The President and the Pentagon

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From the mailbag today:

I’ve been reading your prediction that Republicans will simply find a way to overturn any built-in cuts to defense spending. With Obama’s veto threat, do you still see things the same way?

This is too hard to answer. The most obvious question, of course, is how resolute Obama will be. His past behavior certainly suggests a very strong preference for finding some kind of compromise position rather than digging in his heels, but then again, he doesn’t usually make flat-out veto promises either. So maybe this time is different.

But I’m not sure it matters. Here’s the only thing that’s really important: the defense cuts don’t kick in until 2013. In other words, not until after the 2012 election. And let’s face it: all bets are off at that point. Maybe president Gingrich will be in charge then. Maybe Obama will win and cut a deal with the lame duck Congress, like he did last year. Maybe we’ll be in the middle of a war with Ubeki-beki-beki-stan. Who knows? A year in politics is a long time to begin with, and a year plus a presidential election is like an eternity. Basically, after everyone has finished up wailing about the fecklessness of Congress and moved on to some other shiny new object — a process that should take no more than a week — the whole thing will be forgotten. When it’s suddenly thrust back into the spotlight next December, we’ll be living in a whole new world. Anything could happen.

Still, the smart money says that “anything” doesn’t include very much in the way of cuts to the defense budget. There’s just too much institutional and political pressure to keep money flowing to the Pentagon. No president in recent memory has stood up to it, and I doubt that Obama will be the first.

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DEMOCRACY DOES NOT EXIST...

without free and fair elections, a vigorous free press, and engaged citizens to reclaim power from those who abuse it.

In this election year unlike any other—against a backdrop of a pandemic, an economic crisis, racial reckoning, and so much daily crazy—Mother Jones' journalism is driven by one simple question: Will America move closer to, or further from, justice and equity in the years to come?

If you're able to, please join us in this mission with a donation today. Our reporting right now is focused on voting rights and election security, corruption, disinformation, racial and gender equity, and the climate crisis. We can’t do it without the support of readers like you, and we need to give it everything we've got between now and November. Thank you.

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