White Men Liked Mitt Romney Better Than Donald Trump

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Here’s a fascinating comparison of the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections via Stuart Stevens. I’m not sure what the source is—someone’s PowerPoint presentation, perhaps—but I assume the data was transcribed correctly. Here it is:

This is based on one poll, and it’s pre-convention. Still, it sure explodes a lot of myths about Donald Trump. He’s doing worse among white men than Mitt Romney and much worse among white women. He’s doing slightly better among the middle-aged, but far worse among the elderly. And he’s doing better among blacks.

On the non-surprising front, he’s doing far worse among Latinos. Obama won them by 44 percent, while Clinton is winning them by 62 points. I wonder why?

This doesn’t show how Trump is doing specifically among blue-collar white men (those with no more than a high school diploma), but I wonder if he’s really as popular among this demographic as everyone thinks? Or, in the end, is he just going to perform in a pretty standard Republican way, but just a bit worse?

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DEMOCRACY DOES NOT EXIST...

without free and fair elections, a vigorous free press, and engaged citizens to reclaim power from those who abuse it.

In this election year unlike any other—against a backdrop of a pandemic, an economic crisis, racial reckoning, and so much daily bluster—Mother Jones' journalism is driven by one simple question: Will America move closer to, or further from, justice and equity in the years to come?

If you're able to, please join us in this mission with a donation today. Our reporting right now is focused on voting rights and election security, corruption, disinformation, racial and gender equity, and the climate crisis. We can’t do it without the support of readers like you, and we need to give it everything we've got between now and November. Thank you.

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