Election Prediction Thread

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So who’s going to win today? Leave your guesses in comments. The warm glow of being right is your reward if, in fact, you turn out to be right.

I haven’t blogged much about any of this because none of it has seemed very interesting up until the last minute soap opera in the NY-23 race. Even by the standards of off-year elections this is a pretty small one, and though the British press routinely projects the future course of the empire from the results of a single by-election in West Bromwich, we have a hard time pulling off quite the same level of breathless credulity here. There’s just too much obviously local spin to all these races. Still, I admit that I’ll be impressed if Jon Corzine manages to pull out a come-from-behind victory by insinuating that his opponent is fat.