Pawlenty in Trouble!

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Chris Cillizza reports that Michele Bachmann won the Ames straw poll:

Bachmann took 4,823 votes, narrowly escaping a major upset at the hands of Texas Rep. Ron Paul who won 4,671 votes. Former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty placed third with 2,293, a showing that is likely to raise questions about his ability to continue in the contest.

Wait a second. Everyone expected Bachmann to win, and likewise, everyone knows that Ron Paul has a demonstrated (and meaningless) ability to round up his tiny band of fanatical troops for events like this. So third place isn’t too bad for Pawlenty, is it? Or was the “Pawlenty in trouble” media narrative already so set in stone that it didn’t matter how well he did?

(For the record, I think Pawlenty is toast. Still, his showing in Ames wasn’t too bad.)

UPDATE: My Twitter feed is full of people who think Pawlenty’s showing puts him right on the edge of viability. I don’t quite get this, but maybe it makes sense given how much time he put into Iowa. Still, I can’t help but think that it’s basically a reaction to everything else about the Pawlenty campaign, not to the straw poll itself.

UPDATE 2: Well, I guess everyone else was right. Pawlenty is out.

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DEMOCRACY DOES NOT EXIST...

without free and fair elections, a vigorous free press, and engaged citizens to reclaim power from those who abuse it.

In this election year unlike any other—against a backdrop of a pandemic, an economic crisis, racial reckoning, and so much daily bluster—Mother Jones' journalism is driven by one simple question: Will America move closer to, or further from, justice and equity in the years to come?

If you're able to, please join us in this mission with a donation today. Our reporting right now is focused on voting rights and election security, corruption, disinformation, racial and gender equity, and the climate crisis. We can’t do it without the support of readers like you, and we need to give it everything we've got between now and November. Thank you.

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