Here’s My Estimate of How Many People Will Lose Coverage Under RepubliCare


Brookings has done an analysis of RepubliCare and estimates that it will reduce coverage by at least 15 million people compared to Obamacare, and probably more. Their estimate is based on previous CBO forecasts of the effects of provisions that are in the Republican bill.

My own guess is closer to 20 million. I figure I might as well put my money where my mouth is, so here’s how I think the CBO forecast will turn out:

I’m actually being generous here since this forecast assumes the individual insurance market won’t implode completely. Will CBO have the guts to make a forecast like this? We’ll see next week.

Oh, and premiums will go up a lot too. But that’s an estimate for another day.

FACT:

Mother Jones was founded as a nonprofit in 1976 because we knew corporations and the wealthy wouldn't fund the type of hard-hitting journalism we set out to do.

Today, reader support makes up about two-thirds of our budget, allows us to dig deep on stories that matter, and lets us keep our reporting free for everyone. If you value what you get from Mother Jones, please join us with a tax-deductible donation today so we can keep on doing the type of journalism 2019 demands.

We Recommend

Latest

Sign up for our newsletters

Subscribe and we'll send Mother Jones straight to your inbox.

Get our award-winning magazine

Save big on a full year of investigations, ideas, and insights.

Subscribe

Support our journalism

Help Mother Jones' reporters dig deep with a tax-deductible donation.

Donate