some are not open to listen.So that is why I can conclude that the attitude of human towards the usage of natural resources can definitely influence the issues in nature.When people are unaware, they do everything what they think and feel doing.So, there comes the high emissions of greenhouse gases.The drastic emission of carbon dioxide caused by burning fossil fuels has been identified as reason for the change of temperature in the atmosphere.Pollutions,overpopulation and human emissions of carbon dioxide are the main reasons of global warming that could bring drastic disasters on Earth.Everybody should act pro-nature it is much like giving personal loan to mother earth.
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