Poll: Most Americans Believe in Man-Made Climate Change

Wildfire in Oregon.<a ref="http://www.flickr.com/photos/hllewellyn/">H Dragon</a>/Flickr

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It could be all the wildfires and drought, the snowless-ski season, or the flowers blooming in New York City in February, or just that this past summer was hot as hell pretty much everywhere. Whatever the case, a new study concludes that most Americans believe that global warming is a real thing—and that people are causing it.

The study conducted by scientists from Yale and George Mason University shows that Americans’ belief in global warming has increased by 13 percentage points over the past two and a half years, from 57 percent in January 2010 to 70 percent in September 2012. At the same time, the number of Americans who say global warming is not happening has declined nearly by half, from 20 percent in January 2010 to 12 percent today.

The report comes on the heels of recent poll results reported by Chris Mooney and discussed earlier this month at the Climate Desk’s Live Event, showing that Americans—and specifically undecided voters—are increasingly leaning green.

Though the Yale/George Mason report draws no definite conclusions as to what could be clueing Americans in to the reality of climate change, the authors do say the record number of crazy weather events—not to mention the sticker shock of the disaster clean up costs—are likely bringing people around to the idea.

The study says a majority believes global warming is caused by humans, and “if left unchecked will have serious consequences for humans and the natural world:”

 Yale/George MasonYale/George Mason

Here are some other highlights of the report:

• Those who believe global warming is happening are more certain than those who do not. More than half of Americans who believe global warming is happening (57 percent) say they are “very” (30 percent) or “extremely sure” (27 percent).

•    By contrast, for the first time since 2008, less than than 50 percent of the unconvinced are very (27 percent) or extremely sure of their view (15 percent), a decrease of 15 percentage points since March 2012.     

•    Today more than half of Americans (58 percent) say they are “somewhat” or “very worried”—now at its highest level since November 2008.

•    Americans increasingly perceive global warming as a threat to themselves (42 percent, up 13 points since March 2012), their families (46 percent up 13 points), and/or people in their communities (48 percent, up 14 percentage points).

•    A growing number of Americans believe global warming is already harming people both at home and abroad. Four in ten say people around the world are being harmed right now by climate change (40 percent, up 8 percentage points since March 2012), while 36 percent say global warming is currently harming people in the United States (up 6 points since March).

•    Three out of four Americans (76 percent) say they trust climate scientists as a source of information about global warming, making them the most trusted source asked about in the survey.

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WE'LL BE BLUNT.

We have a considerable $390,000 gap in our online fundraising budget that we have to close by June 30. There is no wiggle room, we've already cut everything we can, and we urgently need more readers to pitch in—especially from this specific blurb you're reading right now.

We'll also be quite transparent and level-headed with you about this.

In "News Never Pays," our fearless CEO, Monika Bauerlein, connects the dots on several concerning media trends that, taken together, expose the fallacy behind the tragic state of journalism right now: That the marketplace will take care of providing the free and independent press citizens in a democracy need, and the Next New Thing to invest millions in will fix the problem. Bottom line: Journalism that serves the people needs the support of the people. That's the Next New Thing.

And it's what MoJo and our community of readers have been doing for 47 years now.

But staying afloat is harder than ever.

In "This Is Not a Crisis. It's The New Normal," we explain, as matter-of-factly as we can, what exactly our finances look like, why this moment is particularly urgent, and how we can best communicate that without screaming OMG PLEASE HELP over and over. We also touch on our history and how our nonprofit model makes Mother Jones different than most of the news out there: Letting us go deep, focus on underreported beats, and bring unique perspectives to the day's news.

You're here for reporting like that, not fundraising, but one cannot exist without the other, and it's vitally important that we hit our intimidating $390,000 number in online donations by June 30.

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