Election 2010: What to Watch For at 6 p.m.

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Election Day H-Hour is a little over an hour away. The first poll closings are in Indiana and Kentucky at 6 p.m. Here’s what to watch for:

IN-9: This is the race to watch in the 6 p.m. hour. If Dem Baron Hill holds on against Republican Todd Young, his party could be in for a less painful night than expected.

KY-6: Blue Dog Ben Chandler is in a similar boat to Hill. If this one is close or goes to Republican Andy Barr, look for Republicans to win 60 seats or more.

IN-2: Joe Donnelly, a key member of the Bart Stupak’s bloc of anti-abortion Dems, faces a stiff challenge in this northern Indiana district. If he loses, the Stupak bloc could end up nearly extinct in the next Congress.

IN-8: Senate candidate Brad Ellsworth’s old district should be a very easy pickup for Republicans. If it’s even close, Dems are doing way better than the polls predicted.

KY-3: This district, represented by Dem John Yarmuth, shouldn’t even be on the radar for the GOP. If Republican Todd Lally wins here, Dems could be headed for an unprecedented rout.

Senate: GOPers Dan Coats in Indiana and Rand Paul in Kentucky should win easily. Expect these races to be called early.

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If you're new to Mother Jones or aren't yet sold on supporting our nonprofit reporting, please take a moment to read Monika Bauerlein's post about our priorities after these chaotic several years, and why this relatively quiet moment is also an urgent one for our democracy and Mother Jones’ bottom line—and if you find it compelling, please join us.

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