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July 22, 2008

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Clinton Seeks to Flip Pledged Delegates?

Politico's Roger Simon is reporting that the Clinton campaign will try to get pledged delegates that Obama has won in primaries and caucuses to abandon their commitment to Obama and vote for Clinton at the convention. This is primarily done, one suspects, by promising delegates tons of goodies in the upcoming administration.

On its face, this seems like an insane idea. People are already freaked about the possibility of superdelegates reversing a narrow pledged delegate lead, and thus taking the Democratic nomination out of the hands of the people and putting it in the hands of party insiders. The anger and resentment at Clinton would be far greater if she promised a few unscrupulous delegates some sweet Clinton Administration jobs and subverted the decisions of the people. This win-at-all-costs strategy is self-defeating, because it would undermine the Democratic Party's excitement about their nominee in the general election.

But how much credibility can we assign to the report? Simon cites a single, unnamed source. The only quote from that source is this:

"I swear it is not happening now, but as we get closer to the convention, if it is a stalemate, everybody will be going after everybody’s delegates... All the rules will be going out the window."

That doesn't necessarily mean there will be a coordinated strategy to pursue pledged delegates. Maybe Simon was told more but didn't think he needed to include additional quotes. I wish he had. We'll see how the Clinton campaign's responds.

But will going after pledged delegates even matter? Let's say the pledged delegate count is within a couple hundred (or less!) going into the convention, and Clinton gets a couple to flip. Let's go so far as to say she gets a couple dozen to flip. Isn't the difference between herself and Obama still within that "superdelegate buffer" that ensures the margin of victory of the 795 superdelegates by one of the two candidates will determine the nomination?

Update: Clinton campaign issues a strong denial.






Comments

... just as long as there aren't any "flip-flops"...

...OK, the pressure was on. So I shot, and I shot a banded duck. And I was as surprised as they were.

-Hillary Clinton, on a hunting trip with colleagues in Arkansas

****

Maybe an implied threat?

Posted by: capt on 02/19/08 at 8:23 AM  Respond

Even with Clinton winning all the "SuperDelegates" that won't makeup for the states she's already won-Fla and Mich (who will still vote in the election!!!!) - that haven't been attributed to her - Clinton - with Fla and Mich - has ALWAYS been in the lead - no matter what all the cutsie, sexist press says - tsk! tsk! - Time for a REAL change - right-brain thinking is the ONLY real change - That will be front and center by the election.

Collea-Devi

Posted by: Collea-Devi on 02/19/08 at 9:46 AM  Respond

I am a 20 year Democrat and I will not, under any circumstances, vote for a Clinton. They are mean spirited, spiteful, and power hungry. Many, many long-time Democrats feel the same way. Sorry, Collea-Devi, Mrs. Clinton is unelectable.

Posted by: Bob Loblaw on 02/19/08 at 9:52 AM  Respond

Billary will do anything to steal the nomination from Barack. Many disgusted democrats will vote for McCain if Billary steals the nomination.

Posted by: David on 02/19/08 at 10:06 AM  Respond

Yes of course. Anyone who doesn't vote for Hillary must be a sexist pig. Haha. What B.S.

Sorry, but Hillary was the only candidate on the ballot in MI. I'm from Michigan and I don't think those delegates should be seated. Especially when she could manage just over percent again 'undecided.' Sorry, but had Obama been on the ballet, he'd have taken this state. All Hillary has here is the endorsement of an extremely unpopular governor who wants a job in a Clinton II administration.

I've really had it with dynastic leadership. Give me Obama or I'm voting for McCain.

Posted by: dan on 02/19/08 at 1:43 PM  Respond

Sorry, fat fingers today. :p

Posted by: dan on 02/19/08 at 1:44 PM  Respond

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