Will Saddam Help the GOP Get an Election Bump?

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Over at the Nation, the ever-prolific Tom Engelhardt speculates about what he thinks could be the GOP’s November Surprise: the November 5 sentencing of Saddam Hussein. Assuming that Saddam is guaranteed to get the death penalty, the White House could get itself a nice last-minute blip of “progress” to sell to voters. Clearly, the timing will work well for Bush & Co. Whether that’s a happy coincdence is subject to debate. But as law prof and blogger Scott Horton tells Engelhardt,

“When you look at polling figures,” Horton said,” there have been three significant spike points. One was the date on which Saddam was captured. The second was the purple fingers election. The third was Zarqawi being killed. Based on those three, it’s easy to project that they will get a mild bump out of this….This is not coincidence…. Nothing in Iraq that’s set up this far in advance is coincidental.”

But would this “mild bump” be enough to revive Republicans’ fortunes at the polls? It’s not like the Democrats won’t cheer Saddam’s descent to death row, so the Republicans would have to work fast to turn this into a partisan issue (not that they won’t try their darndest). And in the eyes of many Americans, Saddam’s hardly the WMD-toting bogeyman he was three years ago; he’s no Osama, no matter how much the “Saddam was behind 9/11” crowd wishes he was. With support for the war at an all-time low, it’s hard for me to see how this verdict will change many war-weary minds, much less energize a disheartened GOP base.

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DEMOCRACY DOES NOT EXIST...

without free and fair elections, a vigorous free press, and engaged citizens to reclaim power from those who abuse it.

In this election year unlike any other—against a backdrop of a pandemic, an economic crisis, racial reckoning, and so much daily bluster—Mother Jones' journalism is driven by one simple question: Will America move closer to, or further from, justice and equity in the years to come?

If you're able to, please join us in this mission with a donation today. Our reporting right now is focused on voting rights and election security, corruption, disinformation, racial and gender equity, and the climate crisis. We can’t do it without the support of readers like you, and we need to give it everything we've got between now and November. Thank you.

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