Here’s My Estimate of How Many People Will Lose Coverage Under RepubliCare

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Brookings has done an analysis of RepubliCare and estimates that it will reduce coverage by at least 15 million people compared to Obamacare, and probably more. Their estimate is based on previous CBO forecasts of the effects of provisions that are in the Republican bill.

My own guess is closer to 20 million. I figure I might as well put my money where my mouth is, so here’s how I think the CBO forecast will turn out:

I’m actually being generous here since this forecast assumes the individual insurance market won’t implode completely. Will CBO have the guts to make a forecast like this? We’ll see next week.

Oh, and premiums will go up a lot too. But that’s an estimate for another day.

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We just wrapped up a shorter-than-normal, urgent-as-ever fundraising drive and we came up about $45,000 short of our $300,000 goal.

That means we're going to have upwards of $350,000, maybe more, to raise in online donations between now and June 30, when our fiscal year ends and we have to get to break-even. And even though there's zero cushion to miss the mark, we won't be all that in your face about our fundraising again until June.

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