CBO Says Millions More Americans Would Go Uninsured Under Revised GOP Health Bill

Sen. Susan Collins announces she’ll vote “no” on Graham-Cassidy.

Sen. Susan Collins leaving a meeting with Republican colleagues. Collins announced Monday that she will not support the latest Trumpcare bill. Jacquelyn Martin/AP

Let our journalists help you make sense of the noise: Subscribe to the Mother Jones Daily newsletter and get a recap of news that matters.

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office confirmed on Monday that millions of Americans would lose their health insurance under the revised version of the Senate Republicans’ latest health care bill. Medicaid recipients and people who get their healthcare through Obamacare exchanges would be the main people affected, the CBO found. Shortly after the analysis was released, Sen. Susan Collins (R-Maine) announced she will oppose the bill, meaning the effort to repeal Obamacare effort is likely dead—for this year, at least.

The bill, known as Graham-Cassidy after its Republican authors, is in many ways more extreme than past versions of Trumpcare. As Mother Jones has reported, it would allow insurance companies to go back to charging higher rates for people with preexisting conditions and offering junk plans that lack essential coverage.

Under Graham-Cassidy, Medicaid spending would fall by about $1 trillion between 2017 and 2026, forcing millions out of the program, the CBO reported. The biggest drop would come from eliminating Medicaid funding that was included in the Affordable Care Act. The CBO also found that states that expanded Medicaid under Obamacare would receive about 30 percent less funding, while states that did not expand Medicaid would get roughly 30 percent more.

For past bills, the CBO has given specific estimates of how many people would lose health insurance. But with Republicans trying to ram their bill through by September 30, the agency didn’t have time for a full analysis. CBO “would need at least several weeks to provide point estimates of the effects on the deficit, health insurance coverage, and premiums,” the preliminary analysis notes. But the Brookings Institution found that roughly 21 million people could lose their care by 2020 if Graham-Cassidy passes—after 2026, Brookings estimated, that number could grow to 32 million.

Collins said in a statement that the Medicaid cuts would “have a devastating impact [on] a program that has been on the books for 50 years and provides health care to our most vulnerable citizens, including disabled children and low-income seniors.” She also criticized the rushed process: “Sweeping reforms to our health care system and to Medicaid can’t be done well in a compressed time frame.” 

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) have also come out against the bill. If all three Republicans maintain their opposition, the bill will be dead. Senate Democrats all oppose Graham-Cassidy, and the Republicans can only afford to lose two votes from within their own ranks. 

 

 

 

 

 

IT'S NOT THAT WE'RE SCREWED WITHOUT TRUMP:

"It's that we're screwed with or without him if we can't show the public that what we do matters for the long term," writes Mother Jones CEO Monika Bauerlein as she kicks off our drive to raise $350,000 in donations from readers by July 17.

This is a big one for us. It's our first time asking for an outpouring of support since screams of FAKE NEWS and so much of what Trump stood for made everything we do so visceral. Like most newsrooms, we face incredibly hard budget realities, and it's unnerving needing to raise big money when traffic is down.

So, as we ask you to consider supporting our team's journalism, we thought we'd slow down and check in about where Mother Jones is and where we're going after the chaotic last several years. This comparatively slow moment is also an urgent one for Mother Jones: You can read more in "Slow News Is Good News," and if you're able to, please support our team's hard-hitting journalism and help us reach our big $350,000 goal with a donation today.

payment methods

IT'S NOT THAT WE'RE SCREWED WITHOUT TRUMP:

"It's that we're screwed with or without him if we can't show the public that what we do matters for the long term," writes Mother Jones CEO Monika Bauerlein as she kicks off our drive to raise $350,000 in donations from readers by July 17.

This is a big one for us. So, as we ask you to consider supporting our team's journalism, we thought we'd slow down and check in about where Mother Jones is and where we're going after the chaotic last several years. This comparatively slow moment is also an urgent one for Mother Jones: You can read more in "Slow News Is Good News," and if you're able to, please support our team's hard-hitting journalism and help us reach our big $350,000 goal with a donation today.

payment methods

We Recommend

Latest

Sign up for our free newsletter

Subscribe to the Mother Jones Daily to have our top stories delivered directly to your inbox.

Get our award-winning magazine

Save big on a full year of investigations, ideas, and insights.

Subscribe

Support our journalism

Help Mother Jones' reporters dig deep with a tax-deductible donation.

Donate