The Coronavirus Death Toll In New York Is Growing 47% Per Day

I get a lot of requests to please do my daily charts a wee bit differently or to add other countries or regions to them. I’m mostly not willing to do this since (a) I want the charts to be the same from day to day, and (b) adding more countries means it takes me a lot longer each night to create them. However, New York really does seem to be a pretty special case right now, so here’s a solo chart just for them:

The number of coronavirus deaths has grown 47 percent per day over the past week and currently stands at 157. If this keeps up, New York’s death tally will surpass 2,000 a week from now and 30,000 within two weeks.

Of course, this growth rate might not keep up, either because a slowdown turns out to be the coronavirus’s natural behavior or because the control measures put in place are working. Italy’s death tally over the past two weeks, for example has been growing at 21 percent per day. If New York can get down to that rate, it will have about 2,000 deaths in two weeks instead of 30,000.

The growth rate really matters—far more than whatever the current number of deaths happens to be. That’s why this is what everyone is focused on.

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THE BIG PICTURE

You expect the big picture, and it's our job at Mother Jones to give it to you. And right now, so many of the troubles we face are the making not of a virus, but of the quest for profit, political or economic (and not just from the man in the White House who could have offered leadership and comfort but instead gave us bleach).

In "News Is Just Like Waste Management," we unpack what the coronavirus crisis has meant for journalism, including Mother Jones’, and how we can rise to the challenge. If you're able to, this is a critical moment to support our nonprofit journalism with a donation: We've scoured our budget and made the cuts we can without impairing our mission, and we hope to raise $400,000 from our community of online readers to help keep our big reporting projects going because this extraordinary pandemic-plus-election year is no time to pull back.

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