Poll Projection: Biden Has 88% Chance of Winning

A lot of people seem to be confused about exactly what the polls currently say about the presidential race. Just for the record, then, here’s a selection of projections constructed by Andrew Gelman and published by the Economist. The full set of projections is here. It’s a useful baseline for comparison to polls a week from now, which might give us some idea of whether either candidate benefited from a poll bounce.

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In "It's Not a Crisis. This Is the New Normal," we explain, as matter-of-factly as we can, what exactly our finances look like, how brutal it is to sustain quality journalism right now, what makes Mother Jones different than most of the news out there, and why support from readers is the only thing that keeps us going. Despite the challenges, we're optimistic we can increase the share of online readers who decide to donate—starting with hitting an ambitious $300,000 goal in just three weeks to make sure we can finish our fiscal year break-even in the coming months.

Please learn more about how Mother Jones works and our 47-year history of doing nonprofit journalism that you don't elsewhere—and help us do it with a donation if you can. We've already cut expenses and hitting our online goal is critical right now.

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